4/30: Belmont Park ($15k C/O)

[Kasept]

BELMONT PARK


POST-SCRATCHES


4th: NY-MSW, F&M-3+, 6.5f (P6, P3, DD)

$15k P6 C/O starts here..

You're taking a chance leaving them off P6 plays, but both Lady in Shades and True Charm look beatable..

Best Value: #4 Cats Halo 10-1 3rd
Next Best: #6 Picco Uno 8-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #5 Super Allison 2-1 WON ($4.90)
Super Add: #7 Eighth Commandment 10-1 5th


5th: NY-ALW/N1X, 3+, 6f-IT (G/S, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #2 Gran the Man 9-2 WON ($6.60)
Best Value: #3 Bajan Summer 10-1 2nd
Next Best: #6 Wicked Freud 2-1 4th
Exotics Use: #7 Black Tide 4-1 3rd


6th: MCLM/$50k, 3+, 6f (P4, P3, DD)

Tricky group with many fancy pedigrees being dangled for $50k including $240k Vandalize (8-5) who debuted nicely as a 3yo at GP in 2015 and went on hiatus a year. Violette (15% debuts a $200k Klaravich in what they must think is a winnable spot. Pure Excitement (15-1) drops from disappointing MSW debut has drilled 4x since then including a couple of 'bet me' half miles..

Most Likely: #1 Vandalize 8-5 WON ($4.10)
Best Value: #7 Pure Excitement 15-1 10th
Next Best: #3 Gloves Off 12-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #2 Porch Pounder 5-1 9th


7th: ALW/N1X, 3+, 8.5f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #2 Bellamy Way 9-5 4th
Best Value: #1 Groupthink 15-1 6th
Next Best: #7 Waymond Boyd 5-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #4 Rally Cry 7-2 WON ($7.20)


8th: 3rd Elusive Quality, 4+, 17f-T (DD)

Most Likely: #1 Mosler 6-1 3rd
Next Best: #5 Green Mask 2-1 2nd
Best Value: #10 Big Guy Ian 20-1 9th
Exotics Use: #2 King Kreesa 4-1 4th


9th: MSW, 3+, 6f-IT

Most Likely: #7 Drop Shot 4-1 2nd
Best Value: #11 Nr. Neetie 8-1 4th
Next Best: #1 Wyeth 5-1 8th
Exotics Use: #10 Kettles On 30-1 6th


P6 Grid:

4: 4-6 (A), 5 (B), 1-2-7-9 (C)
5: 2-3 (A), 6-7 (B), - (C)
6: 1 (A), - (B), 2-3-7-11 (C)
7: 2 (A), - (B), 1-4 (C)
8: 1-5 (A), - (B), 2-3-10 (C)
9: 7 (A), 1-11 (B), 2-3-10 (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x4x1x1x2x3 = 72 x $2 = $144
Full (A/B/C): $212


P4 Grid:

6: 1-7 (A), 2-3-11 (B), - (C)
7: 1-2 (A), 4-6-7 (B), - (C)
8: 1-5 (A), - (B), 2-3-10 (C)
9: 1-7-11 (A), - (B), 2-3-10 (C)

Simple (A+B): 5x5x2x3 = 150 x $0.50 = $75
All A's: 2x2x2x3 = $24 ($12 for .50)
Full (A/B/C): $75

Good luck!
Steve