6/18: Hollywood ($125k C/O)

[Kasept]

Was rolling through the Belmont card adroitly Wednesday before the tricky 7th (Titan of Industry) stopped my run. Previously though, the $240+ early P4 was a winner for $48 which more or less guaranteed a profit for the afternoon. The P4 was nearly a bigger score with 2nd choice (Best Value) Thunder Minister coming agonizingly close to catching top tab (Most Likely) Lemon Shore. Thunder Minister was 18-1 and would have tripled the Quad payout. The $56 exacta ($1) was OK.

Tagg-Lael's Rollers, in whom I had no interest, blew out the feature, recapturing some of his lost luster from recent outings. The nightcap saw top pick (Most Likely) Chick in Slacks taken down in favor of the third choice (Next Best) Pea Stone from Bruce Levine and prominent Albany, NY area owner Roddy Valente. Behind those two came Nurse Kiki (Super Add) and American Prayer (Best Value as 1st time turf from Tom Bush), for all the necessary elements of the $381 Super ($1).

Hope you did well Wednesday... $125k Carryover at Hollywood this afternoon as weather turns nasty in the Eastern half of the country for the duration of the week (!).


HOLLYWOOD PARK


PRE-SCRATCHES


3rd: ALW/N1X, F&M-3+, 8.5f (P6, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #5 Smooth Performer 3-1: Likely fastest if set off break.. 5th
Best Value: #3 Life by R R 6-1: 3rd off break; Note MDN win this oval.. 4th
Next Best: #6 Birdie Birdie 2-1: Canani miss exits hot set; Must improve.. 6th
Exotics Use: #7 Tidal Dance 15-1: 2nd/layoff; Fast CRC races noted.. WON


4th: Cal-MDN CLM, 3+, 6.5f (P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #8 Papoose La Moose 4-1 7th
Best Value: #7 Al N Con 5-1 6th
Next Best: #5 Practical Magic 7-2 5th
Super Add: #1 Free Lunch 12-1 4th


5th: OC/N1X, 3yo-F, 1m-T (P4, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #6 Dailies 4-1: Walsh moves improving Arch filly up again.. 6th
Best Value: #1 Andalacia 12-1: Gallagher good 2nd Lasix with imports.. 2nd
Next Best: #8 Hameilaeme 5-2 WON
Super Add: #3 Always Auditioning 3-1 4th


6th: S/ALW, F&M-3+, 6f (P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #9 Spacy Tracy 9-2: Aced diploma with big fig off long break.. 2nd
Next Best: #1 Sweetpea 5-2: Mullins miss got rest off blowout MDN score.. WON
Best Value: #5 Martini Mixer 8-1 4th
Super Add: #2 Joint Agreement 8-1 5th


7th: Robert Kerlan Memorial H., 3+, 6f-T (DD, Super)

Terrific minor stake as feature with well-matched cast of characters; Look for prices in the exotics mix..

Most Likely: #2 Delta Storm 3-1: Working sharp for seasonal debut.. WON
Best Value: #4 Wild Diplomat 15-1: Overlaid gelding can stalk and go.. 4th
Next Best: #5 Candy Pull 12-1: Better on Holly lawn than down SA hill.. 3rd
Super Add: #6 Nericon King 20-1: Aussie invader in care of slickster.. 8th


8th: CLM/N2L, 3+, 6f (Super, Super High 5)

Most Likely: #15 Senor Afortunado 3-1 WON
Best Value: #12 Flatter Me Again 20-1
Next Best: #6 Magna Cum Laude 8-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #7 All Money No Love 5-2
High 5 Play: #9 Don't Forget Muq 12-1 3rd


<$300 P6 Play:

3: 2-3-4-5-6-7
4: 7-8
5: 1-6
6: 1-9
7: 2
8: 6-12-15

6x2x2x2x1x3 = 144 x $2 = $288


<$75 P4 Play:

5: 1-3-6-8
6: 1-9
7: 2-4-5
8: 6-12-15

4x2x3x3 = $72 $1 Pick 4 (8/1,6/2/4,15,16) Paid $113.50


Good luck!
Steve

[Rootdog1]

5th: OC/N1X, 3yo-F, 1m-T (P4, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #6 Dailies 4-1: Walsh moves improving Arch filly up again..
Best Value: #1 Andalacia 12-1: Gallagher good 2nd Lasix with imports..
Next Best: #8 Hameilaeme 5-2
Super Add: #3 Always Auditioning 3-1

Does anyone on the board have a Team Valor connection to get some info on this one?

[Kasept]

Scratches

Race 2 #8 Cork Creek

Race 4 #3 Swingin Jim

Race 7 #3 Cherokee Heaven

Race 8 #16 Elusive Chief, #4 Mr. Inn Zone

[Rootdog1]

This one looks tough...could go sideways right off the bat in race 3, or could be chalky. I see a few $10 horses winning this one and it paying around $15k

3)1,5,6
4)5,8,11,12
5)3,6,8
6)1,3,9
7)1,9
8)7,9,15

3)6
4)5,9,10,12
5)6
6)1,7
7)2,8,9
8)6,7,9

3)6
4)5,8,12
5)1,3,6,8,9
6)1
7)2
8)6,7,9

[fantini33]

This one either takes short $$$$ to hit, or more $$$$ than I've got. That said, I'm opting for short $$$$.

Here goes...


Race #3) 3 6 / 5 11 / 3 / 1 5 / 2 6 / 7 15 = $64

Good Luck!!

[fantini33]

Another bomb!! Wait til they get into the tricky part of this sequence!

[geeker2]

anything but #9 is a carry-over!

[Rudeboyelvis]

Originally Posted by geeker2

anything but #9 is a carry-over!

looks like one ticket live to the 9.... also being bet down from 12-1 to 9-2 in the win pool.... Someone must really like him

[geeker2]

Byk Trains roll on..nice job again Steve!

[randallscott35]

Nice capping Steve

[Suffolk Shippers]

$522,000+ double carryover pool heading into Friday evening at the 'Wood.

With that and the CD evening card, should be a lot of fun.

[Kasept]

Thx guys... Was a fun, challenging day.

That photo cost $400+ in the P4, which would have paid for the P6 ticket. Plus, it's tough to have had one of the $30+ winners and the right single in Delta Storm and come away with nothing. Leaving the other import out of the 5th was the key misstep in not getting a conso.

[atolunch]

Another great job Steve!

The amazing roll continues. That was a brutal beat in the finale.

Thanks again for all the hard work and inputs.

Not sure if you were watching, but 1 tix was alive with the 9 in the last for a $500k score.

Heck of a day of racing. Looking forward to Churchill under the lights and the double carry at the 'Wood.

[Suffolk Shippers]

Originally Posted by Kasept

Thx guys... Was a fun, challenging day.

That photo cost $400+ in the P4, which would have paid for the P6 ticket. Plus, it's tough to have had one of the $30+ winners and the right single in Delta Storm and come away with nothing. Leaving the other import out of the 5th was the key misstep in not getting a conso.

Reminds me of my Belmont P4. Had the right $25 or so horse (Summer Bird) and the right single (Munnings) but didn't have Gabby's Golden Gal or whatever her name is. I don't collect $8500 or whatever it was. Kick in the groin. Already capping the $522k