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  #1  
Old 05-20-2009, 04:19 AM
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Kasept Kasept is offline
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Default 5/20: Belmont (4th-9th)

BELMONT PARK


POST-SCRATCHES


4th: MDN CLM, F&M-3+, 9f-T (P6, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #5 Trippi's Holiday 2-1: Wins with any advance; Has hanger look.. 5th
Best Value: #1a (POE) Caffre Cat 12-1: Note solid soggy turf debut.. 6th
Next Best: #7 Flip the Coin 6-1: Even debut; Karma pluses; Value and Ramon.. 4th
Exotics Use: #8 Twointheroom 4-1 2nd


5th: NYB-ALW/N1X, 3+, 7f-T (G/S, P3, DD, Super)

Best Value: #9 Brecciate 10-1: Red gelding seems to invite trouble lines.. 4th
Most Likely: #10 LATE SCR-RUN OFF
Next Best: #6 Woodrunner 7-2: Slight ML favorite no better than several here.. 3rd
Super Add: #8 Paul's Ace 8-1: Ritvo bay beat open for diploma; Lone speed? 10th

.10 SUPER SPOT PLAY: 8-9 with 6-8-9 with 6-7-8-9 with 5-6-7-8-9 (Post SCR): 2x2x3x4 = 48 x .10 = $4.80


6th: NYB-MSW, 3+, 9f (P4, P3, DD)

SCR #8 Fortyninegeorgest.

Best Value: #2 Gamblin Fever 12-1: Dangerous ground-saver under Jose.. WON
Most Likely: #3 W. C. Jones 7-2: Improved last out changing tactics.. 3rd
Next Best: #10 Burnished Copper 3-1: Career maiden posted poorly.. 4th
Exotics Use: #7 Cough Drop 5-1: $100k E. Mack purchase working OK for return.. 8th


7th: ALW/N1X, 3+, 1m-T (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #7 Pinckney Hill 3-1: Proved sharp in debut score WON
Best Value: #9 Le Grand Cru 5-1: Fast on main and should like lawn stretchout.. 3rd
Next Best: #1a (POE) Echo in Eternity 4-1: Better half of solid Pletcher pair..


8th: OC/N2X, F&M-3+, 1m (DD)

5-pack of sneakily well-matched missies..

Most Likely: #3 Flying Dixie 2-1: Looks best back one-turning on organic main.. WON
Next Best: #1 One Step Ahead 5-2: Won this level last; Back with tag.. 2nd
Best Value: #5 Halo Hollie 7-2: 2nd off long break; Beat stakes fillies when right.. 5th


9th: CLM/N2L, 3+, 7f-T (Super)

3-1 Frankel fave (#9 Marl) is no faster than many signed on; Looking elsewhere..

Most Likely: #3 Chinese Whisper 4-1: Takes precipitous drop under Gomez.. 2nd
Best Value: #10 Manhattan Star 6-1: Wire threat cutting off a panel.. 4th
Next Best: #8 Ballymoy 6-1: Bay took time graduating; Drowned v. ALW foes.. 9th
Super Add: #2 Snuckinandsnuckout 5-1: Obscurely bred gelding best turf sprinting.. 6th


<$75 P4 Play:

Going to try catch big numbers anywhere else and take stand in very difficult feature..

6: 2-3-5-7-10
7: 1-7-9
8: 3
9: 2-3-8-9-10

5x3x1x5 = $75

$1 Pick 4 (2/5,6,7,10/3/9) Paid $455.50


Good luck!
Steve
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Last edited by Kasept : 05-20-2009 at 04:48 PM.
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  #2  
Old 05-20-2009, 05:50 AM
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hoovesupsideyourhead hoovesupsideyourhead is offline
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steve i give pp 3 cardiff road a punchers chance in the 5th mixed up with some of these before not sure if this one was turned out or hurt saratoga drills show some promise..should be in the mix late..
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  #3  
Old 05-20-2009, 08:46 AM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by hoovesupsideyourhead
steve i give pp 3 cardiff road a punchers chance in the 5th mixed up with some of these before not sure if this one was turned out or hurt saratoga drills show some promise..should be in the mix late..
If he's ready off the break.. why not? There's many here available for board hits or more. What's wrong with Kutais and Key Victory out of their April 26 race? They're 12-1 and 15-1 respectively... Tricky event, and I'm glad it's not in the late P4.
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A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command. ~ George Orwell, 1984.
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  #4  
Old 05-20-2009, 09:23 AM
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Turns out the BEL 5th is the DRF "ROTD"...

http://www.drf.com/video/rod.html
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A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command. ~ George Orwell, 1984.
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  #5  
Old 05-20-2009, 10:04 AM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Kasept
Turns out the BEL 5th is the DRF "ROTD"...

http://www.drf.com/video/rod.html

I was just going to post it. I didn't realize they have a free race every day now. I use Bris pp's because they're free and I'm a small time bettor but avid horseplayer. I know the Beyer speed figs are superior, and I like the short commentaries underneath each horse's pp's.

This may compel me to start paying for some cards or individual races.

Here's the Barclay Tagg link for the free Bris version:
http://www.brisnet.com/cgi-bin/brisw...9/summary.html


Notice in this race how DRF and Bris diverge sharply on their "ratings" of turf pedigree of a few of the main contenders
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  #6  
Old 05-20-2009, 10:05 AM
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13,14 and 15 are scratched in the 5th

I'll side with Snipe, and put Straight Story on my watch list

Last edited by Mike : 05-20-2009 at 10:22 AM.
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  #7  
Old 05-20-2009, 10:37 AM
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Kasept Kasept is offline
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BELMONT SCRATCHES/CHANGES

4

1 (poe) Kittys Wish Early


5

13 Straight Story Early
14 Karakorum Tornado Early
15 Beneath the Crown Early


6

1A Hangingonthefuture Early
8 Fortyninegeorgest. Early


7

2B Street Move Early
10 Unbridled's Heart Early
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All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command. ~ George Orwell, 1984.
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  #8  
Old 05-20-2009, 10:56 AM
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the_fat_man the_fat_man is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Kasept



Most Likely: #7 Pinckney Hill 3-1: Proved sharp in debut score
Could be a real nice turf horse.
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  #9  
Old 05-20-2009, 11:00 AM
NTamm1215 NTamm1215 is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by the_fat_man
Could be a real nice turf horse.
1/2 brother of one of your favorite horses over the last few years.

NT
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  #10  
Old 05-20-2009, 11:01 AM
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What's this my Twinspires page is telling me?

Belmont Park Changes for Wed May 20 2009
Track Conditions: Current Weather-Partly Cloudy 64 Degrees, Turf-Firm, Dirt-Easy
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  #11  
Old 05-20-2009, 11:20 AM
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the_fat_man the_fat_man is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by NTamm1215
1/2 brother of one of your favorite horses over the last few years.

NT
Looks like him too. Same thick neck and wild, full mane.
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  #12  
Old 05-20-2009, 12:43 PM
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Kasept Kasept is offline
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Psst... The super secret horse that Nick and Fats are talking about is... English Colony!
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All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command. ~ George Orwell, 1984.
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  #13  
Old 05-20-2009, 12:46 PM
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Believe Mig rode him but, was hurt for his Breeder Cup win.
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  #14  
Old 05-20-2009, 12:53 PM
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DJARUM DJARUM is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by DaHoss9698
You're thinking of Artie Schiller.
Yeah, I was but that's not right.
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  #15  
Old 05-20-2009, 02:02 PM
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Gamblin Fever in the 6th; Big Top in the 7th; skip to the 9th and tri key of Chinese Whisper over Marl and Moonshine Mania
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  #16  
Old 05-20-2009, 03:36 PM
NTamm1215 NTamm1215 is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Kasept
Psst... The super secret horse that Nick and Fats are talking about is... English Colony!
Ha...TFM and I both took a liking to him even though he had a variety of problems.

NT
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  #17  
Old 05-20-2009, 04:06 PM
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Bring it home, Gl..............
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  #18  
Old 05-20-2009, 04:07 PM
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I'm on the Byk's P4 Train today! come on 2,3,8,9,10!
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  #19  
Old 05-20-2009, 04:33 PM
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philcski philcski is offline
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Great work Steve. Thanks for the 3 in the feature, was much the best!

P4 paid pretty well, and we've got a carryover to study for tomorrow.
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  #20  
Old 05-20-2009, 04:34 PM
bahughes bahughes is offline
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great job steve!!!
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