Derby Trail Forums

Go Back   Derby Trail Forums > Main Forum > Joe Silverio Simulcast Center
Register FAQ Members List Calendar Today's Posts

Reply
 
Thread Tools Display Modes
  #1  
Old 08-14-2015, 12:33 AM
Kitan Kitan is offline
Gulfstream Park
 
Join Date: Jul 2014
Location: Other side of the globe
Posts: 1,208
Default Saratoga Friday Aug. 14th Pick Five

Race 1:
#3 Ground Force: Vet SCR during Belmont week but has worked normally for Servis since. Rolls if he's OK.

Race 2:
#2 Anna Rae: Love the Tiz Wonderful 2yo debutants. Junior Englehart does okay debuting the babies in MCLers. Early foot shows from the 48.3 gate workout and inside speed has been deadly.
#4 Steve's Philly: Consistent works for the Martin FTS who's bred to win early and has some class further back on the dam's side.
#7 Bottle Walk
#1 Dubb/Rodriguez Entry

Race 3:
#8 Queen of the Spa: Feel it's not easy to claim from Loza Jr but Gullo is more than capable. Nothing wrong with her race here last year and the aptly named runner may just intuitively know to run well here.
#7 Heaven's Touch: Speed will help and not looking too much at her last when ridden by a new 10lbs bug who is yet to hit the ex in twelve starts. Won in two five horse fields but not sure this race has anything special in it.
#4 In Haste: Plunges second off the claim (from Proctor), even below the purchase price, and I don't think the two back race was great anyways.
#2 My Jimmy Chew Girl: 2yo sprinting form was solid but may drop too far back early. Gyarmati 17 0-0-2 off the layoff at Saratoga.

Race 4:
#4 Boldlee: I remember thinking this one might run a sneaky race on debut and was one of many cursing our luck at a ridiculously low price second out. Was 5-2 that day against #1 who was 1-1. Odds discrepancy will be much higher this time around, mostly due to the presence of Jara which, admittedly, is a concern.
#1 Tiz a Chance: Solid debut even though I feel my top choice ran better than day and hasn't been seen in 11 months.
#8 Neverindicted: Dam won over this very course and distance and he should improve second time around.
#6 Wicked Freud

Race 5:
#7 Summersault: Consistent performer on the grass and the runners she's lost to recently are just better than these. Castellano should put her in the right spot.
#6 Jc's Shooting Star: Floated wide on the first turn here 2.5 weeks ago. Finished decently enough after that and gets Franco this time around.
#8 Forma's Joy: Routes on a firm course for the first time and she should appreciate the two-turn 8f.
#9 Donatienne

$0.60 Pick Five
Race 1: 3
Race 2: 1, 2, 4, 7
Race 3: 4, 7, 8
Race 4: 1, 4, 6, 8
Race 5: 6, 7, 8
$86.40

If I'm knocked out of the P5 after the first race I'll play a P4 with identical numbers. Either way I'll also play a Cover P4 2, 4/7, 8/1, 4, 6, 8/9 $9.60. I do like #6 J'ray's Sunshine in the last, but if later on I decide I really like anything else in the second half of the card I'll post them here as a reply.

Good luck!
Reply With Quote
  #2  
Old 08-14-2015, 12:55 PM
Kasept's Avatar
Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Greenwich, NY
Posts: 43,995
Default

K.. Nice tab of Miah's Anna Rae. She pulled a Condo Commando!
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command. ~ George Orwell, 1984.
Reply With Quote
  #3  
Old 08-14-2015, 01:26 PM
ADJMK ADJMK is offline
Randwyck
 
Join Date: May 2007
Posts: 1,322
Default

Nice cold tri in the 3rd. Would have paid a bunch more if the 8 had hung on.
Reply With Quote
  #4  
Old 08-14-2015, 06:50 PM
Kitan Kitan is offline
Gulfstream Park
 
Join Date: Jul 2014
Location: Other side of the globe
Posts: 1,208
Default

Thanks Steve & ADJMK...didn't think the sales work on the 2 was bad at all and when I heard the info about her being named after his daughter whose birthday was today I knew I was getting a steal at those odds. Have done well with the babies so far and hope that holds up!

Got back $93.48 for the P4...knew the P5 was in trouble when I saw the 3 at a lukewarm 2-1 with front wraps for the first time. Still almost got it done...
Reply With Quote
Reply



Posting Rules
You may not post new threads
You may not post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts

vB code is On
Smilies are On
[IMG] code is On
HTML code is Off
Forum Jump


All times are GMT -5. The time now is 07:33 PM.


Powered by vBulletin® Version 3.6.8
Copyright ©2000 - 2025, Jelsoft Enterprises Ltd.