8/16: Saratoga (Alabama; Lake Placid); Arlington (Million Day)

[Kasept]

SARATOGA RACE COURSE


POST-SCRATCHES


1st: CLM/N2L, 3+, 7f (P5, P3, DD)

Best Value: #5 Ghareeb 8-1 2nd
Next Best: #7 Forever Thing 6-1 4th
Exotics Use: #1 Cost Affective 3-1 3rd


2nd: CLM, 3+, 5.5f-T (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #10 Mish Mosh 5-2 WON ($9.00)
Best Value: #9 Jess Not Jesse 12-1 7th
Next Best: #3 Fast Time 6-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #2 Thomas Hill 5-1 2nd


3rd: 23rd Lake Placid (G2), 3yo-F, 9f-IT (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #4 Xcellence 9-5 3rd
Next Best: #5 Crown Queen 5-2 WON ($4.50)
Exotics Use: #6 Minorette 7-5 4th


4th: MSW, 2yo, 8.5f-T (P3, DD)

Security Risk looks to break MDN here ahead of older brother's ALW try in the 8th..

Most Likely: #3 Security Risk 3-1 7th
Next Best: #1 Can't Happen Here 4-1 WON ($10.00)
Best Value: #6 Mr. Discreet 12-1 5th
Exotics Use: #2 Reality 7-2 4th


5th: ALW/N1X, 3+, 9f (P3, DD)

Best Value: #2 Catholic Cowboy 10-1 WON ($15.00)
Next Best: #1 Bay of Biscay 5-2 2nd
Exotics Use: #5 Matterhorn 9-5 3rd
Super Add: #7 Baratti 7-2 5th


P5 Grid:

1: 5-7 (A), 1-6 (B), 4 (C)
2: 10 (A), 3-9 (B), 2-4 (C)
3: 4 (A), - (B), 5-6 (C)
4: 1-3 (A), 2-6 (B), - (C)
5: 1-2 (A), 5 (B), 4-7 (C)

Simple main (4x3x1x4x3): $72
Full (A/B/C's): $76


P4 Grid:

2: 10 (A), 3-9 (B), 2-4 (C)
3: 4 (A), 5-6 (B), 1 (C)
4: 1-3 (A), 2-6 (B), 4-5-7-8-9-10 (C)
5: 1-2 (A), 5 (B), 4-7 (C)

Simple main (3x3x4x3): $54
Full (A/B/C's): $50

$0.50 Pick 4 (10/2,3,5/1/2) Paid $653.00


6th: MSW, 2yo, 6.5f (P6, P3, DD)

Best Value: #8 Zennor 6-1 5th
Next Best: #6 Money Changer 4-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #7 Bold Conquest 5-2 WON ($7.70)
Super Add: #4 Noble Hustle 5-1 4th


7th: CLM, 3+, 9.5f-T (G/S, P3, DD)

Grand Rapport obviously the horse to beat but interesting that Bruce Brown went back for Gourmet Dinner whose good turf races fit here..

Most Likely: #1 Grand Rapport 8-5 2nd
Best Value: #2 Gourmet Dinner 10-1 3rd
Next Best: #8 Cozy Kitten 6-1 WON ($12.80)
Exotics Use: #4 Sandyinthesun 15-1 5th


8th: ALW/N1X, 3+, 7f (P4, P3, DD)

As tweeted last night, this may not be the King's Bishop or Forego, but there won't be a more intriguing 7f race run at the meet than this. A mindbender that requires virtually all to start the late P4..

SCR NOTE: Mammouth exit from event by Crafty Dreamer..

Most Likely: #5 Surfing U S A 7-2 10th
Best Value: #6 Dream Saturday 15-1 WON ($29.00)
Next Best: #4 Scam 8-1 7th
Exotics Use: #1 Mosler 6-1 11th
Super Add: #9 Rich 'n' Tuck 10-1 4th


9th: NY-OC/N2X, 3+, 1m-IT (P3, DD)

Best Value: #4 Western Tryst 12-1 6th
Next Best: #7 Mobridge 9-2 2nd
Exotics Use: #2 Orino 3-1 WON ($7.10)
Super Add: #3 Hurry Up Alan 7-2 7th


10th: 134th Alabama S. (G1), 3yo-F, 10f (DD)

With more and more examination, this turns out to be a terrific edition of one the venues most cherished events. As discussed this week on ATR, the mile and a quarter is as much a dividing point for 3yo fillies at thistime of year as the Derby trip is for sophs in May. Dallas Stewart occasionally wins big races and with Golden Soul and Commanding Curve the last two years on the first Saturday, he has shown ability to point for a targeted classic successfully. In the CCA Oaks, Unbridled Forever ran the runner up race that Commissioner ran in the Peter Pan behind Tonalist. She should get the opportunity to pass Stopchargingmaria here in a better scenario than 4 weeks ago..

Most Likely: #1 Unbridled Forever 4-1 8th
Next Best: #5 Got Lucky 5-1 5th
Exotics Use: #9 Size 5-1 9th
Super Add: #8 Stopchargingmaria 2-1 WON ($4.00)


11th: OC, 3yo, 8.5f-IT

Terrific finale to cap off an outstanding day of racing..

Most Likely: #1 Innovation Economy 6-1 7th
Next Best: #6 Broadway Zen 6-1 8th
Best Value: #3 Woodfield Springs 15-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #4 Request 3-1 5th
Super Add: #9 Shaun's Blessing 4-1 6th


P4 Grid:

8: 5 (A), 4-6 (B), 1-9-13 (C)
9: 4-7 (A), 2 (B), 3-5-9 (C)
10: 1-5 (A), 8-9 (B), 2-3-4-6 (C)
11: 1-6 (A), 3-4 (B), 7-9 (C)

Simple main (3x3x4x4): $72
Full (A/B/C's): $80



ARLINGTON PARK


POST-SCRATCHES


7th: American St. Leger, 3+, 13.5f-T (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #9 Eye of the Storm 6-1 5th
Best Value: #7 Havana Beat 15-1 3rd
Next Best: #8 Admiral Kitten 10-1 6th
Exotics Use: #2 Dandino 3-1 2nd


8th: Secretariat (G1), 3yo, 10f-T (P5, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #6 Adelaide 8-5 WON ($4.20)
Best Value: #4 General Jack 10-1 7th
Next Best: #9 Tourist 5-2 2nd
Exotics Use: #1 Global View 5-1 4th


9th: Beverly D (G1), F&M-3+, 9.5f-T (P4, P3, DD)

Simply spectacular assembly of F&M turf talent. The Breeders' Cup version of this may not be better..

Most Likely: #9 ALTERITE 4-1 11th
Best Value: #1 Just the Judge 6-1 3rd
Next Best: #5 Stephanie's Kitten 7-2 2nd
Exotics Use: #11 Somali Lemonade 6-1 5th


10th: Arlington Million (G1), 3+, 10f-T (P3, DD)

Best Value: #5 Up With the Birds 6-1 4th
Next Best: #2 Smoking Sun 9-2 6th
Exotics Use: #3 Magician 7-5 2nd
Super Add: #6 Real Solution 5-2 7th


P4 Grid:

7: 9 (A), 7-8 (B), 2-3 (C)
8: 4-6-9 (A), 1 (B), - (C)
9: 9 (A), 1-5 (B), 2-10 (C)
10: 2-5 (A), 3-6 (B), 4-7 (C)

Simple main (3x4x3x4): $72
Full (A/B/C's): $66 (With A's -- 9/4-6-9/9/2-5 for $1)


Good luck!
Steve

[Kasept]

SAR SCR/CHG'S

[atolunch]

Great job on the early P4!!

Congrats and thanks as always

Here's to a great Millionaires weekend

[Bogey]

Steve, nice work!!!

[ADJMK]

Nice job on the early P4. Great payout for the prices involved. GL on the rest of the day

[downtown denny]

Steve, can not believe the pick 4 paid that much!!!!

[Kasept]

Larry, Gus, AD, Denny..

Thanks fellas.. Made one fateful decision that prevented the day from being very special, but a terrific afternoon all around with a mammoth crowd and great action. Hope everyone got something nice and did well.

[saratogadew]

"a mammoth crowd" is right! Wow.