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#1
09-09-2012, 08:05 AM
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9/9: Belmont Park ($40k C/O)
Fun, eclectic day of racing Saturday with wide variety of stakes action providing a number of interesting results. Arguably the most important performance of the day came from Groupie Doll who returned in the G2 Presque Isle Masters and could not have looked better in a facile win over 10 others. Buff and Fred Bradley's bruising Bowman's Band filly launched her rally midway on the backstretch and smoothly inhailed half a dozen foes before confronting It's Me Mom at the top of the stretch and drawing off to a 3+ length win in a sharp 1:16.1 over the Erie Tapeta. She earned a 95 Beyer for the comeback effort and after a stop at Keeneland, should be perfectly tuned for a Breeders' Cup F&M Sprint or down the hill Turf Sprint try. Considering that the top 3 finishers were 7th-9th-8th after the opening quarter and 5th-8th-6th after a half, It's Me Mom ran some race to be 4th beaten 2 long necks for 2nd.
Meanwhile, results of the day's P4 action was wholly unproductive with various manner of miscues derailing the plays. The summer's quixotic Saratoga results invaded opening day at Belmont with some tough to find winners producing a $40k carryover for Sunday. Highlights of the day at Elmont included Sean Avery returning a winner of the overnight Affiliate S., Air Support taking the Bowling Green under a tactful John Velazquez and Tizracer dusting the anticipated MSW while earning a 92 Beyer. At Arlington and Louisiana Downs, whiffs in single legs -- the Unbridled at LaD and Lassie at AP -- prevented quad bingos. Bourbon Courage gave Kellyn Gorder the first graded stakes win of his training career with a thoroughly dominating performance in the Super Derby that earned a 94 Beyer. Gorder, whose previous top stakes performer had been MSP Travel Advisory, has done nice work converting Bourbon Courage, a $15k F-T July yearling by Lion Heart, away from being a one dimensional speedball. The Empire-bred Hettinger (Hessonite v. Gitchee Goomee!) and Ashley Cole anchor the solid sequence at Belmont and note a $63k C/O at Fairplex. Hope you did OK Saturday... BELMONT PARK POST-SCRATCHES 5th/10th OFF THE TURF; 'SOFT' GOING FOR 6th-8th 5th: MDN CLM, 3+, 6f-OFF THE TURF (P6, P3, DD) $40k P6 C/O starts here.. Best Value: #11 Tricky Guy 6-1 7th Next Best: #12 Stormy Acre 2-1 2nd Exotics Use: #8 Here Comes Drz 5-2 5th Super Add: #3 Back Room Deal 5-1 4th 6th: 4th John Hettinger-NY, F&M-3+, 9f-IT (G/S, P3, DD) Most Likely: #3 Hessonite 6-5 WON ($3.20) Best Value: #5 Inimitable Romanee 6-1 3rd Next Best: #7 Gitchee Goomee 9-5 4th Exotics Use: #4 Freedom Rings 15-1 2nd 7th: MSW, 2yo-F, 7f-T (P4, P3, DD) Good looking group based on pages with sib and sire power from several. Siding with those that have had starts with top pair particularly employable getting over to lawn.. Most Likely: #12 Girluphigh 4-1 10th Best Value: #11 Pink Traffic 6-1 8th Next Best: #5 Jonata 8-1 12th Exotics Use: #2 Jane of All Trades 3-1 3rd 8th: 37th Ashley T. Cole-NY, 3+, 9f-IT (P3, DD) Familiar foes with top betting choices having exchanged blows any number of times. Several here have successfully negotiated squishy footing and note Abilio -- who will likely set pace -- owns a 'soft' course win. Difficult to eliminate players for your P6.. Most Likely: #1 Street Game 4-1 3rd Next Best: #6 Compliance Officer 5-2 2nd Exotics Use: #4 Lubash 2-1 WON ($6.60) Super Add: #8 Abilio 12-1 8th 9th: CLM, F&M-3+, 6f (DD) Most Likely: #5 Salvar 3-1 10th Best Value: #7 Theatre Queen 6-1 4th Next Best: #3 Mess in a Dress 7-2 7th Exotics Use: #10 Dear Elizabeth 8-1 2nd 10th: MSW-NY, F&M-3+, 7f-OFF THE TURF Yes Nine Loves ran a big race in her debut, but Dominic Galluscio wouldn't have run her at the bottom if she was any kind of horse. The added fact that she sat out all of July off the claim and subsequently returned with a decidedly shoddy worktab spells trouble to me. Englehart eminently capable, but I have my doubts about the 9-5 ML fave.. SCR NOTE: Islarama DOES NOT go which changes approach.. Most Likely: #1 Drinksonthehouse 3-1 WON ($7.60) Next Best: #14 Nine Loves 9-5 2nd Best Value: #11 Going Going Gone 8-1 4th Exotics Use: #7 Ms. True Way 20-1 3rd <$150 P6 Play: 5: 11-12 6: 3 7: 11-12 8: 1-4-6 9: 3-5-7 10: 1-14 2x1x2x3x3x2 = 72 x $2 = $144 <$75 P4 Play: 7: 2-5-11-12 8: 1-4-6-8 9: 3-5-7 10: 1-11-14 4x4x3x3 = 144 x .50 = $72 Good luck! Steve
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command. ~ George Orwell, 1984. Last edited by Kasept : 09-09-2012 at 04:45 PM. 
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#2
09-09-2012, 09:11 AM
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Are you betting any of these to win? Would you play a pik 6 and be OK having 5 right going into the last and tossing Nine loves? What would you do going into the last with 5 right and not have the 1st or 2nd betting choice, bet a few thousand to win on the fav to hedge?
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#3
09-09-2012, 09:41 AM
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Quote:
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command. ~ George Orwell, 1984.
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#4
09-09-2012, 09:56 AM
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__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command. ~ George Orwell, 1984.
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#5
09-09-2012, 10:08 AM
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Quote:
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command. ~ George Orwell, 1984.
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#7
09-09-2012, 03:46 PM
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Quote:
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command. ~ George Orwell, 1984.
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#8
09-09-2012, 03:59 PM
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Quote:
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#9
09-10-2012, 09:47 AM
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i miss saratoga mondays already
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