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#1
12-26-2011, 08:03 AM
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12/26: Santa Anita (Opening Day; 1st-9th)
Hope everyone had a wonderful Christmas and are ready for the best unopened present.. Meet Kick Off at Santa Anita!
SANTA ANITA POST-SCRATCHES 1st: Cal Breeders Ch., 2yo-F, 7f (.50 P5, P4, Place Pick All, DD, Super) Much more competitive than 6-5 on Ismene might indicate. Both Tangerine Tickle and Belloma -- second timers after quality debut wins -- can jump up at 6-1.. Best Value: #1 Tangerine Tickle 6-1 4th Next Best: #6 Ismene 6-5 WON ($3.20) Exotics Use: #5 Belloma 6-1 6th Super Add: #3 Willa B Awesome 5-2 2nd 2nd: MDN CLM, 3+, 6.5f (.50 P4, P3, DD, Super) Most Likely: #4 Zapeye 4-1 6th Next Best: #10 Trando's Tremor 3-1 7th Exotics Use: #6 Street Titan 5-2 3rd Super Add: #5 What a Rush 4-1 WON ($8.00) 3rd: MSW, 2yo, 6f (P3, DD, Super) Regular readers know my tendency is to look elsewhere when a horse like Midnight Transfer (3-1) -- short priced with 0-fer a handful -- is involved. In this case, I'll give Gaines' Hard Spun colt a chance to get it done off sequence of nice works during freshener. Mandella returns Unmarked Bills (6-1), half to Regal Ransom (Distorted Humor) and doomed Devil May Care (Malibu Moon) and Posse son may improve significantly with bow under belt. (Mandella 20% W's, 58% ITM with 2nd out 2yo's). Pair of Baffert firsters look serious off series of sharp drills with Lasso getting Martin Garcia and Bernster Rafael Bejarano. Bernster is a full to Cal sire Marino Marini who was nipped a head by Southern Image in the Malibu 8 years ago today.. Most Likely: #5 Midnight Transfer 3-1 WON ($6.40) Best Value: #8 Bernster 4-1 2nd Next Best: #2 Lasso 7-2 8th Exotics Use: #9 Coaltown Cat 6-1 4th 4th: S/ALW, 3+, 1m-T (P6, P3, DD, Super) Quirky starter group.. Most Likely: #5 Panther's Claw 4-1 7th Best Value: #10 Personalitry 8-1 2nd Next Best: #7 Sanibel Sid 3-1 8th Exotics Use: #2 El Tango Rey 6-1 3rd 5th: MSW, 3+, 6.5f (P3, DD, Super) Most Likely: #6 Fiarano 5-2 2nd Next Best: #10 Doubledown On Ten 7-2 4th Best Value: #9 American Blend 6-1 WON ($23.00) Exotics Use: #7 Octane 6-1 5th <$50 P5 Play: 1: 1-5-6 2: 4 3: 3-5-8 4: 2-5-7-10 5: 6-10 3x1x3x4x2 = 72 x .50 = $36 6th: CLM, 3+, 6.5f-T (P4, P3, DD, Super) The great Kelly Leak on hand for Santa Anita Opening Day festivities! This is an excellent group for $25k and with Mr. Commons ultra likely in the Sir Beaufort, you may want to spread as wide as possible here to start the P4. I'll add #3 Achak (9-2) to the quad play.. Best Value: #1 Rainbow Goose 15-1 5th Next Best: #5 Mr. Bossy Pants 7-2 WON ($4.80) Exotics Use: #9 El Merito 9-2 9th Super Add: #11 Kelly Leak 4-1 6th 7th: Cal Breeders Ch., 2yo, 7f (P3, DD, Super) Most Likely: #2 Passing Game 7-2 3rd Next Best: #7 Stoney Fleece 5-2 5th Exotics Use: #5 Motown Men 7-2 7th Super Add: #4 Johnny Be Mine 4-1 4th 8th: 12th Sir Beaufort (G3), 3yo, 1m-T (DD, Super) Mr. Commons takes what can only be described as a major class drop off BC Mile.. Most Likely: #4 Mr. Commons 9-5 WON ($4.20) Best Value: #6 Irish Art 10-1 2nd Next Best: #8 Ultimate Eagle 3-1 3rd Exotics Use: #2 Venomous 4-1 5th 9th: 60th Malibu (G1), 3yo, 7f (Super, Super Hi-5) Fascinating set for this final G1 for 3yo boys. With a well-matched group lined up of mostly sprint sorts, play out a scenario in your mind and bet it that way using the best price(s). There's at least 6 here that take little imagination to see in the winner's circle.. Most Likely: #4 Rothko 9-2 2nd Best Value: #9 Associate 6-1 3rd Next Best: #11 The Factor 7-2 WON ($7.20) Exotics Use: #2 Centralinteligence 8-1 11th Hi-5 Play: #6 Hoorayforhollywood 8-1 6th <$75 P4 Play: 6: 1-3-5-9-11 7: 2-5-7 8: 4 9: 2-4-6-9-11 5x3x1x5 = 75 x .50 = $37.50 (Play twice for $75) Good luck! Steve
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command. ~ George Orwell, 1984. Last edited by Kasept : 12-26-2011 at 09:19 PM. 
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#3
12-26-2011, 12:35 PM
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__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command. ~ George Orwell, 1984.
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#6
12-26-2011, 04:42 PM
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First SA P5 of season pays $56k (And that is the .50 payoff)... $77k P5 C/O already at Gulfstream for Thursday..
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command. ~ George Orwell, 1984.
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#7
12-26-2011, 05:27 PM
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Just talked to Hammerle.. (who gave out $23 American Blend Friday).. and he says they have a tremendous crowd there at SA. He thinks it's bigger than the Friday BC attendances.
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command. ~ George Orwell, 1984.
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#8
12-26-2011, 05:58 PM
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__________________
Good jockeys don't need instructions and bad ones don't follow them
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#10
12-26-2011, 06:45 PM
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C/O Thursday: $148k
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command. ~ George Orwell, 1984.
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