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Old 01-05-2025, 05:35 AM
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Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Greenwich, NY
Posts: 43,820
Default 1/5: Aqueduct ($104k DBL P6 C/O)

AQUEDUCT ~ $104K DBL P6 C/O


POST-SCRATCHES


3rd: CLM, F&M-4+, 1m (P6, P3, DD)

Fairly straightforward sequence starts with seasoned mares. Think top 3 gets you through the leg..

Most Likely: #2 It Takes Heart 8-5: Will be on a loose lead.. WON ($4.10)
Best Value: #7 Sister Linda 8-1: Franco lands here.. 6th
Next Best: #3 April Antics 7-5: Drops off the claim.. 4th
Exotics Use: #6 Jolly Miss Jill 6-1: Owns field's most recent W.. 3rd


4th: NY-MSW, 3yo-F, 1m (P5, G/S, P3, DD)

Lightly raced state-bred sophs, most stretching out, while 3-5-6-7 add first Lasix..

Most Likely: #6 Pretty Magical 5-2: Went fwd last, adds Lasix; Hennig won 2 Saturday.. 4th
Next Best: #1 Lottie Margaret 2-1: Hood and rail says go out of modest slop debut.. WON ($4.70)
Best Value: #4 Lady Wisdom 8-1: Might be a turf filly, but might be good enough here.. 2nd
Exotics Use: #3 Gabby's Legacy 9-2: Got untracked late last, adds Lasix.. 3rd


5th: MCLM/$20k, 4+, 7f (P4, P3, DD)

Older MCLM'rs led by Wajda, a disappointing $425k OBS 2yo buy that probably finds the right level here..

Most Likely: #3 Wajda 5-2 4th
Best Value: #10 Dangerous Driver 12-1 2nd
Next Best: #2 Limits of Power 7-2 6th
Exotics Use: #1a First Trumpet 6-1 WON ($12.20)


6th: OC/S-ALW, 4+, 7f (P3, DD)

There's too much speed signed on here to not favor a proven off-the-pace commodity ~ like Commerce Comet..

Best Value: #8 Commerce Comet 9-2 2nd
Next Best: #6 Critical Threat 7-2 5th
Exotics Use: #1a Natural Harbor 9-2 3rd
Super Add: #2 Smile Mon 5-2 4th


7th: OC/N2X, F&M-4+, 7f (DD)

Superb feature. Note SCR of Golden Degree drains race of its anticipated pacesetter..

Best Value: #1 Patricia Ann 6-1: Sharp N1X off break; Gomez sticks, can win right back.. WON ($9.50)
Next Best: #3 Kid's Last Laugh 4-1: Another last out winner (under Gomez).. 2nd
Exotics Use: #7 Headline Numbers 5-2: Classy Gun Runner filly freshened after Mother Goose.. 5th
Super Add: #10 Courbe 8-1 4th


8th: CLM, F&M-4+, 6f

Deep, difficult nightcap..

Best Value: #6 Karen's Honor 8-1: Won last time she cut back 1m to 6f; Lures Manny.. 7th
Next Best: #2 Find Your Joy 5-1: Stalker goes 1st off Atras claim: Poised for improvement.. 5th
Exotics Use: #3 Dashing Della 9-2: Field's only last out winner loses Lezcano, gets bug back.. 4th
Super Add: #7 Street Jam 7-2: Lezcano sticks with Rice re-claim that will pick up pieces.. 7th


P6 Grid:

3: 2-3-7 (A), - (B), - (C)
4: 6 (A), 1 (B), - (C)
5: 3 (A), - (B), 10 (C)
6: 6-8 (A), 1-2 (B), - (C)
7: 1-3-7 (A), - (B), - (C)
8: 2-6 (A), - (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x2x1x4x3x2 = $144
All A's: 3x1x1x2x3x2 = $36
Backup (AACAAA): 3x1x1x2x3x2 = $36 (10 in 5th)


P5 Grid:

4: 1-4-6 (A), - (B), - (C)
5: 3 (A), 10 (B), - (C)
6: 6-8 (A), 1-2 (B), - (C)
7: 1-3-7 (A), - (B), - (C)
8: 2-6 (A), - (B), 3-7 (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x2x4x3x2 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A's: 3x1x2x3x2 = 36 x .50 = $18
Backup (AAAAC): 3x1x2x3x2 = 36 x .50 = $18 (3-7 in 8th)


P4 Grid:

5: 3-10 (A), - (B), 1-2 (C)
6: 6-8 (A), 1-2 (B), - (C)
7: 1-3-7 (A), - (B), - (C)
8: 2-6 (A), 3-7 (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 2x4x3x4 = 96 x .50 = $48
All A's: 2x2x3x2 = 24 x .50 = $12
Backup (CAAA): 2x2x3x2 = 24 x .50 = $12 (2-6 in 5th)


Let's get lucky!
Steve
__________________
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A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
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Last edited by Kasept : 01-05-2025 at 05:01 PM.
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  #2  
Old 01-05-2025, 09:34 AM
Kasept's Avatar
Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Greenwich, NY
Posts: 43,820
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AQU SCR/CHG'S
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All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
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