8/31: Saratoga (Spinaway; $151k C/O)

[Kasept]

SARATOGA RACE COURSE


POST-SCRATCHES


1st: S/ALW, F&M-3+, 1m-IT (P5, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #11 Flamingo Lane 5-2 WON ($4.00)
Best Value: #6 Revealing Moment 12-1 4th
Next Best: #9 High Jinks 7-2 2nd
Exotics Use: #7 Arsenal 10-1 6th

.10 SUPER: 6-11/6-9-11/1-6-7-9-11/1-2-5-6-7-9-11 (2x2x3x4 = 48 x .10 = $4.80)


2nd: CLM, F&M_3+, 7f (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #4 Go Olivia Go 3-1 5th
Next Best: #5 Coast of Sangria 5-2 6th
Best Value: #2 Ginny's Grey 9-2 2nd
Exotics Use: #1 E Z Passer 7-2 WON ($11.40)


3rd: OC/N3X, 3+, 6.5f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #3 River Rocks 4-5 WON ($3.70)
Best Value: #5 Candyman E 6-1 5th
Next Best: #1 Salutos Amigos 6-2 2nd


4th: CLM/N2L, 3+, 1m-IT (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #1 Goodnewsisnonews 12-1 7th
Next Best: #8 Belly of the Whale 2-1 6th
Exotics Use: #9 Yellow Mountain 12-1 9th
Best Value:: #3 The Spotted Wonder 20-1 4th
Super Add: #7 March Reward 5-1 3rd


5th: OC/N2X,

Most Likely: #1 Upgrade 4-1 4th
Best Value: #3 Cajun Breeze 20-1 3rd
Next Best: #4 Summer Breezing 7-2 7th
Exotics Use: #12 Bye Bye Bernie 12-1 6th
Super Add: #6 Hear the Footsteps 5-1 8th


P5 Grid:

1: 6-11 (A), 7-9 (B), 1-2-5 (C)
2: 4-5 (A), 1-2 (B), 6 (C)
3: 3 (A), - (B), 1-2-5 (C)
4: 1-8 (A), 9 (B), 3-7 (C)
5: 1 (A), 3-4 (B), 5-6-12 (C)

Simple main (A/B's): 4x4x1x3x3 = 144 x .50 = $72
Full (A/B/C's):


P4 Grid:

2: 4-5 (A), 1-2 (B), 6 (C)
3: 3 (A), 1-5 (B), 2 (C)
4: 1-8 (A), 9 (B), 3-7 (C)
5: 1-3 (A), 4-12 (B), 5-6 (C)

Simple main (A/B's): 4xx3x3x4 = 144 x .50 = $72
Full (A/B/C's):


6th: Glens Falls (G3), F&M-3+, 11f-IT (P3, DD)

Outstanding betting opportunity. Take any combo you believe in and fire. By my count, there are 2,352 superfecta combos to consider (7x8x7x6). I'm keying Irish Mission..

Most Likely: #6 IRISH MISSION 6-1 WON ($8.50)
Best Value: #4 Emotional Kitten 10-1 7th
Next Best: #8 Whatsdachances 6-1 4th
Exotics Use: #7 Cat's Claw 3-1 6th


7th: MSW, 2yo-F, 7f (P6, P3, DD)

$151k P6 C/O starts here..

Good looking group of baby gals. #1 Lady Serena a half to Honor Code..

Most Likely: #8 Feathered 6-5 WON ($3.80)
Best Value: #3 Etiquette 10-1 2nd
Next Best: #1 Lady Serena 4-1 4th
Exotics Use: #10 Red Hot Heels 6-1 6th
Super Add: #7 Theophilia 15-1 7th


8th: MSW, 3+, 1m-IT (G/S, P3, DD)

Completely wide open. Sartorius, from legendary adman Bill Backer and Sheppard, is a full to Romans Reward and half to Art Fan. Wasn't precocious at 2 but who cares?

Best Value: #7 Sartorius 20-1 10th
Next Best: #11 T Sizzle 5-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #3 Alexahente 6-1 WON via DQ ($6.90)
Super Add: #9 Coach Inge 10-1 8th


9th: ALW/N1X, 3+, 6f (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #8 Gombey Dancer 4-1 5th
Best Value: #3 Chapman 12-1 2nd
Next Best: #4 John's Island 3-1 6th
Exotics Use: #1a Mr. O'Leary 5-1 WON ($10.20)


10th: Spinaway (G1), 2yo-F, 7f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #2 Angela Renee 2-1 3rd
Best Value: #6 Winter Dawn 8-1 5th
Next Best: #4 By the Moon 6-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #1 Condo Commando 4-1 WON ($8.70)


11th: CLM, 3+, 8.5f-T (DD)

Another fantastic opportunity at boxcar payouts. Using #9 Dreaming of Danny too..

Most Likely: #8 Hard Enough 3-1 WON ($6.40)
Best Value: #6 OFF TURF SCR
Next Best: #11 OFF TURF SCR
Exotics Use: #4 Odeon 20-1 4th
Super Add:#1 OFF TURF SCR


12th: NY-MSW, 2yo, 6f

Best Value: #12 Pierce's Prize 8-1 2nd
Next Best: #8 Saint Joseph 4-1 8th
Exotics Use: #5 Persuasive Devil 2-1 3rd
Super Add: #10 Ostralenko 7-2 6th


P6 Grid:

7: 8 (A), 1-3 (B), 7-10 (C)
8: 7-11 (A), 3 (B), 9 (C)
9: 8 (A), 3 (B), 4 (C)
10: 2 (A), 6 (B), 4 (C)
11: 8 (A), - (B), 6-11 (C)
12: 8-12 (A), 10 (B), 5 (C)

Full (A/B/C): $178


P4 Grid:

9: 3-8 (A), 4 (B), 1-10 (C)
10: 2 (A), 6 (B), 1-4-5 (C)
11: 6-8-11 (A), 1-4-9 (B), 5-7 (C)
12: 8-12 (A), 5-10 (B), 2-7-11 (C)

Simple main (A/B's): 3x2x6x4 = 144 x .50 = $72
Full (A/B/C's): $91


Good luck!
Steve