|
|
 |
|
#1
01-25-2015, 01:22 AM
|
|||
|
|||
Gulfstream Park Sunday Jan. 25 Late Pick Four
Keep an eye on #15 Kutschman in R5 if he draws in. Two modest rides in his two turf tries. May not win from the parking lot post but intrigues for next time.
Race 8: #7 Sharpsburg: Missed a month of works prior to debut in which she was caught wide without cover down the backside. Two quick blowouts since and expect better fitness in her second start. Has the experience over the firsters. #8 Fast Moon: Less expensive purchase than the stablemate but has been flying in the mornings and is Welsch's best bet. Clearly has ability. #11 Delightful Melody: Quick works further back with the recent ones used for fitness. Could be a sneaky price. Race 9: #10 Madame Giry: Willing to look past her last two as she may just have needed the freshening, but she also didn't run as good as she can in her only previous try at CRC/GPW. Proven when coming off a layoff and the pace will suit. #5 Richies Sweetheart: May be the speed of the speed but has previously won when hooking up in a duel. Arlington track record holder is three for three on firm turf and has already won shipping. Just not a fan of going back and forth from GP/TAM. Race 10: #2 Holy Empress: May not have handled the moisture in her last start. Already a course and distance winner and the connections must always be seriously considered. Remains off Lasix. Upgraded her to top pick based on expected running position. #1 Dancing House: Hard to argue with her form and couldn't do much else when getting back in a slow pace last time. Can race in the front or in the back and that versatility will be key here. #10 Costenia: Turned things around in the Pletcher barn. Only three works off the short layoff but she should still be good enough. No longer has the abundance of outside speed and might get trapped wide no cover. #7 Latique: Improves race by race and ran a career best last out when feeling the breeze throughout. Can juice the multis if she doesn't bounce off that effort. #11 will be the lone speed but she should still set a regular tempo. Just don't like the work pattern off the bench. Race 11: #5 Main Man Mike: Returns to the course of his maiden win on the drop down. Many return from a seemingly unspectacular NYE race so let's try the new face. #9 Half Wildcat: Only one 3f work off a 2.5 month layoff and I really liked that run. Took money, had a wider run than #12, and battled on while obviously not completely fit. Inconsistent sort in NY but most of those runs would be good enough in this spot. Bullet work shows the intent. #8 Caminito: Beaten fave last out off a 2nd place effort in identical conditions to this. Jockey change is key. #4 El Chivo Viejo: Wide throughout in that NYE encounter and didn't fade badly given the early speed. A better trip looms but I'm not confident with the jock's ability on the turf. #1 Takepointsandrun: Started his run with #9 and #12 but never really got full momentum until the first run was gone. Still needs to improve on that but is worth tossing in. $0.60 Pick Four Race 8: 7, 8, 11 Race 9: 5, 10 Race 10: 1, 2, 7, 10 Race 11: 1, 4, 5, 8, 9 $72.00 I also like the following longshots... OP R1 #7 OP R6 #8 OP R9 #10 SA R7 #14 Good luck! Last edited by Kitan : 01-25-2015 at 11:45 AM. 
|
Linear Mode
