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#1
11-29-2008, 06:44 AM
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11/29: AQU (Cigar Day); CD (Meet Finale)
Bit of a wince-inducing day Friday as I left Einstein (my second choice) off the P4 play and watched as he clobbered Commentator who was without any possible excuse. Quad came back over $520. At Hollywood, I went 4 of 6 in the Carryover try, and as I said on ATR, knew I had made a mistake omitting Hyperbaric from the Citation play. Leaving him out cost the $635 consolation.
So despite having a number of winners on the day, came away with very little of bankroll consequence... Two more great days of action to find those heretofore elusive scores. Hope you did well. Churchill Stars of Tomorrow meet-ender today and top notch Cigar Mile Day card at the Big A. AQUEDUCT PRE-SCRATCHES 4th: MSW, 2yo, 6.5f (P6, P3, DD) Most Likely: #10 Dubinsky 3-1 4th Best Value: #7 Diplomatic Code 12-1 9th Next Best: #8 Tippity Tap 5-1 7th Exotics Use: #5 Copper Cascade 12-1 5th 5th: NYB-MSW, 3+, 8.5f-T (G/S, P3, DD, Super) Most Likely: #8 Winloc's Saint Ray 3-1 2nd Next Best: #10 Fortissi More 5-2 WON Best Value: #4 Maill Heroics 8-1 7th Exotics Use: #2 Tee With the Tiger 10-1 3rd $1 Exacta (10-8) Paid $9.80 $1 Trifecta (10-8-2) Paid $45.75 6th: 87th Demoiselle (Gr. II), 2yo-F, 9f (P4, P3, DD) Most Likely: #5 SKY DIVA 3-5 3rd Best Value: #4 Springside 6-1 WON Next Best: #2 Ain't Love Grand 7-2 4th 7th: 95th Remsen (Gr. II), 2yo, 9f (P3 , DD, Super) Most Likely: #6 OLD FASHIONED 2-1 WON Best Value: #5 Hold Me Back 6-1 5th Next Best: #2 Idol Maker 7-2 4th Exotics Use: #7 American Dance 8-1 3rd 8th: 20th Hill 'n' Dale Cigar Mile (Gr. I), 3+, 1m (DD, Super) No disrespect to Eric Donovan, but the ML for this Gr. I is difficult to fathom.. I'll offer a 1-2-3-4 instead of the usual monikers because the oddsboard will not come close to relecting the ML at post time.. 1. #4 Bribon 6-1 3rd 2. #6 Monterey Jazz 6-1 7th 3. #3 Harlem Rocker 15-1 2nd-DQ'd 4. #9 Kodiak Kowboy 7-2 5th 9th: ALW/N1X, 2+, 9f-T (Super) Most Likely: #3 My Man Lars 3-1 6th Best Value: #1 Stormy Mirage 10-1 4th Next Best: #5 Raddical Sabbatical 7-2 5th Exotics Use: #2 Forever My Friend 8-1 WON <$200 P6 Play: 4: 7-8-10 5: 2-4-8-10-11 6: 5 7: 6 8: 4-6 9: 1-3-5 3x5x1x1x2x3 = 90 x $2 = $180 <$75 P4 Play: 6: 4-5 7: 6 8: 2-3-4-5-6-9 9: 1-3-5 2x1x6x3 = 36 x $2 = $72 CHURCHILL DOWNS PRE-SCRATCHES 1st: ALW/N1X, 2yo-F, 1m (P4, P3, DD, Super) Most Likely: #7 Passion Du Coeur 8-5 3rd Next Best: #1 A.P. Elegance 3-1 2nd Best Value: #5 Oculuna 12-1 4th Exotics Use: #3 Emma Darling 2-1 WON $1 Exacta 3-1 $23.10 $1 Trifecta 3-1-7 $34.90 $1 Superfecta 3-1-7-5 $214.80 2nd: MSW, 2yo-F, 8.5f (P3, DD, Super) McPeek's #11 a deserving fave and fast, but trip an issue from marooned outpost.. Most Likely: #11 Satin Thunder 8-5 WON Best Value: #2 The Best Day Ever 5-1 3rd Next Best: #8 Abigail's Gold 5-1 8th Exotics Use: #13 SCR 3rd: ALW/N1X, 2yo, 6.5f (P3, DD, Super) Most Likely: #8 Back Away Tales 7-2 6th Best Value: #1 General Quarters 10-1 3rd Next Best: #2 Myroslaw 5-1 7th Exotics Use: #5 Silver City 4-1 WON 4th: MSW, 2yo, 7f (P3, DD, Super) Most Likely: #2 Nice Ring 6-1 4th Next Best: #12 Prospective Love 3-1 3rd Best Value: #8 Better Than Gold 15-1 12th Exotics Use: #6 Justin 7-2 5th <$75 P4 Play: 1: 1-7 2: 2-8-11 3: 1-2-3-5-6-8 4: 2-12 2x3x6x1 = $36 5th: Grand Canyon H., 2yo, 8.5f-T (P4, P3, DD, Super, Super Hi-5) Most Likely: #4 Jack Spratt 3-1 3rd Next Best: #1 Rockin' Joe 4-1 4th Best Value: #8 South Fork Lodge 8-1 9th Exotics Use: #5 Presents for Berti 5-1 7th 6th: ALW/N1X, 2yo-F, 6.5f (P3, DD, Super) Most Likely: #3 Pretty Prolific 3-1 2nd Best Value: #11 She's Extreme 15-1 WON Next Best: #7 Best Lass 4-1 8th Exotics Use: #5 Selective 7-2 3rd $1 Exacta 11-3 $61.60 $1 Trifecta 11-3-5 $188.40 7th: MSW, 2yo-F, 7f (P3, DD, Super) Most Likely: #4 Heart Ashley 7-5 WON Next Best: #14 SCR Best Value: #8 Missy Lou 10-1 4th Exotics Use: #2 Rumble Creek 20-1 9th 8th: ALW/N1X, 2yo, 1m (P3, DD, Super) Most Likely: #5 No Inflation 3-1 11th Best Value: #6 Melo 10-1 9th Next Best: #2 Phosphorescent 5-2 8th Exotics Use: #11 Quiet Thanks 12-1 4th <$75 P4 Play: 5: 1-4 6: 3-5-7-11 7: 4 8: 2-4-5-6-7-9-10-11 2x4x1x8 = $64 9th: Golden Rod (Gr. I), 2yo-F, 8.5f (P4, P3, DD, Super) Most Likely: #4 Rachel Alexandra 2-1 WON Next Best: #1 Sara Louise 8-5 2nd Best Value: #7 War Echo 8-1 3rd Exotics Use: #3 Dream Empress 9-5 4th $1 Exacta (4-1) Paid $10.10 $1 Trifecta (4-1-7) Paid $38.60 $1 Superfecta (4-1-7-3) Paid $62.20 10th: Caressing H., 2yo-F, 1m-T (P3, DD, Super) Most Likely: #7 Striking Dancer 3-1 2nd Next Best: #2 Sugar Mom 7-2 9th Best Value: #4 Seminole Lass 6-1 8th Exotics Use: #9 Abbott Hall 4-1 3rd 11th: Kentucky Jockey Club (Gr. II), 2yo, 8.5f (DD, Super) Most Likely: #8 Capt. Candyman Can 8-5 3rd Best Value: #6 Zion 10-1 4th Next Best: #3 Beethoven 7-2 WON Exotics Use: #10 Giant Oak 20-1 2nd $1 Exacta (3-10) Paid $70.90 $1 Trifecta (3-10-8) Paid $245.30 $1 Superfecta (3-10-8-6) Paid $1,314.90 12th: MSW, 2yo, 9f (Super, Super Hi-5) Most Likely: #6 Tribal Bead 7-2 7th Best Value: #11 Masked Man 15-1 10th Next Best: #9 Barishnikov 3-1 2nd Exotics Use: #2 Son of Destiny 15-1 3rd <$75 P4 Play: 9: 1-3-4-7 10: 2-7 11: 8 12: 2-4-6-8-9-10-11-12 4x2x1x8 = $64 Good luck! Steve
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command. ~ George Orwell, 1984. Last edited by Kasept : 11-29-2008 at 08:41 PM. 
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#2
11-29-2008, 08:25 AM
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Hey Steve do you know if #13 Dominic's Desire was euth'd yesterday.....or for that matter anybody else who went down was seriously injured?
In my once a year ability to make a sizable wager on a LS who is on top turning for home when they either break down or in one of the more bizzare events a horse I had at KE about 2 years back chose to jump the hedges to the infield rather than win a race.....can't remember the jocks name but he didn't seem to enjoy the unique path to finish
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#3
11-29-2008, 08:27 AM
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Quote:
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command. ~ George Orwell, 1984.
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#4
11-29-2008, 08:42 AM
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#6
11-29-2008, 09:21 AM
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Aqueduct Stakes pick 3
5 6 2/3/6/9
__________________
"Change can be good, but constant change shows no direction" http://www.hickoryhillhoff.blogspot.com/
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#7
11-29-2008, 09:42 AM
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Quote:
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#8
11-29-2008, 10:11 AM
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15/1 ML? Harlem Rocker is an interesting horse today in the Cigar, I'm a little tepid whenever I select a Pletcher horse these days, however to me it's hard to forget his one run in the spring here when he ran his best race in his career. You have to think he is a better horse now that he is more seasoned. His last was better than what it looked in the slop, where front runners seemed to dominate he was wide and moved early. If Coa can time it better and work out a trip he can certainly pull the upset here.
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#10
11-29-2008, 10:37 AM
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A connection told me Katskill Bay is training well and has put up some fast numbers . 2nd race today .
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http://www.speakupforhorses.org/
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#11
11-29-2008, 10:39 AM
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Quote:
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command. ~ George Orwell, 1984.
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#12
11-29-2008, 10:43 AM
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NOTE: $23,365.07 CARROVER INTO CD FIFTH RACE (Z-5) SUPER HI-5!!
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command. ~ George Orwell, 1984.
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#14
11-29-2008, 10:48 AM
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AQUEDUCT CHANGES: http://www.equibase.com/premium/changes/AQU-changes.asp
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command. ~ George Orwell, 1984.
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#15
11-29-2008, 11:27 AM
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Picks for AQ and a couple for CD .... I feeling good today watchout!!!!
Race 1... 7,9,11,3,13 Race 2 1,6,4,3,8 RAce 3 2,1,10,5,8 Race 4 10,5,8,7,1 Race 5 8,6,2,7,3 Race 6 5,3,4,2,6 Race 7 7,6,8,5,2 Race 8 3,4,6,1,2 Race 9 3,8,2,1,6 CD 9 1,7,4,6,3 CD 11 4,3,2,7,10
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I feel sorry for people who don't drink. They wake up in the morning and that's the best they are going to feel all day. Frank Sinatra
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#16
11-29-2008, 11:38 AM
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How did Silver City get away at 15-2?
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command. ~ George Orwell, 1984.
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#17
11-29-2008, 11:56 AM
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Quote:
I heard JB already hit it.
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Just more nebulous nonsense from BBB
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#18
11-29-2008, 12:20 PM
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Quote:
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command. ~ George Orwell, 1984.
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#19
11-29-2008, 02:16 PM
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Churchill 9th
Absolutely love Rachel Alexandra. Dream Empress is a turf horse, Sara Louise just ran huge and probably will regress and Rachel Alexandra had some traffic trouble last time as the jock tried to get cute and their was no hole. Sara Louise got the run on her but Rachel's jock stopped trying last time because he couldn't win.
9: 4 10: 7 11: 3,8 12: All 9: 4 10: 7 11: 3,8 9: 4 10: 7 11: 10 Win 4 Exacta 4/1,6,7 Tri 4/1,6,7/all
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