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#1
11-22-2006, 05:01 AM
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11/22: AQU Late P4 (6th-9th)
The perils, and pleasures, of multi-race wagering was on full display Tuesday at Philadelphia Park when my bad miss in R6 destroyed an otherwise strong day of selections. Yo Say, blinkers-on and very useable upon re-inspection at 8-1, topped Vanity Affair and blew out all three P3's as the last, middle and first leg of the trios. The combined value of the plays with his inclusion was $800. Uggh...
While the omission is a source of frustration, it also demonstrates why P3/P4 betting can work. The winners in races 4, 5, 7 and 8 were ALL chalky (5-2, 3-2, 3-2 and 1-1), yet the P3's returned $338, $245 and $210 because of 5th choice Yo Say. Wednesday begins another period of traditionally famed racing nationwide with the Thanksgiving holiday weekend. Fairgrounds returns to the scene Thursday, another step in the reclamation of normal life in New Orleans post-Katrina. Aqueduct, Churchill and Hollywood all feature multiple Grade I events Thursday-Sunday, with the schedule as follows: Thursday, 11/23 AQU: Fall Highweight CD: Falls City (Gr. II) HOL: On Trust FG: Thanksgiving H. Friday, 11/24 AQU: Top Flight H. (Gr. II) CD: Clark H. (Gr. I) HOL: Citation H. (Gr. II); Generous S. (Gr. III) Saturday, 11/25 AQU: Cigar Mile (Gr. I); Remsen (Gr. II); Demoiselle (Gr. II) CD: Golden Rod (Gr. II); KY JC (Gr. II) HOL: Turf Express H. (Gr. III); Miesque S. (Gr. III) Sunday, 11/26 HOL: Hollywood Derby (Gr. I); Matriarch (Gr. I) We'll cover as much as possible and start with a good P4 at Aqueduct Wednesday... We'll also take the opportunity to wish everyone a safe and wonderful Thanksgiving... SELECTIONS -- Aqueduct, R6-9 (Late P4) RED race # = Superfecta... 6th: MSW, F&M-3+, 1m (P4, DD) 1. #8 My Rachel 3-1: Pletcher 4yo with issues back to steady worktab 2. #7 Morning Jewel 5-1: KMc bay from Adena failed as MED choice last A. #6 SCRATCHED B. #2 Timeless Treasure 7-2: $325k Oxley red by Pulpit bulleted; gets Edgar LONGSHOT/SUPER ADD: #5 Elsloom (8-1): Will get lost on board; Adds blinks.. 7th: ALW, 3+, 6f (P3) 1. #3 LORD SNOWDEN 9-2: Ryerson colt was impeded last; Rarely fails to fire 2. #7 Sea Heather 12-1: Kent D. abandons 2x last out winner for Chief's bay A. #6 Executive Fleet 12-1: Rice-Solaris debut winner exits super key MClmer B. #2 Time to Grow Up 2-1: Schosberg always sharp with sprinters 8th: OC/C, F&M-3+, 6f (DD) 1. #6 Madame Diva 5-2: Hushion gets Prado back; Spotty worktab a concern 2. #5 Towering Escape 9-2: Loses Edgar to choice; Gets intense pace press A. #3 Lady Jove 10-1: Last a corker but back quick and reaction possible B. #8 In Command 7-2: Dutrow back on track; Bay rested since MDN breaker SUPER ADD: #7 Girl in Uniform 5-1 9th: NYB-MDN CLM, 3+, 7f 1. #5 Highland Pine 15-1: Grabbing juicy tab on T2D Destasio dropper 2. #10 Westside Willy 5-2: Logical Weaver grey away since Spa; 1st for tag A. #7 Knave of Diamonds 15-1: Galluscio 21% this move; Husting pilot too B. #3 Eightyninecentsday 9-2: Amonte-CC Lopez combo a scarey proposition LONGSHOT/SUPER ADD: #2 Anxious Contender (12-1): Shevy good with quick runbacks; Board threat on return to best <$50 P4 Play: 6: 6-7-8 7: 3-7 8: 5-6 9: 2-5-7-10 3x2x2x4 = $48 Good luck! Steve
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command. ~ George Orwell, 1984. Last edited by Kasept : 11-22-2006 at 12:27 PM. 
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#3
11-22-2006, 08:47 AM
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Tom,
Thanks very much for the especially generous comments.. (And for the 'go' sign on Highland Pine who I was ready to single in the P4 before backing away and spreading..) Best for Thanksgiving to you and yours.. SLB
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command. ~ George Orwell, 1984.
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#4
11-22-2006, 08:49 AM
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Quote:
I looked at her and eliminated her from anything other than exotics consideration. She's disappointed me a couple times. I think the 5/6 are the 'class' there... Can't blame you a lick for casting your ballot Girl's way though..
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command. ~ George Orwell, 1984.
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#5
11-22-2006, 12:50 PM
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the 4th looks out of whack the 5 is 9-1...dowtown hamill firster for levine..
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#6
11-22-2006, 02:44 PM
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I'm liking Girl in Uniform in the eighth at a price.
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#7
11-22-2006, 03:27 PM
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great pick steve
Quote:
__________________
saratoga gus
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#8
11-22-2006, 03:27 PM
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great pick steve
Quote:
__________________
saratoga gus
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#9
11-22-2006, 04:11 PM
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Damn..... tried to get on the site this afternoon
with the express purpose to jump on the pick 4 picks, and the site was down. Got busy and never got back to it.....
Thanks anyway Steve and Best Wishes to all of the characters on this board Chris
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