Future Odds for Derby

[wac]

i have only bet on these a few times but checking the odds out they just seem so LOW. someone on here has said that the books really got creamed in the past but still dad gum i went to look at a horse that i started a topic on Fed Bix and he is alreay went from 200-1 to 60-1 does that mean so many people have bet on him or did the books do that? Seems like a crappy way to get bets in. i would love to have a future book bet b/c i think they are fun just betting $20 or so but i can't see myself doing anything thsi year. very disappointing action by the books.

[Monarchos1]

In most cases, the drops are reflective of significant action on a horse. But books may also drop when they believe they underestimated a runner initially. Sometimes the emergence of a key race or possible key race will prompt a change on horses exiting that.

[lemoncrush]

It doesn't take much money to drastically reduce a horses odds. Until Churchill decides to actually make their Kentucky Derby future pool available earlier, and with more than 24 betting interests, Vegas odds will almost always be lower than they should be, since so few casinos offer them.

It's not a pari-mutuel pool, so they list them at whatever they want. In order to get lucky, you need to find a horse and bet him before their "big" win. West coast runners typically get pounded down a lot earlier, since so many Vegas horse players concentrate on California tracks (and since so many Californian's visit Vegas regularly).