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#1
09-18-2013, 07:15 AM
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9/18: Belmont Park ($177k C/O)
BELMONT PARK
POST-SCRATCHES 1st: MSW, 2yo-F, 6f (P5, P3, DD) Confounding 6 pack with 5 FTS from good outfits and Mott/Live Oak 2nd timer Naughtynaightygirl (Bernardini) that debuted upstate, took some money, and had some things go against her right from the break. Chad Brown sends $475k Rubindy (Bernardini), a half sis to SW Beautician & Bella Castani.. Best Value: #6 Rubindy 4-1 4th Next Best: #5 Naughtynaughtygirl 7-2 6th Exotics Use: #1 Sustainable 5-1 2nd 2nd: OC/N1X, F&M-3+, 6.5f (P4, P3, DD) Nice bunch and fun wagering affair. Bridgehampton SCR'D may just wire them, but if you can get a little pressure on her, perhaps returning Single Forever (8-1) can pounce off a potentially sweet inside stalking voyage.. Best Value: #3 Single Forever 8-1 6th Next Best: #7 Merry Meadow 4-1 2nd Exotics Use: #1 Tanglewood Tale 5-1 WON ($11.00) Super Add: #5 Cape Cod Carol 10-1 3rd 3rd: MCLM/$16k, F&M-3+, 1m (P3, DD) These always have potential to turn into a staggerfest. Taylor Jagger should be fit for assignment after a summer of turf routing. An Esler/Decarlo Double? Maybe.. Best Value: #3 Taylor Jagger 5-1 WON ($8.30) Next Best: #7 Malibu Queen 4-1 2nd Exotics Use: #4 Flamingo Lane 3-1 4th Super Add: #8 Lady C Note 10-1 3rd 4th: NY-MSW, F&M-3+, 1m (P3, DD) Tricky set with a few having quality efforts somewhere in their running lines. Almost no one would be an utter shock.. Most Likely: #5 Brandini 5-1 2nd Best Value: #1 La Java 12-1 5th Next Best: #4 Isn'tshewonderful 8-1 8th Exotics Use: #3 Sky Lassie 6-1 4th 5th: CLM, 3+, 6f-IT (P6, P3, DD) $177k C/O starts here.. 2nd Wednesday in a row where we are confronted by a slippery carryover sequence. Those that aren't P6 players will have plenty of fun betting the skein individually. As discussed Tuesday with Andy Serling, the obvious players simply look better than the price alternatives and modest budgets may just have to live or die with them.. Most Likely: #3 Driven by Solar 5-1 (A) 2nd Next Best: #1 Don't Say No 3-1 (B) 6th Exotics Use: #6 Smiling Bob 7-2 (C) 3rd Super Add: #4 Folk Singer 6-1 (C) WON ($9.20) <$50 P5 Play: 1: 1-2-3-4-5-6 2: 3-7 3: 3 4: 1-3-4-5 5: 1-3 6x2x1x4x2 = 96 x .50 = $48 <$50 P4 Play: 2: 3-7 3: 3-4-7 4: 1-3-4-5 5: 1-3-4-6 2x3x4x4 = 96 x .50 = $48 6th: NY-ALW/N1X, F&M-3+, 7f-T (G/S, P3, DD) As Andy opined Tuesday, 7f-T at Belmont is less orderly than a route but far less chaotic than a dash. At least 7 of these 12 (1-2-4-7-8-9-11) look capable of winning, so your budget will determine how much P6 coverage you can manage. Feels like the front half of the field will produce the winner with the pace closer to honest than frenetic.. Most Likely: #11 Atlantic's Smile 5-1 (A) 2nd Best Value: #7 Nonnie Connie 15-1 (B) 5th Exotics Use: #4 Desert Bliss 8-1 (B) WON ($10.80) Super Add: #2 A Prettydixie 10-1 (C) 7th 7th: OC/S-ALW, F&M-3+, 8.5f-IT (P4, P3, DD) Best Value: #7 Jean's Surprise 8-1 (A) 4th Next Best: #1 Holiday's Jewel 5-2 (A) 7th Exotics Use: #2 Sabouli 7-2 (C) 6th Super Add: #8 Mah Jong Maddnes 10-1 (C) WON ($26.20) 8th: OC/N2X, F&M-3+, 1m-T (P3, DD) Favored Floral Romance has faced toughies every time out and notably comes back for first time in career without a layoff line. Not only that, but she slipped in a work since Spa start where she ran behind KMc's nice With Sugar On Top. Good, competitive race but think you can really lean on Mott miss here.. Most Likely: #6 FLORAL ROMANCE 2-1 (A) 4th Best Value: #7 Rock My Heart 6-1 (B) 5th Next Best: #8 Sweet and Lovely 4-1 (C) 6th Exotics Use: #2 Ready Signal 15-1 (X) 3rd 9th: NY-OC/C, 3+, 6.5f (DD) Going to roll dice and say fact that Midwest & Ness (now Perillo) couldn't get Be Bullish to the track in modest time after claim is a big negative. At the same time on the positive side, they aren't dropping him to the bottom fire sale style. Playing against and still a difficult call. Note that Modern Child wasted the whole summer trying grass. Returns to dirt finally and adds hood. Can boost exotics skimming rail.. Most Likely: #4 Jeter 4-1 (A) 7th Next Best: #6 Litigate 5-1 (B) 5th Best Value: #2 Modern Child 30-1 (C) 4th Exotics Use: #8 Crackerjack Jones 15-1 (C) WON ($18.80) 10th: MCLM/$25k, 3+, 7f-T Very tough finish to the challenging P6 sequence and excellent day of racing.. Most Likely: #7 Gridiron Great 7-2 (A) 2nd Next Best: #12 Ride a Song 3-1 (A) 4th Exotics Use: #11 St. Sincere 5-1 (B) 8th Best Value: #4 Omos Journey 10-1 (C) 5th Super Add: #3 Dendrite 5-1 (C) 3rd <$150 P6 Play: 5: 1-3-6 6: 4-7-11 7: 1-7 8: 6 9: 4-6 10: 7-12 3x3x2x1x2x2 = 72 x $2 = $144 <$75 P4 Play: 7: 1-7 8: 6-7 9: 1-2-3-4-5-6-8-9 10: 4-7-11-12 2x2x8x4 = 128 x .50 = $64 Good luck! Steve
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command. ~ George Orwell, 1984. Last edited by Kasept : 09-18-2013 at 05:29 PM. 
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#3
09-18-2013, 10:05 AM
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__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command. ~ George Orwell, 1984. Last edited by Kasept : 09-18-2013 at 10:20 AM.
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#4
09-18-2013, 12:28 PM
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Quote:
 The extra time in the morning a help. On the flip side, getting changes done post-SCR obviously now squeezed.
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command. ~ George Orwell, 1984.
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#5
09-18-2013, 04:28 PM
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1-2-6-8-9-10 are not covered in P6.. $540k triple carry if not hit.
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command. ~ George Orwell, 1984.
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#6
09-18-2013, 04:52 PM
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THE FIRST TIME STARTER!
$540k C/O THURSDAY! 
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command. ~ George Orwell, 1984.
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#7
09-18-2013, 04:52 PM
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Quote:
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Linear Mode
