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  #1  
Old 10-31-2008, 08:38 AM
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Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
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Location: Greenwich, NY
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Default 10/31: Churchill (Late P4)

Fun day at Aqueduct Thursday with a healthy P6 carryover return of $15,000 on the very tricky sequence. Had all the winners somewhere in the selections yesterday, but it would have taken a deep, expensive play to get them all on one ducat. Keying off the 'Best Value' suggestions was lucrative though, as a hatful of exotics were available with them. Biggest mutuels were yours in the 5th via Shifty Guy getting up 2nd ($60 EXA, $400 TRI, $1,370 SUPER). Hope you did well!

Churchill Late P4 looks like fun with a stake, 2 MSW's and a good ALW...


CHURCHILL DOWNS


PRE-SCRATCHES


7th: MSW, 3+, 1m-T (P4, P3, DD, Super)

Best Value: #9 Forest Warfare 5-1 6th
Most Likely: #8 Dahlgonit 7-2 2nd
Next Best: #5 Manchild 5-1 4th
Exotics Use: #6 Iron Id 10-1 3rd


8th: ALW/N1X, 3+, 9f-T (P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #1 Big Wig 5-1 10th
Best Value: #5 Darboy 10-1 9th
Next Best: #10 Valtrus 7-2 3rd
Exotics Use: #6 Holy Anthem 9-2 8th


9th: Dream Supreme H., F&M-3+, 6f (DD, Super)

Most Likely: #4 Elope 2-1 WON
Next Best: #5 Palanka City 3-1 4th
Best Value: #8 Tequilas Dayjur 15-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #6 Gem Sleuth 8-1 7th


10th: MSW, F&M-3+, 6f (Super Hi-5)

Most Likely: #2 Splash of Colour 7-2
Next Best: #8 Yes Im Woman 3-1
Best Value: #6 Sapphirendiamonds 8-1
Exotics Use: #4 Coy Cat 4-1 WON


<$75 P4 Play:

7: 8-9
8: 1-3-4-5-6-10
9: 4-5
10: 2-6-8

2x6x2x3 = $72


Good luck!
Steve
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All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
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Last edited by Kasept : 10-31-2008 at 04:09 PM.
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  #2  
Old 10-31-2008, 09:40 AM
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VOL JACK VOL JACK is offline
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Dont think I would leave the 1 or 2 out of the 7th race (1st leg).
Im gonna play it:

1,2,8,9 / all / 4 / 2 = $40

good luck to all.
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Old 10-31-2008, 11:33 AM
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Race 7 -- LATE PICK 4 BEGINS

SCRATCH AE #11 PARADE CRITIC

SCRATCH AE #12 KENNER SWITCH



Race 8

SCRATCH AE #11 BOLD ADVENTURE

SCRATCH AE #12 RACEHORSE DAVIS

SCRATCH AE #13 SPOKALU

SCRATCH AE #14 I CAN'T KNOW

SCRATCH AE #15 MAKUTUS (MTO)

SCRATCH AE #16 FLINT RIVER (MTO)

SCRATCH AE #17 CLASSIC WAGER (MTO)



Race 9 ($61,000-added Dream Supreme Handicap)

NO CHANGES



Race 10 -- $10,000 guaranteed Z-5 (SUPER HI-5)

SCRATCH #1 DRESS IN DUBAI

Jockey Change #12 Bozena - Erin Wilkinson

Late Workout #12 Bozena - Oct. 28, Highpointe Training Center, 4 F in :48 3/5b

AE #13 HAUNTED HOTEL WILL RUN

Equipment Change #13 Haunted Hotel - Blinkers On

SCRATCH AE #14 LACA
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All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command. ~ George Orwell, 1984.
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Old 10-31-2008, 11:37 AM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by VOL JACK
Dont think I would leave the 1 or 2 out of the 7th race (1st leg).
Im gonna play it:

1,2,8,9 / all / 4 / 2 = $40

good luck to all.
VJ,

The Maker-Ramsey off the claim (#2) is a bit worrisome.. The McPeek-Robbins Argentinian needs to really move up on the grass. Possible...

I thought 2nd leg was more problematic and spread there as you did.. I'm less sure about Elope and Splash in the late races than you as well..

G/L! Is a fun sequence and I can see it paying off.
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All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command. ~ George Orwell, 1984.
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  #5  
Old 10-31-2008, 02:29 PM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Kasept
VJ,

The Maker-Ramsey off the claim (#2) is a bit worrisome.. The McPeek-Robbins Argentinian needs to really move up on the grass. Possible...

I thought 2nd leg was more problematic and spread there as you did.. I'm less sure about Elope and Splash in the late races than you as well..

G/L! Is a fun sequence and I can see it paying off.
God I have #8 Dahlgonit 7-2 as a lone A in here and will be a single on my back ups but he seems dead on the board.
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Old 10-31-2008, 03:29 PM
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VOL JACK VOL JACK is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Kasept
VJ,

The Maker-Ramsey off the claim (#2) is a bit worrisome.. The McPeek-Robbins Argentinian needs to really move up on the grass. Possible...

I thought 2nd leg was more problematic and spread there as you did.. I'm less sure about Elope and Splash in the late races than you as well..

G/L! Is a fun sequence and I can see it paying off.
I wouldnt exclude Maker right now if he led a donkey over.
He is hitting so good he almost got our crow to win the 3rd.
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Old 10-31-2008, 03:35 PM
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p4 really gonna be worth having if elope gets beat. P3 will pays much lower to her.
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  #8  
Old 10-31-2008, 03:37 PM
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VOL JACK VOL JACK is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by VOL JACK
p4 really gonna be worth having if elope gets beat. P3 will pays much lower to her.
nevermind.
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