3/26: Gulfstream ($117k C/O); Fair Grounds (6th-10th)

[Kasept]

The parade of implaussible winners refused to end Thursday at Gulfstream with $40 horses bookending the P6 sequence which again carried over after just three legs. Steve Klesaris produced the first 20-1 winner in Moose Man ahead of Steve DiMauro's head-scratching wire job Alwaysacontest ($21.80) and George Weaver's tough to like Molly Molly Molly ($35.80). That P3 was good for $9,200, a skein which outpayed the P4 ($8,602) that started with 'Molly' and ended with $42.80 Al's Big Girl.

After two days of erratic results and the P6 pool at $117k, the irresistable Gulfstream situation threatens to drain the bankroll ahead of a big weekend of racing. In addition, the sequence ends with a $6,250 claiming affair that can could produce a horse you wouldn't find with the 'all' button. Tough to invest heavily... Plus, don't forget that the Fair Grounds Oaks card is also on today's agenda!


GULFSTREAM PARK


POST-SCRATCHES


OFF THE TURF -- EXTENSIVE CHANGES


5th: MDN CLM, 3+, 5.5f (P6, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #4 Raising Timber 5-2 5th
Next Best: #5 Crack Thepat 5-1 WON ($7.40)
Best Value: #7 Close Range 6-1 6th
Super Add: #2 Expedition 3-1 4th


6th: S/ALW, 3yo, 1m -- OFF THE TURF -- (P3, DD)

Field SCR'd down to #'s 2-3-5-7

Most Likely: #5 Richie Rules 3rd
Next Best: #2 Concert Stage 2nd


7th: CLM/N3L, 3+, 6f (P4, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #6 Maria's Charm 5-2 2nd
Best Value: #10 Dancing Nick 10-1 7th
Next Best: #8 Triple Honor 4-1 3rd
Super Add: #4 Mize the Big Cat 6-1 WON ($9.20)


8th: CLM/N3L, F&M-3+, 5f -- OFF THE TURF -- (P3, DD, Super)

#'s 1-2-3-4-5-7-11 remain after SCR's

Best Value: #4 Shift It WON ($15.80)
Next Best: #2 Cheeca Storm 3rd


9th: CLM, F&M-4+, 8.5f -- OFF THE TURF -- (DD, Super)

#'s 2-4-8-11-12 remain after SCR's

Most Likely: #8 Omega Cat WON ($4.60)
Best Value: #2 Marija's Wish 3rd
Next Best: #11 Bob's Jawbreaker 2nd


10th: CLM, 4+, 9f (Super)

Uggh... Awfully difficult to place modest P6 wager with confidence when the anchor leg is a race like this: Inscrutible and generally inconsistent cheap claimers..

Most Likely: #4 Sleek John 4-1 WON ($4.60)
Best Value: #2 Charko 6-1 2nd
Next Best: #11 Soy Latino 5-2 3rd
Super Add: #7 Northern Academy 8-1 11th


<$75 P6 Play:

5: 4-5
6: 2-5
7: 6-10
8: 4
9: 2-8
10: 2-4

2x2x2x1x2x2 = 32 x $2 = $64


<$40 P4 Play:

7: 4-6-8-10
8: 2-4
9: 2-8-11
10: 2-4-11

4x2x3x3 = 72 x $.50 = $36

$0.50 Pick 4 Paid $243.35



FAIR GROUNDS


POST-EARLY SCRATCHES


6th: 24th Bienville, F&M-4+, 5.5f-T (P3, Super)

Most Likely: #1 West Ocean 7-2 WON
Best Value: #10 Seeking Ms Shelly 8-1 3rd
Next Best: #7 Northern Belle 9-2 5th
Super Add: #5 Coy Cat 3-1 4th


7th: 5th Crescent City Oaks-LA, 3yo-F, 1m-40y (P4, P3, Super)

Best Value: #2 Daphne Angela 6-1 WON
Next Best: #1a (POE) Lunar Fest 9-2 2nd
Exotics Use: #6 Conscions Contact 8-1 10th
Super Add: #9 Ladyzarbridge 7-2 3rd


8th: 42nd Bayou H., F&M-4+, 9f-T (P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #3 Tizaqueena 9-5 WON
Next Best: #2 Never Retreat 3-1 3rd
Best Value: #4 Category Seven 9-2 4th
Super Add: #5 A She's Adorable 5-1 2nd


9th: 44th Fair Grounds Oaks (G2), 3yo, 8.5f (DD, Super)

Despite the flashy connections, it's tough to be enthralled over 3-1 ML choice Ailelea who has been AWOL much of the year after promise-laden juvy campaign. Still hasn't been around two turns, and while same can be said of Mambo Fever, at least she has form and a worthwhile tab. Note too that Tiffany Lass/SBD winner Jody Slew was uncertain for this after casting herself in her stall last week..

Most Likely: #4 Mambo Fever 6-1 5th
Best Value: #6 Visavis 8-1 10th
Next Best: #11 Ailalea 3-1 6th
Super Add: #1 Quiet Temper 7-2 WON


10th: MSW, 3yo-F, 5.5f-T (Super, Super High 5)

Most Likely: #5 Eagle Hall 3-1 5th
Next Best: #4 Four Daughters 4-1 9th
Best Value: #6 Suekel 12-1 2nd
Super Add: #12 Little Egypt 12-1 4th
High 5 Play: #10 Elusive Temper 12-1 WON


<$75 P4 Play:

7: 1-2
8: 2-3-4-5-6
9: 4-6-11
10: 4-5-6-10-12

2x5x3x5 = 150 x .50 = $75


Good luck!
Steve