SAT - Churchill Stakes & Monmouth PK4

[Bogey]

Churchill Downs

R6 - G2 Fleur De Lis Handicap

#5 Hystericalady - Holds huge class edge, but must contend with other stretch out speed.
#4 Kathleens Reel - Has been improving and will be the beneficiary of a speed duel.

Ex Box 4 5

R7 - G3 Regret (Turf)

#4 Pure Clan - Has been keeping top company and she started her career going 2 for 2 on the lawn. Lots to like.
#3 Zee Zee - Versatile grey filly can adjust to any pace scenario.
#1 C J's Leelee - Top connections will send as soon as the gates open up.
#2 Clearly Foxy - Merits a long look off her latest score.

Cold PK3 - 4 / 2 / 1
Tri Key - 4 / 1 2 3

R8 - G3 Northern Dancer

#2 Pyro - Expecting him to bounce back and reclaim his place as a top sophomore.
#4 Unbridled Vicar - Consistent sort comes in off a confidence boost victory versus lesser.
#1 Recapturetheglory - Sneaky good performance in the Derby and has worked well since.
#5 My Pal Charlie - Should be forwardly placed and hold on for a minor award.

R9 - G2 Jefferson Cup (Turf)

#1 Halo Najib (BEST BET) - I'll forgive his 1st turf try as it was on a yielding course. Looks to being sitting on a big one.
#5 Golden Yank - Definitely in the mix especially after his USA 100K 2nd.
#6 Old Man Buck - All three career wins have occurred on the lawn including a couple of stakes.
#4 Tizdejavu - Caught them napping in the American Turf at 21-1.

R10 - G1 Stephen Foster

#1 Curlin - Champ returns after dominating foes in the World Cup.
#5 Grasshopper - Has come up with a case of seconditis.
#10 Brass Hat - Old warrior should come late and catch a piece.
#8 Jonesboro - Price play will be winging it on the front end.

R11 - G3 Mint Julep (Turf)

#3 Dreaming of Anna - Classy filly should have it her way on the front and we've seen this ending before.
#2 Mama I'm Home - Troubled trip in last and will be overlooked at the windows.
#11 Ciao - Should be tighter in 2nd start of the year.
#9 Danzon - Was odds on in this event last year and has the back class.

Tri Key - 3 / 2 9 11


Monmouth Park (15% takeout on PK4 & PK5 plays)

R7 - Clm 20k (Turf)

#6 Kiss On a Star - Claimed in Florida off two respectable efforts versus better at 80-1.
#8 Remy Doodles - Off since Jan 6th victory at GP. Late rally.
#9 Vue de Chat - Raced last Monday 6/9/08 for Contessa and the slight drop might do the trick.
#5 Inca is Calling - Won 3 earlier this year at TBD and looks to revert to that form.

R8 - Spend A Buck

#2 Atoned - Both career wins have occurred on this surface. Has been freshened up and he ran big off last layoff.
#4 Cool Coal Man - Tricky read on the FOY winner at GP, but must want to find the winner's circle after his stablemate pulled the huge upset last week in the Belmont Stakes.

R9 - G3 Eatontown Handicap (Turf)

#8 Beatrix Kiddo (Fr) - Makes 2nd U.S. start after just missing at the Big A by a neck to Them There Eyes (Return winner). Plenty of pace in the race to set it up on a platter.
#4 Social Queen - Made a nice return in her win in the Politely on this course and should get a similar pace scenario with the speed backing up.

R10 - NJ Alw50k N1X

#3 Perilous Storm - Yes, it's hard to ignore 0 for 10 record at MTH, but 3 for 6 at the distance evens it out. Duplicate effort form his last and the rest are running for 2nd.

PK4 - 5 6 8 9 / 2 4 / 4 8 / 3 = $16

Good Racing Luck

[the_fat_man]

Bobby Blue Eyes is interesting in the 9th at CD

Also, I think Tears I Cry has a good shot to run 2nd behind DoA in the 11th.

[jcs11204]

Originally Posted by the_fat_man

Bobby Blue Eyes is interesting in the 9th at CD

Also, I think Tears I Cry has a good shot to run 2nd behind DoA in the 11th.

agree... i am totally against his best bet today.....bobby and buck are the 2

[swedejxn]

Churchill Picks....

1. 4,8,9,1,5
2. 1,4,5,2,3
3. 12,6,7,9,4
4. 1,7,8,2,5
5. 5,8,4,6,7
6. 5,2,3,1,3
7. 4,1,6,7,3
8. 1,4,6,2,7
9. 6,5,7,1,3
10. 1,4,9,5,10
11. 3,1,9,7,2

Good luck on this card.... Pick 6 could be hitable with a cheap ticket... at least 4 races will be first or second choices.... just pick the right ones...lol