10/1: Belmont ($53k P6 C/O); Santa Anita (Opening Day)

[Kasept]

BELMONT PARK


POST-SCRATCHES


4th (2:34p ET): CLM/N2L, F&M-3+, 6.5f (P6, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #7 Cazilda Fortytales 8-5 WON ($4.00)
Best Value: #4 Sweeter 10-1 2nd
Next Best: #5 Cause to Dream 6-1 4th
Exotics Use: #8 Hollywood Gina 3-1 6th


5th: S/ALW, F&M-3+, 8.5f-IT (P5, G/S, P3, DD)

Sweet Franny Lu (8-1) improved with class relief and can win right back, but rooting for Sciacca to get 1,000th winner here with Louie Lazzinaro's Exotic West..

Best Value: #6 Sweet Franny Lu 8-1 WON ($10.00)
Next Best: #3 Exotic West 9-2 5th
Exotics Use: #9 Command Point 3-1 2nd
Super Add: #2 Ocean Air 7-2 4th


6th: ALW/N1X, F&M-3+, 7f-T (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #4 Love and Thunder 9-5 WON ($3.30)
Best Value: #2 Screamin' By 8-1 4th
Next Best: #7 Stolen Holiday 4-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #5 Rivendell 10-1 3rd


7th: OC/N2X, 3+, 6f (P3, DD)

Best Value: #1 Mi Tres Por Ciento 9-2 7th
Next Best: #7 Cost Basis 5-2 2nd
Exotics Use: #2 Always Sunshine 7-2 8th
Super Add: #5 Answer In 3-1 4th


8th: John Hettinger-NY, F&M-3+, 9f-IT (DD)

Most Likely: #8 Myhartblongstodady 8-5 WON ($4.60)
Next Best: #4 Ice Princess 7-2 2nd
Best Value: #1 Pecatonica 4-1 5th
Exotics Use: #3 Dancingwthdaffodils 15-1 6th


9th: NY-MSW, 3+, 7f-T

Best Value: #4 B C Glory Days 8-1 6th
Next Best: #8 Citizen K 7-2 3rd
Exotics Use: #7 Yarrow 9-2 2nd
Super Add: #11 Suit of Armor 4-1 10th


P6 Grid:

4: 7 (A), - (B), - (C)
5: 3-6-9 (A), 1-2 (B), - (C)
6: 4 (A), - (B), 2 (C)
7: 1-7 (A), - (B), - (C)
8: 4-8 (A), - (B), - (C)
9: 4-8 (A), 7-11 (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 1x5x1x2x2x4 = $80
All A's: 1x3x1x2x2x2 = $24
Backup: $24 (2 in 6th)


P5 Grid:

5: 3-6-9 (A), 1-2 (B), - (C)
6: 4 (A), - (B), 2 (C)
7: 1-7 (A), 2 (B), - (C)
8: 4-8 (A), - (B), - (C)
9: 4-7-8 (A), 5-11 (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 5x1x3x2x5 = 150 x .50 = $75
All A's: 3x1x2x2x3 = 36 x .50 = $18
Backup: $18 (2 in 6th)


P4 Grid:

6: 2-4-7 (A), - (B), 1-5-11 (C)
7: 1-7 (A), 2 (B), - (C)
8: 4-8 (A), - (B), - (C)
9: 4-7-8 (A), 5-11 (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x3x2x5 = 90 x .50 = $45
All A's: 3x2x2x3 = 36 x .50 = $18
Backup: $18 (1-5-11 in 6th)



SANTA ANITA


POST-SCRATCHES


5th (6p ET): Speakeasy, 2yo, 5f-T (P5, P3, DD, Hi-5)

Most Likely: #2 One Timer 5-2 WON ($5.80)
Next Best: #4 Forbidden Kingdom 2-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #5 Miss Alacrity 5-2 4th
Super Add: #7 Time to Party 4-1 2nd


6th: Chandelier (G2), 2yo-F, 8.5f (P4, P3, DD, Hi-5)

I don't get why Grace Adler is supposed to be unbeatable here..

Most Likely: #2 Ain't Easy 5-2 WON ($9.00)
Next Best: #4 Grace Adler 9-5 5th
Exotics Use: #1 Electric Ride 3-1 2nd
Super Add: #5 Desert Dawn 15-1 3rd


7th: Eddie D (G2), 3+, 6.5f-DHT (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #9 Snapper Sinclair 4-1 2nd
Best Value: #8 Whisper Not 6-1 7th
Next Best: #1 Gregorian Chant 4-1 4th
Exotics Use: #4 Charmaine's Mia 10-1 8th


8th: American Pharoah (G1), 2yo, 8.5f (SA-GG P4, DD, Hi-5)

Most Likely: #1 Corniche 6-5 WON ($2.80)
Next Best: #4 Oviatt Class 3-1 3rd
Best Value: #7 Pappacap 8-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #6 Rockefeller 3-1 4th


9th: CA-MSW, F&M-3+, 6f-T (SA-GG DD, Hi-5)

Best Value: #8 Grazeninstilettos 8-1 WON ($12.60)
Next Best: #6 Big Summer 5-2 2nd
Exotics Use: #4 Chao Mar 12-1 10th
Super Add: #7 O Shugah Mint 15-1 11th


P5 Grid:

5: 2-4 (A), - (B), - (C)
6: 1-2-4 (A), 5-7 (B), - (C)
7: 1-8-9 (A), - (B), - (C)
8: 1 (A), - (B), 4 (C)
9: 6-8 (A), 4 (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 2x5x3x1x3 = 90 x .50 = $45
All A's: 2x3x3x1x2 = 36 x .50 = $18
Backup: $18 (4 in 8th)


P4 Grid:

6: 1-2-4 (A), 5-7 (B), - (C)
7: 1-8-9 (A), - (B), 2-4-7 (C)
8: 1 (A), 4 (B), - (C)
9: 6-8 (A), 4 (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 5x3x2x3 = 90 x .50 = $45
All A's: 3x3x1x2 = 18 x .50 = $9
Backup: $9 (2-4-7 in 7th)

$0.50 Pick-4 (2/7/1/8) Paid $121.60


Good luck!
Steve