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  #1  
Old 04-22-2017, 05:01 AM
Kasept's Avatar
Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Greenwich, NY
Posts: 43,851
Default 4/22: Santa Anita (7th-10th)

SANTA ANITA


PRE-SCRATCHES


7th: Cal-MSW, 3+, 9f-T (P4, P3, DD)

Best Value: #1 Bottle Service 5-1 8th
Next Best: #4 Incredible Luck 5-2 2nd
Exotics Use: #7 Marckie's Water 3-1 WON ($7.00)
Super Add: #2 I'd Be Sad an Blue 9-2 3rd


8th: 64th Californian (G2), 3+, 9f (P3, DD)

Baffert already brought Collected back successfully with Santana Mile win and now returns 3X G2 winner (yes, 3X) Cupid. You can watch the cherub's drill with Mor Spirit here and you won't be worried about his readiness. That said, Collected has the recency edge, the rail and the emotional factor with his grandmother (Baby Zip) dying the other day..

Most Likely: #1 Collected 8-5 ($3.20)
Best Value: #2 Cupid Late SCR
Next Best: #6 Follow Me Crev 5-2 2nd
Exotics Use: #3 Prospect Park 7-2 3rd


9th: 23rd Mizdirection, F&M-3+, 6.5f-T (DD)

This is a VERY good group for $75k and I count at least 6 that can win. There sure looks to be a tussle in the offing up front, so you need to lean on the stalker-closers. As always, you know to look for the miler types turning back coming down the hill..

Best Value: #7 Perfect Pic 8-1 9th
Next Best: #2 Desert Steel 5-1 8th
Exotics Use: #5 Riri 5-1 4th
Super Add: #10 Swift Lady 4-1 7th


10th: MSW, 3+, 6f (Hi-5)

Serious 3+ MSW with Leading Score, half to Indian Blessing, and Wonderoveryonder, full to Firing Line, leading the pedigree parade. Bird Orr Brady returns out of well-bet debut, while Perfection Tale exits subsequent Los Angeles H. winner Lord Simba's maiden-breaker. Firsters beyond the Firing Line brother are notable for some sharp morning efforts including Mandella's Wertheimer homebred Acker, D'Amato's speedy Towards the Light (Munnings o/o Orientate mare Golda M) and Morey's Red Lightening who has turned in drills of :34.3 & :45.4 (!) readying for his bow. Finally, must mention 4yo Miner's Light getting back to the races here for Carla Gaines. The Mineshaft gelding was beaten a nose by Exaggerator in his 7/25/15 DMR debut and then Uncle Lino and Wild About Deb in his second career start. Working well for return, Miner's Light is from the great Williamson female family of Blending Element. Dam Tiz Elemental (Texas Ryano's sister) won the Melair and more..

Most Likely: #5 Leading Score 9-2 WON ($10.20)
Best Value: #3 Red Lightening 8-1 3rd
Next Best: #11 Bird Orr Brady 4-1 4th
Exotics Use: #7 Miner's Light 6-1 5th
Super/Hi-5: #4 Mucho Chrome 12-1 9th


P4 Grid:

7: 1-4-7 (A), - (B), - (C)
8: 1 (A), 2/SCR (B), 3-6 (C)
9: 2-5-7 (A), 4-8-10 (B), 9 (C)
10: 3-5 (A), 7-11 (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x1x6x4 = 72 x .50 = $36
All A's: 3x1x3x2 = $18 ($9 for .50)

Full (A-B-C-X): $57

All A's

1: 1,4,7/1/2,5,7/3,5 ($9.00)

A's with One B

2: 1,4,7/2/2,5,7/3,5 ($9.00)
3: 1,4,7/1/4,8,10/3,5 ($9.00)
4: 1,4,7/1/2,5,7/7,11 ($9.00)

A's with Two B

5: 1,4,7/2/4,8,10/3,5 ($9.00)
6: 1,4,7/2/2,5,7/7,11 ($9.00)

7: 1,4,7/1/4,8,10/7,11 ($9.00)

A's with One C

8: 1,4,7/3,6/2,5,7/3,5 ($18.00)
9: 1,4,7/1/9/3,5 ($3.00) $0.50 Pick-4 (7/1,2/9/5) Paid $160.00


Good luck!
Steve
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command. ~ George Orwell, 1984.

Last edited by Kasept : 04-23-2017 at 05:00 AM.
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  #2  
Old 04-22-2017, 07:58 PM
lazytom lazytom is offline
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Join Date: Mar 2007
Posts: 215
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Steve. You are amazing. Hitting your last bet in the pick 4 sequence (a $3 bet I MIGHT ADD). Congrats and take care.
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  #3  
Old 04-23-2017, 04:46 AM
Kasept's Avatar
Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Greenwich, NY
Posts: 43,851
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Quote:
Originally Posted by lazytom View Post
Steve. You are amazing. Hitting your last bet in the pick 4 sequence (a $3 bet I MIGHT ADD). Congrats and take care.
Tom.. THX. While I'd prefer the All A's work, I'm glad I had time to lay out the A-B-C's as I've received a spate of inquiries about the Crist method lately and this was a perfect showcase for it. Lucky to win that photo in the Mizdirection. And it's funny because at first I included all others as C's but then trimmed to the #9 (Mandella) to save a little bit of money. If Coniah wins (at 30-1?), I'd have been mighty annoyed with myself. The $9 in savings would have cost probably $500.

As always, can't push Exotic Betting by Steve Crist enough. It's becoming collectible at this point to it seems..

https://www.amazon.com/Exotic-Bettin.../dp/1932910921

https://www.ebay.com/p/Exotic-Bettin...teven/51438175
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command. ~ George Orwell, 1984.

Last edited by Kasept : 04-23-2017 at 04:59 AM.
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  #4  
Old 04-24-2017, 04:15 PM
kingsize14u kingsize14u is offline
Pimlico
 
Join Date: Mar 2007
Posts: 58
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Thanks for showing all the ticket build-ups. I've always wondered how they were structured and what the cost was. Living in Texas in the middle of nowhere I seldom get to a track nor can I bet online so my handicapping skills are pretty sad at the very least. This really helps immensely. Now I guess all I have to do is to be able to separate the a's from the B's from the c's. Thanks again and keep up the good work.
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