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#1
03-08-2008, 04:40 AM
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3/8: FG (5-12); GP (7-10); Magna 5; Gotham
One of American racing's best regional days is on tap this aft at NoLa, with perhaps the best card assembled anywhere yet this year. The Louisiana Derby has a wonderful heritage, dating back to 1920 when it was run at old Jefferson Park, and has produced a number of local legends including Black Gold (1924), Taylor's Special (1984), Risen Star (1988) and Petionville (1995). Funny Cide forced himself into serious Rose Run consideration with a strong showing in the LA Derby in 2003, and Grindstone won this race on his road to Louisville in 1996.
It should be a fabulous afternoon with many stars or emerging runners on a stakes-laden undercard and culminating with Pyro's attempt to continue his campaign towards Derby 134. FAIR GROUNDS 5th: 57th Duncan Kenner, 3+, 6f (P5, P3, Super) MOST LIKELY: #3 EUROEARS 2-1: Calhoun red perfect in 5; Needs best..WON Best Value: #7 SCR Next Best: #6 Semaphore Man 7-2: Von Hemel 6yo never misfires.. 2nd Exotics Add: #2 Noonmark 3-1: Fired big at GP, got rest.. 3rd 6th: 83rd New Orleans H., 4+, 9f (P4, P3, Super) BEST VALUE: #5 BRASS HAT 9-2: Should love long stretch that mirrors CD.. 4th MOST LIKELY: #3 Grasshopper 2-1: Farish-Howard bulldog targeted this.. 2nd Next Best: #2 Silver Lord 5-1: Can take them long way up front.. DNF Exotics Add: #7 Magna Graduate 5-1: Todd returns to blinkers (2/07) 2nd off break.. 5th 7th: 16th Mervyn Munoz Jr. H., 4+, 9f-T (P6, P3, Super) MOST LIKELY: #10 Daytona 3-1: Tough to argue against Hendricks' scrappy red.. 3rd BEST VALUE: #4 Jazz Quest 10-1 Has been different horse since Xmas eve.. 5th Next Best: #8 Proudinsky 7-2: Frankel expecting big effort from 5yo.. WON Exotics Add: #2 Yate's Black Cat 15-1: Saves ground under Kent; Exotics booster.. 8th 8th: 42nd FG Oaks, 3yo-F, 8.5f (DD, P3) MOST LIKELY: #1 Indian Blessing 3-5: Hard for rival to beat her here.. 2nd Next Best: #2 Proud Spell 6-5: Gets no help from supporting cast today.. WON Best Value: #3 Acacia 10-1 3rd 9th: 95th Louisiana Derby (Gr. II), 3yo, 8.5f (P4, P3, Super) 1. Stevil (Castro/Zito) 15-1: Zito grey won at first asking and has met toughies since; Stalker-closer type not worst exotics stab in group as long FG stretch will suit.. 2. My Pal Charlie (Leparoux/Stall) 20-1: Interesting proposition from Al Stall with Indian Charlie bay who may be getting good now; Last was sharp, and fact he gets first jump on J Be K gives shot at board hit; Using.. 2nd 3. Pyro (Bridgmohan/Asmussen) 7-5: 5/2-2-1 career mark with 3 beats only at hands of War Pass says it all; Though anxious to be fully convinced, am prepared to side with those that believe Winchell's Pulpit homebred is 100% bona fide under any scenario; Imposing here.. WON 4. J Be K (Desormeaux/Asmussen) 12-1: From the owner who brought you Fountain of Youth runners Z Humor (8 days rest) and Halo Najib (13 days) comes this immensely talented Silver Deputy colt fresh from a 6f win off a 6 month break; Will lead turning for home, and will need to be Curlinesque to win from that point.. 5. Unbridled Vicar (Lanerie/Geier) 20-1: Hard trying Vicar gelding never worse than 4th (Risen Star) in 7 career efforts, and looks like the type that needs two tries at each level to move forward; Tafel (Street Sense) homebred was flattered by Denis of Cork's Southwest, and is fully capable of another Suoperfecta finish here.. 6. Tale of Ekati (Prado/Tagg) 7-2: Futurity winner from Tagg makes anticipated 3yo debut, and given expectation of just 2 pre-Derby tries, expect Barclay to have him close to 100%; Fipke homebred may not love 10f at CD come May, but this oval and trip right up his alley; Speed to attend pace and kick to compete late; Most likely upsetter.. 7. Blackberry Road (Albarado/Carroll) 10-1: Hard luck Dogwood colt picks up Albarado after series of tough trip beats under Borel; Trainer Carroll (Denis of Cork) with embarassment of springtime riches as this Gone West dark bay looks ready to break through at any time; Many rooting for.. 4th 8. Yankee Bravo (Solis/Gallagher) 4-1: Undefeated Yankee Gentleman colt cost $17k at F-T/KY July '06, and debuted nicely with rally in budget MDN event at cut-rate UK oval; US exploits under Paddy perfect, but have doubts about ability on dirt strip where speed is a necessity; Underlay.. 3rd 9. Majestic Warrior (Gomez/Mott) 9-2: Regally-bred Steinbrenner bay not only makes anticipated return here, but son of Dream Supreme also asked to 2-turn route for first time; Has earnings from rich Hopeful win in 2nd career start at Spa, so doubt Mott is asking for best first back; Will watch one.. SELECTIONS: 1. #3 Pyro 7-5 WON 2. #6 Tale of Ekati 7-2 6th 3. #5 Unbridled Vicar 20-1 9th 4. #2 My Pal Charlie 20-1 2nd .50 P5 Play: 5: 2-3-6-(7 SCR) 6: 2-3-5 7: 2-4-7-8-10 8: 1-2 9: 3 3x3x5x2x1 = 90/2 = $45 P4 Play: 6: All 7: All 8: 1 9: 3 6x10x1x1 = $60 10th: 22nd Bienville, F&M-4+, 5.5f-T (P3, Super) MOST LIKELY: #7 Jazzy 4-1: Working great for return; Back with GoGo.. 2nd BEST VALUE: #11 Tres Dream 10-1: Bred for lawn and dangerous.. 4th Next Best: #6 Smitty's Sunshine 5-1: Defending champ aced prep for this.. 5th Exotics Add: #3 Bewitching Miss 15-1: In career best form; Will be boxcars.. 6th 11th: OC/N1x, 4+, 1m (DD, Super) MOST LIKELY: #8 Le Dauphin 3-1 4th BEST VALUE: #5 King of Speed 9-2 8th Next Best: #6 Sonoma Cat 4-1 2nd Exotics Add: #1 A P Dreamer 6-1 6th 12th: MSW, 3yo, 1m-40y (Super) Best Value: #11 Evade 6-1 3rd Most Likely: #3 Proud Kentuckian 9-2 WON Next Best: #6 Fort Apache 3-1 2nd Exotics Add: #8 Square Deal 4-1 7th P6 Play: 7: 4-7-8-10 8: 1 ` 9: 3 10: 3-6-7-11 11: 5-8 12: 3-6-11 4x1x1x4x2x3 = 96 x $2 = $192 <$50 P4 Play: 9: 3 10: 1-3-6-10-11 11: 5-6-8 12: 3-6-11 1x5x3x3 = $45 Good luck! Steve
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All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command. ~ George Orwell, 1984. Last edited by Kasept : 03-08-2008 at 07:15 PM. 
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#2
03-08-2008, 06:38 AM
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3/8: GP 7-10/Magna 5; Gotham
GULFSTREAM
7th: MSW, 3yo-F, 9f-T (.50 P4, P3, DD, Super) OFF THE TURF Most Likely: #4 SCR Adding #3 to P4 play Best Value: #11 Forest Bird 12-1 7th Next Best: #7 SCR Exotics Add: #1 Dixie Miner 20-1 WON 8th: 30th Richter Scale (Gr. II), 4+, 7f (P3, DD, Super) MOST LIKELY: #6 COMMENTATOR 8-5 WON Best Value: #2 Steve's Double 12-1 5th Next Best: #4 Nyuk Nyuk Nyuk 6-1 6th Exotics Add: #7 SCR MAGNA 5 LRL 10th: MSW, 3yo-F, 7f (Super) Most Likely: #6 SCR Best Value: #5 SCR Next Best: #9 Liza Lu 5-2 WON Exotics Add: #4 Sharp Street 8-1 2nd SA 4th: CLM, 4+, 8.5f (P3, DD, Super) Most Likely: #2 Spriggzee 5-2 4th Best Value: #4 Si Chimi 4-1 6th Next Best: #5 Direct Connect 5-1 3rd GP 9th: 20th Very One (Gr. III), F&M-4+, 11f-T (DD, Super) Most Likely: #4 J'ray 5-2 4th Best Value: #3 SCR Next Best: #5 Mauralakana 4-1 WON Exotics Add: #8 Hostess 3-1 7th SA 5th: CLM, 4+, 1m-T (P6, P3, DD, Super) Most Likely: #1 ORBIT'S WORLD 7-2 6th Next Best: #7 Like a Tiger 5-2 4th Best Value: #2 James the Third 8-1 5th GP 10th: Most Likely: #3 Old Ninety Eight 6-1 9th Best Value: #9 Amped 3-1 3rd Next Best: #8 West Express 8-1 2nd Exotics Add: #4 Coach Ryan 12-1 7th <$150/<$300 Magna 5 Plays: A: 4-7-9 B: 2-4-5 C: 4-7 D: 1 (7) E: 3-4-7-8-9 3x3x2x2x5 = 180 x $2 = $360 3x3x2x1x5 = 75 x $2 = $180 (Singling in Leg D) GP Late P4 Play: 7: 1-3-11 8: 6 9: 4-5-7 10: 3-4-7-8-9 3x1x3x5 = $45 Paid $183.20 AQUEDUCT 9th (4:50): Gotham S. (Gr. III), 3yo, 8.5f, $250,000 (Super) All carry 116 except Giant Moon, 120 1. Giant Moon (Dominguez/Schosberg) 7-2: Schosberg being reasonable about NY-bred's prospects, but certainly appears well positioned to run perfect record to 5 straight with cozy draw on likely wet-fast and sealed Big A Inner; On to the Wood.. 2. Laysh Laysh Laysh (Pino/Jacobson) 15-1: SCRATCHED Took a long while for this Why(x3) bay to get going but move to Big Apple and Jacobson has worked wonders; Still needs boost of speed to compete with top ones signed on here.. 3. Roman Emperor (Rose/Klesaris) 6-1: Klesaris bay by Empire Maker a highly logical inclusion and plausable win alternative off strong, steady improvement; Will be most attractive as tests move to 9f and beyond; Using in all slots.. 4th 4. Saratoga Russell (Coa/Violette) 4-1: Latest West Point 'greatest horse ever' topped restricted FL company in 3yo bow and was flattered Friday when Inner Light won at 8f; Figures to be prominant from the bell and will take them as far as he can depending on who comes calling; Gotham version of J Be K not for us, but won't fault those boosting chances.. 5. Southern Terminus (Elliott/Pletcher) 8-1: Pletcher More Than Ready bay chased Fierce Wind home in '08 return and could be anything having aced debut previously; $300k as KEE '06 yearling and something of a mystery in this crowd though looks like he could have a useful tactical gear to employ in these proceedings.. 6. Holidaze (Luzzi/Pletcher) 15-1: Dogwood Harlan's Holiday colt has been ordinary when trying stiffer competition so far, but did perk up significantly speed-wise when introduced to routes in last; Clunk-up superfecta finish hardly out of reach.. 7. Texas Wildcatter (Arroyo, N./Pletcher) 12-1: Stonerside homebred grey continues to improve with experience and addition of blinks in this spot telegraphs intent; Likely the right price horse in the mix under hungry, angry pilot.. 2nd 8. Larrys Revenge (Bravo/Zito) 15-1: Yet another LaPenta-Zito number turns up in a stake, and while this well bred Vindication has yet to prove he's a something, this is his route debut and he's faced some nice ones; Yet another that appears neither fish nor foul amongst this set.. 3rd 9. Ling Ling Qi (Maragh/McPeek) 12-1: McPeek brings Lansdon Robbins' homebred north to test quality after good performance on Donn undercard 4 weeks ago; Two turn debut and wide draw the question marks and could hound pacesetters down backstretch; Seem a bit ambitiously spotted.. 10. Visionaire (Lezcano/Matz) 3-1: Matz Team Valor chestnut had curious Risen Star trip and lands here as Matz shops for Derby dollars; Drew dreadfully and is up against track and race flow, so even a top effort likely gets lost in translation today.. WON SELECTIONS: 1. #1 Giant Moon 9th 2. #3 Roman Emperor 4th 3. #7 Texas Wildcatter 2nd 4. #10 Visionaire WON Good luck! Steve
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All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command. ~ George Orwell, 1984. Last edited by Kasept : 03-08-2008 at 07:21 PM.
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#3
03-08-2008, 07:37 AM
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Gp Late 4
4-7-11 2-6 4-8-9 1-3-7 Magna 5-6-9 2-4 4-8-9 7-4-5 1-3-7 Fairgrounds 1. 11-1-4-6 2. 1-8-9 3. 11-9-10 4. 7-11-8 5. 1-4-2 6. 3-6 7. 5-7-9-8 8 1 9. 4-3-6-9 10. 11-4-9-6 11. 8-5-3-9 12. 3-6-8-11 On The Way To Nawlins
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I feel sorry for people who don't drink. They wake up in the morning and that's the best they are going to feel all day. Frank Sinatra
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#4
03-08-2008, 10:02 AM
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i love your gotham picks, i am all over that exacta, i will box it though just in case roman emperor runs huge.
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#5
03-08-2008, 10:13 AM
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GULFSTREAM SCRATCHES FOR 7th-10th
7 Off Turf
7 Scr. # 12 Albany House 7 Scr. # 13 Spring Mambo 7 Scr. # 14 Tarheel Girl ----------------------------------- 9 On The Turf 1/ 1/8 84 Feet Yeilding 9 Scr. # 3 Duchess Royale ------------------------------------ 10 Scr. # 1a(poe) Tizway 10 Scr. # 2 Gilded Key 10 # 10 First Time Lasix
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command. ~ George Orwell, 1984.
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#7
03-08-2008, 01:52 PM
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MaGNA 5 cHANGES
A Laurel 10 Track is Sloppy
Scratch #3 Just Amore, #5 Princess Perry Scratch #6 Miss Emeritus, #8 Our Dreamette B Santa Anita 4 Track is Synthetic - Fast Scratch #3 Quiet Period C Gulfstream 9 Turf is Yielding New Distance of 1 Mile and 1/8th Rail is Out 84 FT Scratch #2 Wine and Dyne, #3 Duchess Royale (IRE) Overweights: #1 +2, #6 +1 D Santa Anita 5 Turf is Firm E Gulfstream 10 Track is Good Scratch #1A Tizway, #2 Gilded Key #10 Coach Shaw - First Time Lasix
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command. ~ George Orwell, 1984.
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#9
03-08-2008, 02:37 PM
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How cool is Euroears? He's the goods...
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command. ~ George Orwell, 1984.
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#11
03-08-2008, 02:45 PM
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Funny you bring her up.. I just added her to the plays when I made the adjustments earlier for P4/Magna after scratches...
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command. ~ George Orwell, 1984.
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#12
03-08-2008, 02:47 PM
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Quote:
Was going to write it up but had done enough for today.
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command. ~ George Orwell, 1984.
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#14
03-08-2008, 03:19 PM
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Quote:
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command. ~ George Orwell, 1984.
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#16
03-08-2008, 05:04 PM
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Why am I not surprised Solis fkd that ride up on BRAVO? If ya can't get 2nd with that mount it's time to retire.You gotta get 2nd with that much horse.This erases all the wins he has riding the wide stretch trip the last 3 weeks at Anita.Get a real rider PADDY.
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#17
03-08-2008, 07:30 PM
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Linear Mode
