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#1
12-04-2021, 04:11 AM
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12/4: Aqueduct ($729,611 3-day P6 C/O)
AQUEDUCT
POST-SCRATCHES 5th: MSW, 2yo-F, 8.5f-T (P6, P3, DD) Balanced group of turf routing juvy gals with at least 7 seemingly eligible for laurels. Another day with a demanding start to the P6 sequence.. Most Likely: #6 Rosebug 3-1 6th Best Value: #2 Etheric 10-1 2nd Next Best: #3 Marketsegmentation 5-1 WON ($18.40) Exotics Use: #1 Willakia 6-1 3rd 6th: MSW, 2yo, 6f-Outer (P5, G/S, P3, DD) Those that have started are a pretty nondescript group bunch, leading one to look towards firsters Fiery Heart (3-1), Chucka Moon (8-1) and even Stjames (20-1) as options.. Next Best: #2 Fiery Heart 3-1 3rd Exotics Use: #3 Chucka Moon 8-1 6th Super Add: #5 Carpe's Dream 4-1 WON ($14.00) SCR Alternate: #6 Urban Forest 5-2 2nd 7th: Go for Wand (G3), F&M-3+, 1m (P4, P3, DD) Seems like defending winner Sharp Starr (7-2) is going to be overlooked here after something of an incomplete campaign, but her prep in the Empire Distaff sets her up identically to the way she approached last's Go for Wand.. Best Value: #7 Sharp Starr 7-2 4th Next Best: #2 Lady Rocket 8-5 WON ($4.40) Exotics Use: #3 Bella Vita 5-1 2nd Super Add: #1 Miss Marissa 4-1 6th 8th: Remsen (G2), 2yo, 9f (P3, DD) Most Likely: #1 Mo Donegal 8-5 WON ($4.90) Best Value: #4 Fromanothamutha 6-1 7th Next Best: #7 Zandon 5-2 2nd Exotics Use: #3 Judge Davis 5-1 8th 9th: Demoiselle (G2), 2yo-F, 9f (DD) Most Likely: #5 Nest 2-1 WON ($5.50) Next Best: #7 Magic Circle 7-2 3rd Best Value: #3 Venti Valentine 5-1 2nd Exotics Use: #6 Tap the Faith 3-1 5th 10th: Cigar Mile H. (G1), 3+, 1m Fascinating edition of this season wind down standard, dotted with contender performances that can win. Key is whether Following Sea receives pace pressure (Pipeline? Ginobili?) or is allowed to cruise up front from inside blast off draw. One-two when last seen in the Fayette, Independence Hall (WinStar) and Code of Honor (Lane's End) look to end careers gloriously here. Michael McCarthy has proven adept at getting peak efforts in target events and Independence Hall earned early 3yo attention on this oval when Mike Trombetta directed him to the '19 Nashua-'20 Jerome double. Code of Honor has had a distinguished enough career going longer, but the case can be made that this trip is what he was born to do. And speaking of one turn mile aptitude, be aware that Plainsman is 6/2-3-0 at 8f with the wins coming at CD in a sharp Ack Ack effort 8 weeks ago and right here at the Big A in a 2018 ALW. (He also won the Discovery 3 weeks later). Superb race and tricky way to end the giant carryover sequence that should draw another at least another $1.5-2.0MM.. Most Likely: #5 Independence Hall 7-2 7th Best Value: #4 Code of Honor 6-1 5th Next Best: #1 Following Sea 5-1 2nd Exotics Use: #2 Plainsman 12-1 3rd P6 Grid: 5: 2-3-6 (A), - (B), 1-5 (C) 6: 2-3 (A), 5-6 (B), 7-8 (C) 7: 2-7 (A), - (B), 1-3 (C) 8: 1 (A), - (B), 4-7 (C) 9: 5-7 (A), - (B), 1-3-6 (C) 10: 5 (A), 1-4 (B), - (C) Simple (A+B): 3x4x2x1x2x3 = $144 All A's: 3x2x2x1x2x1 = $24 Backups (+$148): $16 (1-5) + $24 (7-8) + $24 (1-3) + $48 (4-7) + $36 (1-3-6) $1 Pick-6 (3/5/2,4/1/5/3) Paid $27.75 (5 OF 6) x 3 = $83.25 P5 Grid: 6: 2-3-5 (A), 6-7-8 (B), - (C) 7: 2-7 (A), - (B), 1-3 (C) 8: 1 (A), 4 (B), 7 (C) 9: 5-7 (A), - (B), 1-3-6 (C) 10: 1-4-5 (A), - (B), - (C) Simple (A+B): 6x2x2x2x3 = 144 x .50 = $72 All A's: 3x2x1x2x3 = 36 x .50 = $18 Backups: $18 (1-3) + $18 (7) + $27 (1-3-6) P4 Grid: 7: 2-7 (A), - (B), 1-3 (C) 8: 1-4 (A), 7 (B), - (C) 9: 3-5-7 (A), 1-6 (B), - (C) 10: 1-4-5 (A), - (B), 2-3-6 (C) Simple (A+B): 2x3x5x3 = 90 x .50 = $45 All A's: 2x2x3x3 = 36 x .50 = $18 Backups: $18 (1-3) + $18 (1-3-6) $0.50 Pick-4 (2,4/1/5/3) Paid $29.62 Good luck! Steve
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command. ~ George Orwell, 1984. Last edited by Kasept : 12-04-2021 at 03:39 PM. 
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#4
12-04-2021, 09:46 AM
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Quote:
__________________
Felix Unger talking to Oscar Madison: "Your horse could finish third by 20 lengths and they still pay you? And you have been losing money for all these years?!"
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#6
12-04-2021, 10:57 AM
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__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command. ~ George Orwell, 1984.
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#9
12-04-2021, 11:26 AM
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Quote:
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command. ~ George Orwell, 1984.
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#13
12-04-2021, 01:22 PM
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#14
12-04-2021, 01:28 PM
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$2,361,013 new money so total pool just over $2,500,000. $1.06 back for every $1.00 bet today..
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command. ~ George Orwell, 1984.
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#15
12-04-2021, 01:31 PM
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Quote:
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command. ~ George Orwell, 1984.
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#17
12-04-2021, 02:23 PM
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Quote:
__________________
"Wise men talk because they have something to say, fools talk because they have to say something" - Plato
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