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#1
10-13-2007, 07:27 AM
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10/13: KEE; CRC; Asst. Stakes
All during Saratoga, D. Wayne Lukas was getting markedly improved performances from his 2 year olds in their 2nd or 3rd starts. Friday at Keeneland, DWL sent out second-timer Cape Discovery (15-1 ML) in the very tough 7th and scored at 28-1. With predicted results following in the final three legs, the P4 returned $1,800 ($1).
2 mistakes (confidence and ticket structure) were culprits in the beat as Ravel proved trustworthy at 3-5 in the 2nd leg. While the nice $234.50 trifecta, (thanks to value player All Man third at an insane 44-1), softened the blow of missing the Quad, Ravel was embraceable as a single after all. Using Flying Circle and Stylish Wildcat ($7.40 winner) produced Leg C in the non-single suggestion, and 'Most Likely' Tempo Five ($13.60 winner) closed out the string for a $57.70 P3. Knowing that the first leg was going to be the tricky leg, an approach of 6x2x1x4 was the idea with a single, and 4x2x2x3 was an alternate plunge. Only an 8x1x2x3 (singling Ravel) would have caught the score, and I wasn't confident enough in Ravel's comebacker or Cape Discovery's ability to top several in the 7th to play it that way. LRL and CRC host state-oriented stakes cards today, and KEE offers the Perryville and QEII as part of the Late P4 there. We'll look at Miami, Lexington and a couple of other graded events. Weather forecasts for the big venues below: BELMONT PARK: Sunshine expected. High in the lower 60s. CALDER RACE COURSE: Rain with a high of 82. HAWTHORNE: Mostly sunny with a high of 61. KEENELAND: Mostly sunny with a high of 65. LAUREL PARK: Sunshine likely. High nearing 70. SANTA ANITA: Mostly sunny with a high of 65. KEENELAND Superfectas in all.. 7th: 9th Perryville, 3yo, 7f (P4, P3) Best Value: #6 Steve's Double 6-1: Last best yet and time off to recoup.. WON Most Likely: #4 Les Grands Trois 8-5: Victimized by Sciacca NY-bred in Bay Shore.. 2nd Exotics Use: #1 Shrewd Operator 5-1 3rd Super Add: #5 Chihulykee 4-1 5th $1 Exacta (6-4) $33.90 $1 Trifecta (6-4-1) $168.90 8th: ALW/N2L, 2yo-F, 7f (P3) Best Value: #6 Valentine Fever 4-1: Leparoux back on Lloyd Madison homebred.. WON Most Likely: #3 School Girl 3-1: McGee bay chased Dreaming of Liz.. 3rd Exotics Use: #2 Easy Profit 6-1 8th Super Add: #1 Democrat Taxes 10-1 2nd $1 Exacta (6-1) $80.40 $1 Trifecta (6-1-3) $276.20 9th: 24th QE II (Gr. I), 3yo-F, 9f-T (DD) Best Value: #8 Costume 6-1: Doubt ML is post time price on Frankel's Danehill daughter.. 4th Most Likely: #1 Bit of Whimsy 5-1: Tagg seeks 2 grass gal stakes here, BEL ('Capote').. WON Exotics Use: #7 Dreaming of Anna 3-1: Dangerous of late with careful Catalano handling.. 2nd Super Add: #4 Classic Neal 6-1: Respect KMc red that continues to improve.. 6th $1 Exacta (1-7) $32.80 10th: ALW/N1X, 3+, 9.75f Best Value: #1 Beckwith Street 6-1: Tough with repeat of maiden-breaker.. 4th Most Likely: #3 Curvature 4-1: Visit to Cincy poly produced best last out.. 2nd Exotics Use: #5 Rovic's Wealth 15-1 7th Super Add: #4 Twisting Road 15-1 3rd <$50 P4 Play: 7: 1-4-5-6 8: 3-6 9: 1-7-8 $1 P3 (6/6/1) $516.40 10: 1-3 4x2x3x2 = $48 CALDER Superfectas in all.. 5th: The Cassidy, 2yo-F, 5.5f (P3, P4) Best Value: #7 Permanent Makeup 15-1 2nd Most Likely: #2 Yonagucci 5-1 7th Exotics Use: #3 Robbie's Gal 6-1 5th Super Add: #6 Sacred Realm 3-1 4th 6th: Spend a Buck (Gr. III), 3+, 8.5f (P3) Best Value: #3 Olympic 8-1 9th Most Likely: #9 Electrify 5-2 2nd Exotics Use: #10 Rehoboth 6-1 4th Super Add: #2 Summer Book 6-1 3rd 7th: Calder Oaks, 3yo-F, 9f-T (P3) Best Value: #6 COZZI CAPITAL 6-1 WON Most Likely: #4 Lady Digby 3-1 4th Exotics Use: #3 Snow Cone 5-2 2nd Super Add: #5 The Real Future 15-1 7th $1 Exacta (6-3) $16.50 8th: My Dear Girl, 2yo-F, 8.5f (P3) Best Value: #3 Calico Bay 10-1 WON Most Likely: #4 Silk Ridge 6-5 2nd Exotics Use: #9 Asi Asi 8-1 DNF Super Add: #7 Awesome Dreamer 4-1 3rd $1 Exacta (3-4) $13.40 $1 Trifecta (3-4-7) $50.60 <$50 P4 Play: 5: 2-3-6-7 6: 3-9 7: 4-6 8: 3-4-9 4x2x2x3 = $48 9th: Calder Derby (Gr. III), 3yo, 9f-T (P3, P4) Best Value: #8 Fearless Eagle 8-1 4th Most Likely: #2 Fair Weather Stan 6-1 3rd Exotics Use: #10 Soldier's Dancer 5-2 WON Super Add: #7 SCR 10th: In Reality, 2yo, 8.5f (P3) Best Value: #1 Sir Dave 15-1 4th Most Likely: #2 Wise Answer 8-5 WON Exotics Use: #7 Inner Light 6-1 8th Super Add: #4 SCR 11th: Shocker TH, F&M-3+, 8.5f (P3) Best Value: #2e Rose entry 15-1 4th/10th Most Likely: #1e McDonald entry 8-5 6th/8th Exotics Use: #7 Cat Can Do 2-1 5th Super Add: #8 Gadolinium 20-1 2nd 12th: Birdonthewire, 2yo, 5.5f (DD) Best Value: #8 Turnpike Tommy 6-1 Most Likely: #1 Carson's Legacy 4-1 WON Exotics Use: #9 Unlimited Dreams 7-2 Super Add: #5 Surrealdeal 10-1 2nd $1 Exacta (1-5) $21.50 @$50 P4 Play: 9: 2-8-10 10: 1-2-7 11: 1e 12: 1-5-6-8-9-10 3x3x1x6 = $54 BELMONT 9th: 30th Althea (Gr. III), F&M-3+, 8.5f-T Best Value: #1 I'm in Love 10-1: Exotics booster on best.. 2nd Most Likely: #3 DANCE AWAY CAPOTE 8-5: Tagg has her dialed in.. 3rd Exotics Use: #5 Criminologist 2-1: Preferable to Shirl from pace standpoint.. WON $1 Exacta (5-1) $29.75 $1 Trifecta (5-1-3) $60.00 HAWTHORNE 8th: Hawthorne Derby (Gr. III), 3yo, 9f-T (Super) GREAT betting race and standing against #9 Twilight Meteor (4-1) 2nd who is only marginally better than most here.. Best Value: #3 Bold Hawk 10-1 WON Most Likely: #6 Voy Por Uno Mas 8-1 4th Exotics Use: #4 Starvinsky 5-1 5th Super Add(s): #5 All I Can Get 20-1 10th SANTA ANITA 9th: Oak Tree Derby (Gr. II), 3yo, 9f-T (Super) Best Value: #8 Ten a Penny 5-1 2nd Most Likely: #7 Stoneside 3-1 3rd Exotics Use: #3 Asperity 4-1 10th Super Add: #2 Karazi 12-1 5th Good luck! Steve
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All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command. ~ George Orwell, 1984. Last edited by Kasept : 10-14-2007 at 02:44 AM. 
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#4
10-13-2007, 11:20 AM
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Quote:
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command. ~ George Orwell, 1984.
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#6
10-13-2007, 02:58 PM
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4 MTP at CRC in the Dear Girl, and the 8-1 more than acceptable on Calico Bay as an alternative to Silk Ridge.. I'm using 3-7-9...
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command. ~ George Orwell, 1984.
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#7
10-13-2007, 03:07 PM
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Ding! Bet down to 11-2, but OK... And after a dreadful start too.. Fine job by Cruz to not panic and allow Kaplan's filly to settle.
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command. ~ George Orwell, 1984.
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#9
10-13-2007, 03:15 PM
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Bruce (S2S) saw it coming too and had him on top/triple.. Just had to take a stand against Silk Ridge.. Moved backward in last and figured to still be feeling effects of one two back. I just watched replay. This one belongs to Cruz. Absolutely brilliant to let her relax and then come with the one big run...
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command. ~ George Orwell, 1984.
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#10
10-13-2007, 03:17 PM
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Ice cold!!!!
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#11
10-13-2007, 03:18 PM
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Yes sir at KEE.. Theriot again this Saturday! Steve's Double.. 12-1! (And the tri..)
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command. ~ George Orwell, 1984.
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#12
10-13-2007, 03:25 PM
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Quote:
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#13
10-13-2007, 03:26 PM
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Quote:
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command. ~ George Orwell, 1984.
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#14
10-13-2007, 03:38 PM
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Quote:
__________________
"Have the clean racing people run any ads explaining that giving a horse a Starbucks and a chocolate poppyseed muffin for breakfast would likely result in a ten year suspension for the trainer?" - Dr. Andrew Roberts
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#15
10-13-2007, 03:48 PM
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Wow. Did the 6 come back and win that? Unreal!!!! Another top selection by Steve!~!
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#16
10-13-2007, 03:56 PM
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 .. Square number too at 5-1.. Let's hope we can keep it rolling through the 2nd halves the CRC/KEE 4's...
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command. ~ George Orwell, 1984.
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#17
10-13-2007, 04:01 PM
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Steve, pmac and ltjmac and myself combined your selections with hooves and played a $1 Keeneland late pk4:
7: 4,6 8: 3,6,9,10 9: 1,4,5,7,8 10: 1,3,4,5 This would be a real nice one boys, great job so far. And another triple to boot. Keep it going!
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#18
10-13-2007, 04:13 PM
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Quote:
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command. ~ George Orwell, 1984.
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#20
10-13-2007, 04:39 PM
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1) 2542
3) 1320 4) 11140 5) 17404 Good Luck!
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