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#1
02-21-2012, 12:50 PM
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Cigar
While I was searching through my files for Lil E Tee's form this morning - I found Cigar's stuff.
One of the most interesting questions ever is what Cigar might have done if he was not repeatedly raced on turf after his awesome maiden win on dirt. Cigar got left by about 2 full lengths at the gate...  He was gunned up into a breakaway speed duel with the 6/5 favorite...  He dueled the favorite into submission (the favorite was beaten 8 lengths going six furlogns) and Cigar held on to win by 2.25 lengths with a 93 Beyer. That same week, fellow 3-year-old and eventual divison champion Praire Bayou won the Preakness with a 98 Beyer. The 2nd place finisher to Cigar, who sucked up, came back and won his next two starts on dirt. Cigar's sire was a Group 1 winner at 10 furlongs. His damsire was triple crown winner Seattle Slew. He just wins a sprint with a monster tough trip and the Beyer is almost as fast as the Preakness that week...Arcangues won that years BC Classic at 140/1 or so. Cigar did win his next 16 dirt starts in a row after the maiden win ... but I had always wondered how much more he could have done if 16 months of his career wasn't being foolishly wasted on a surface he obviously hated.  The running line comment in his fast maiden win was simply "off slowly, rushed" ... it's easy to fault Hassinger... but P. Val deserves some of the blame as well for getting Cigar left and riding such a piss poor race to rush him into a crazy speed duel after that. 
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#2
02-21-2012, 01:19 PM
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With regards to the "wasted 16 months", you're ignoring a few issues.
Cigar was of questionable soundness, at least early in his career. He didn't debut until Feb of his 3yo, ran poorly, and immediately went back to the sidelines, returning 3 months later for his maiden win. Logistically, the switch to turf made sense for a couple of reasons. First, the pedigree. Palace Music was a Group 1 winner on turf. I presume the second dam, Argentinian Gold Sun, a multiple Group 1 winner, won her fair share of turf races, too. In addition, most of the summer racing for 3yos in CA is turf-oriented. Note that turf rivals like Tossofthecoin, Nonproductiveasset, and Zignew, were also ultimately more accomplished on the dirt. There just aren't any main track goals in CA passed July for straight 3yos. I suppose Cigar could have been rushed into the Swaps, the last major stakes on dirt in CA for straight 3yos, but would he have held together? The move to turf allowed him to slowly progress through his allowance conditions rather than right into stakes company while possibly being "kinder" to him physically. Also, I wouldn't say Cigar detested turf. Cigar handled the turf perfectly well, at least in CA. His one dull effort was the Hollywood Derby, which led to an 8 month layoff and a switch to Bill Mott on the East Coast.
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#3
02-21-2012, 01:26 PM
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While I agree with all this, it still is pretty dumb that a horse that displayed his talent on dirt was basically never tried on it again until the horse changed connections. Even then it seems it was done more on a whim than anything else. It was a last ditch effort. If I owned a horse after that maiden win, there is NO WAY IN HELL I'm not giving him many more chances on dirt.
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#4
02-21-2012, 01:43 PM
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Had Cigar stayed in one piece in CA, I would guess that Alex Hassinger wouldn't have missed an opportunity to run Cigar in the Strub series (just like many of the horses that were running in the same turf races as he was in the summer).
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#5
02-21-2012, 01:43 PM
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I suppose racing on the grass is a little easier on a young horse ... and he did have a turf sire and some turf in the female family, although I never liked Seattle Slew's on turf.
Still. He proved to be plenty sound and sturdy. His maiden win on the dirt was a sneaky blockbuster win...and in a horrible 3yo crop and a BC Classic won by a 140-to-1 shot with grass breeding of his own ... I'm pretty sure Cigar could have at least done Tiznow like damage in the second half of his 3yo season.
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#6
02-21-2012, 01:55 PM
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#7
02-21-2012, 02:27 PM
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Instead, they'll be running for $750k purses in the next few weeks and might not be around come July, never mind as 4yos.
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#8
02-21-2012, 02:40 PM
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Cigar didn't suck on turf.
What the problem was was that as he crossed the wire in his maiden win, I turned to my friend and told him he was going to win the Breeders Cup Turf, and I then proceeded to bet him in all of his California turf starts. Had that not happened, he probably would have won champion turf male as a 3yo.
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#9
02-21-2012, 02:47 PM
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Cigar was so strong, fast and intimidating that his mere presence caused other horses to break down... Holy Bull was a victim of this..
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#10
02-21-2012, 02:54 PM
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#11
02-21-2012, 03:07 PM
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Good memory... it was one of the most ridiculous opinions I've read on a message board.. right next to an actual trainer thinking Rick's Natural Star belonged in the 96 Turf..
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#12
02-22-2012, 07:47 AM
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i witnessed the arlington race ..talk about beating noone..cant believe his figure was that high..
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#13
02-22-2012, 04:38 PM
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#14
02-23-2012, 07:06 PM
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#15
02-23-2012, 08:13 PM
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Suddenly a new contender has emerged.
__________________
Just more nebulous nonsense from BBB
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#17
02-23-2012, 08:33 PM
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#18
02-23-2012, 10:34 PM
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#19
02-23-2012, 10:42 PM
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