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Old 03-29-2008, 03:17 AM
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Kasept Kasept is online now
Steve Byk
 
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Default 3/29: Dubai; Magna 5; Gulfstream

NAD AL SHEBA - DUBAI WORLD CUP


2nd: Godolphin Mile, 1m

1. #3 Blackat Blackitten 5-2 6th
2. #6 Brave Tin Soldier 30-1 8th
3. #13 Elusive Warning 3-1 2nd
4. #14 Rosberg 20-1 5th


3rd: UAE Derby, 9f

1. #8 Royal Vintage 5-2 2nd
2. #9 Honour Devil 3-1 WON
3. #4 Massive Drama 6-1 9th
4. #7 Light Green 20-1 4th


4th: Golden Shaheen, 6f

1. #5 Diabolical 3-1 7th
2. #10 Benny the Bull 5-1 WON
3. #6 Esperamos 15-1 5th
4. #14 Idiot Proof 7-2 2nd


5th: Duty Free, 9f-T

1. #9 Creachadoir 4-1 8th
2. #3 Floral Pegasus 10-1 7th
3. #10 Literato 3-1 12th
4. #7 Archipenko 20-1 3rd


6th: Sheema Classic, 12f-T

1. #12 Viva Pataca 3-1 2nd
2. #3 Sun Classique 6-1 WON
3. #5 Youmzain 7-2 5th
4. #2 Quijano 12-1 4th


7th: World Cup, 10f

1. #12 Curlin 3-5 WON
2. #7 Vermillion 8-1 12th
3. #13 A. P. Arrow 20-1 4th
4. #9 Asiatic Boy 8-1 2nd


GULFSTREAM


1st: ALW/N1X, 3yo, 6f (P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #3 Philharmonic 3-1 3rd
Best Value: #7 Alice's Halo 5-1 4th
Next Best: #5 Unlimited Dreams 4-1 7th


2nd: MSW, F&M-3+, 1m (P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #4 Smart Surprise 5-2 2nd
Best Value: #5 Jasmine Gardens 8-1 4th
Next Best: #2 Miss Primetime 8-1 3rd


3rd: CLM/N2L, 4+, 8.5f-T (P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #8 Normandy Tower 4-1 3rd
Best Value: #6 Mustfah 6-1 4th
Next Best: #2 Edge of a Shadow 5-2 2nd


4th: MSW, 3yo, 6f (P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #10 Ecton 7-2 3rd
Best Value: #3 Le Grand Cru 6-1 WON
Next Best: #11 Excess Capital 3-1 2nd
Exotics Add: #8 Holiday Blake 6-1 6th


5th: Shirley Jones H. (Gr. II), F&M-4+, 7f (.50 P6, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #2 Sugar Swirl 6-5 WON
Best Value: #5 Baroness Thatcher 6-1 2nd
Next Best: #3 Shaggy Mane 5-1 3rd


6th: OC/N$Y, 4+, 1m (P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #1 Chelokee 7-5 WON
Best Value: #6 Rehoboth 6-1 2nd
Next Best: #4 Drums of Thunder 5-1 6th


7th: Palm Beach (Gr. III), 3yo, 9f-T (P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #3 Titan of Industry 6-1 4th
Best Value: #9 Dynamalt 12-1 9th
Next Best: #4 Moral Compass 6-1 3rd
Exotics Add: #1 Celestial Comet 4-1 7th


8th: OC/N2X, 4+, 7f (P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #3 KAPAZUNDER 3-1 WON
Best Value: #1 U R DA BEST 6-1 4th
Next Best: #2 Yes Master 8-1 5th
Exotics Add: #4 Port Royal 8-1 2nd

SPOT PLAY: (Tri Key) 3/1-2-4-6 (1x4x3 = $12); (Super Key) 3/1/2-4-6-10 (1x1x4x3 = $12)



MAGNA 5


LRL 10th (4:37pm): Johnson Mem. H., 3+, 9f (Super)

Most Likely: #4 Eddie C. 6-1 2nd
Best Value: #5 Arcata 8-1 WON


SA 4th (5:00pm): CLM, 4+, 6.5f-T (P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #2 Seven Secrets 7-2 5th
Best Value: #1 My Friend Luis 5-1 2nd
Next Best: #4 Booker 5-1 8th
Exotics Add: #9 Kingdom Come 5-1 4th


GP 9th (5:10pm): Bonnie Miss (Gr. II), 3yo-F, 9f (.50 P4, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #3 She's All Eltish 4-1 WON
Best Value: #6 Robbie's Gal 8-1 2nd
Next Best: #2 Backseat Rhythm 3-1 4th


SA 5th (5:30pm): 51st San Miguel, 3yo, 6f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #1 Leonides 2-1 2nd
Best Value: #4 Red Sky Dubai 4-1 5th


GP 10th (5:45pm): 57th Florida Derby (Gr. I), 3yo, 9f (P3, DD, Super)

Fascinating edition of GP meeting's feature event.. Race especially hard to decipher if you don't accept Big Brown as most likely winner..

1. Fierce Wind (Velasquez, C/Zito) 6-1: Zito continues string of pill box luck drawing inside with Sam Davis winner that was flattered by Big Truck's TB Derby score; Will have to get out early under Corny for position, and looms as possible board player if able to move forward speed-wise..

2. Smooth Air (Cruz/Stutts) 12-1: 2nd One of just 2 GSW here, and lone entrant with 3 90+ BSF's; Stutts' colt has been carefully conditioned for 2nd route try the old school way, and aced CRC tuneup blowout Tuesday; Is going to get lost on the board but is certain to sit ideal trip and can take it all at bonus tote; Attached myself early to this one and will swing for fences keying in top slots..

3. Da' Tara (Bravo/Zito) 20-1: Zito-LaPenta Tiznow broke maiden this trip/oval, but found next step a trifle deep; Takes goggles off and might be OK, but can't imagine scenario that boosts him into serious check-cashing range..

4. Tomcito (Chavez/Zanelli) 12-1: 3rd Near Triple Crown winner in the Andes, Street Cry bay could be absolutely anything or nothing, but will take a positive view of colt's opportunity to insert himself into domestic soph scene; Using..

5. Cool Gator (Castro/Vella) 20-1: Ontario homebred no worse on paper than several here, and should sit nice stalking trip; Just one more that could turn up in tri or super and not provoke much shock..

6. Nistle's Crunch (Leparoux/McPeek) 10-1: McPeek believes blinkers will move solid ALW bay up significantly and they will have to for him to impact this affair; Allen Farms NJ homebred has kept nice company and again, while not a win candidate, wouldn't be any surprise invading exotics in GS bow..

7. B B Frank (Castellano/Tarrant) 20-1: Swiped by Tarrant from Zito-LaPenta in maidenbreaker drop-down, and promptly aced ALW exam earning real speed fig; Has done a lot of developing already, and would need to hit yet another new top to impact his; Nice claim though..

8. Elysium Fields (Coa/Tagg) 4-1: Consistant Evans hombred bay probably the most reliable and logical entrant here, but FOY 2nd was big effort and concerned regression today; Tagg seems to have no such worry as El Prado son has drilled 20f since Fountain; Your call..

9. Hey Byrn (Lezcano/Plesa) 5-1: 4th Plesa's bay Put It Back son named for owner's late husband has been terrific in pair of Hallendale demolitions since calendar turned; Tactically inclined runner can adjust to any pace and has shown serious closing kick to boot; Respect..

10. Majestic Warrior (Douglas/Mott) 15-1: Hard to know what to expect from Mott-Steinbrenner Hopeful winner after LA Derby try that could be viewed as troubled or plain dreadful; Expecting better but remain unconvinced he wants to go 9f.. or even 8..

11. Face the Cat (Velazquez, J/Pletcher) 8-1: Sanan/Padua purchase moved from Pitts to Pletcher and promptly disappeared; Will have to come out flying from difficult launch point and will be pressured from one outside him as well; Has little margin for error if serious about Kentucky..

12. Big Brown (Desormeaux/Dutrow, R) 3-1: WON Dutrow big fig colt gets added test of burdensome post in graded stakes debut, but if he's what T-J tandem claims he is, it won't matter; Has real speed which could make him as imposing as claimed..


SELECTIONS:

1. #2 Smooth Air 2nd
2. #12 Big Brown WON
3. #9 Hey Byrn 4th
4. #8 Elysium Fields 11th


<$250 Magna 5 Play:

A: 4-5
B: 1-2-4-9
C: 2-3-6
D: 1
E: 2-4-8-9-12

2x4x3x1x5 = 120 x $2 = $240


11th: OC/N2X, 4+, 9f-T (DD, Super)

Most Likely: #1e Dutrow entry 3-1 WON

Best Value: #8 Dynatonia 6-1 5th
Next Best: #5 Voorhee's Ballad 5-1 7th
Exotics Add: #4 Codeword 8-1 4th


12th: Forever Whirl (R), 4+, 9f (Super)

Most Likely: #2 Electrify 2-1 WON
Best Value: #8 Too Many Toyz 6-1 6th
Next Best: #7 Better Than Bonds 3-1 3rd


P4 Play(s):

9: 2-3-6-7
10: 12 (2-4-8-9)
11: 1-5-8
12: 2-8

OPTIONS:

4x1x3x2 = 24 x $2 = $48 (If you care to single Big Brown $2 P4 (3-12-1-2/9) $365.00
4x4x3x2 = 96 x .50 = $48 (Using other 4 in FL Derby)


Good luck!
Steve
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Last edited by Kasept : 03-30-2008 at 09:33 AM.
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  #2  
Old 03-29-2008, 06:11 AM
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SCUDSBROTHER SCUDSBROTHER is offline
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DUBAI SCRATCHES

.40 GODOLPHIN MILE, (GROUP 2), Dirt

No 7 Aleutian



2.15 UAE DERBY, (GROUP 2), Dirt
No 10 Zain Alma Aenee, No 5 Rock Ascot




5.30 DUBAI WORLD CUP, (GROUP 1), Dirt

No 3 Happy Boy
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  #3  
Old 03-29-2008, 06:30 AM
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Steve, I'm pretty sure Divine Park won at Aq yesterday and will be scratched.
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Old 03-29-2008, 06:32 AM
ptgiven ptgiven is offline
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looking forward to a exciting day in racing!

Steve, we know you like smooth air on top in the fl derby , i would be shocked to see another selection...
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Old 03-29-2008, 07:24 AM
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jms62 jms62 is offline
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Stevo.. Did you have a change of heart on Big Brown or are you playing him underneath ?
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  #6  
Old 03-29-2008, 07:29 AM
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Kasept Kasept is online now
Steve Byk
 
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Quote:
Originally Posted by jms62
Stevo.. Did you have a change of heart on Big Brown or are you playing him underneath ?
Has to be used.. In a field where only 2-3 have any quantifiable speed, can't ignore..
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A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command. ~ George Orwell, 1984.
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Old 03-29-2008, 07:34 AM
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In a year where everyone claims the 3YO crop is substantially lacking any form a greatness I find it hard not to consider Big Brown the winner in this race. He's shown glimmers of great talent and I'd rather take the unknown angle over horses that have stamped themselves very average. If he's a cut above the 12 hole will not be a problem.

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Old 03-29-2008, 07:44 AM
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Off a maiden win and an Off the Turf race in the Slop ? Until he shows me h can compete with quality horses on a dry track (and he very well may), I have him as another overhyped horse with connections to New York. We get them every derby season and they are heart and bankbreakers. I like Smooth Air and Fierce Wind.
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Old 03-29-2008, 08:39 AM
mclem10011 mclem10011 is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by herkhorse
Steve, I'm pretty sure Divine Park won at Aq yesterday and will be scratched.
That's correct.
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  #10  
Old 03-29-2008, 08:48 AM
Coach Pants
 
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The Big Brown Insanity Train is full steam ahead!!!

*Denis of Cork is the Caboose*
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Old 03-29-2008, 09:05 AM
swedejxn swedejxn is offline
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Magna 5

3-5
2-1-9
2-3
1-3
1-2-4-8-12

Late GP Pick 4
2-3
1-2-4-8-12
1-6-8
2-7-9
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Old 03-29-2008, 11:46 AM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Kasept
NAD AL SHEBA - DUBAI WORLD CUP

6th: Sheema Classic, 12f-T

1. #12 Viva Pataca 3-1
2. #3 Sun Classique 6-1
3. #5 Youmzain 7-2
4. #2 Quijano 12-1

Good luck!
Steve
Nice work Steve!
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  #13  
Old 03-29-2008, 02:40 PM
Coach Pants
 
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I'm with you on Rehoboth, Steve.
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Old 03-29-2008, 03:24 PM
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lemoncrush lemoncrush is offline
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Default Magna 5

Thankfully...the last chance of the year to chase this wager.

Leg A) 2,4,6
Leg B) 2,3,4,7,9
Leg C) 7
Leg D) 1
Leg E) 1,2,8,12

$120

Backup ticket

Leg A) 1,2,4
Leg B) 1
Leg C) 1,2,7
Leg D) 1,3
Leg E) 12

$36

Good luck everyone
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Old 03-29-2008, 03:26 PM
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Magna 5

R1: 1,2,4,5,6
R2: 2,7,9
R3: 2,3,7
R4: 1
R5: 1,2,4,8,12

Gulfstream P4

R9: 2,3,7
R10: 1,2,4,8,12
R11: 2,5,8
R12: 2
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  #16  
Old 03-29-2008, 03:58 PM
Coach Pants
 
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Race 9 Gulfstream
$.50 Pick 4
3,7
1,2,8,11,12
1,2,4,8
2,5
$40

Good luck.
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  #17  
Old 03-29-2008, 04:15 PM
Coach Pants
 
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Very impressive. She's a steady running sort.
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Old 03-29-2008, 04:19 PM
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Oaks horse maybe?
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Old 03-29-2008, 04:21 PM
Coach Pants
 
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Quote:
Originally Posted by tiggerv
Oaks horse maybe?
Ehhhhhh. I'm leaning towards she likes Gulfstream.
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  #20  
Old 03-29-2008, 05:50 PM
Coach Pants
 
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Coach Pants
Race 9 Gulfstream
$.50 Pick 4
3,7
1,2,8,11,12
1,2,4,8
2,5
$40

Good luck. $.50 pick 4 $92.30
Better than losing.

Good cappin' today, Steve-O
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