Derby Trail Forums

Go Back   Derby Trail Forums > Main Forum > The Paddock
Register FAQ Members List Calendar Today's Posts

Reply
 
Thread Tools Display Modes
  #1  
Old 07-18-2007, 12:26 PM
Dunbar's Avatar
Dunbar Dunbar is offline
The Curragh
 
Join Date: May 2006
Posts: 2,962
Default 11.4% takeout at Laurel?

DRF.com has a story that starts...

"Laurel Park in Maryland plans to cut its takeout during its 10-day summer meet to a blended rate of 11.4 percent, the lowest take in the country, officials for Laurel said on Wednesday. Laurel's summer meet runs from Aug. 10 to Aug. 23."

(But the link to the rest of the story doesn't work for me.)

Perhaps the Ellis experiment with the 4% takeout on the late Pick-4 is already having a ripple effect.

--Dunbar
__________________
Curlin and Hard Spun finish 1,2 in the 2007 BC Classic, demonstrating how competing in all three Triple Crown races ruins a horse for the rest of the year...see avatar
photo from REUTERS/Lucas Jackson
Reply With Quote
  #2  
Old 07-18-2007, 12:28 PM
10 pnt move up's Avatar
10 pnt move up 10 pnt move up is offline
Oriental Park
 
Join Date: Mar 2007
Posts: 3,745
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by Dunbar
DRF.com has a story that starts...

"Laurel Park in Maryland plans to cut its takeout during its 10-day summer meet to a blended rate of 11.4 percent, the lowest take in the country, officials for Laurel said on Wednesday. Laurel's summer meet runs from Aug. 10 to Aug. 23."

(But the link to the rest of the story doesn't work for me.)

Perhaps the Ellis experiment with the 4% takeout on the late Pick-4 is already having a ripple effect.

--Dunbar

I could have swore someone here predicted this could lead to a marketing trend amonst struggling tracks.
Reply With Quote
  #3  
Old 07-18-2007, 12:31 PM
docicu3 docicu3 is offline
The Curragh
 
Join Date: Jun 2006
Posts: 2,778
Default

And Laurel is a struggling track ........rigormortis comes to mind!!!
Reply With Quote
  #4  
Old 07-18-2007, 12:48 PM
unassailable08 unassailable08 is offline
Bowie
 
Join Date: May 2007
Location: Dallas Texas
Posts: 202
Default Its sad

b/c I know my home tracks will never adopt lower takeout for different reasons.

Lone Star Park will never get it b/c they don't need to. The average a lot of handle for every card nearly 2 million and 1.6 mil comes from off track.

They've cornered the DFW Market.

Fairmount Park will never get it b/c they are competing with the casinos on the river which have dominated since 1990.
__________________
All I want is when I die, and I go to heaven and I'm being judged is for Jesus to say to me, "Well Done Good and Faithful Servant."
Reply With Quote
  #5  
Old 07-18-2007, 12:53 PM
-BT- -BT- is offline
The Curragh
 
Join Date: Mar 2007
Location: 60613
Posts: 2,622
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by docicu3
And Laurel is a struggling track ........rigormortis comes to mind!!!

Frank Stronach and the boys at MEC are always in the giving mood......11.4% takeout or not the degenerates who want to play the slots and the horses will just head 60 miles north to Delaware Park or 60 miles west Charles Town

i wonder what kind of takeout there's gonna be at the Timonium meet?

-bt-
Reply With Quote
  #6  
Old 07-18-2007, 12:57 PM
SniperSB23 SniperSB23 is offline
Hialeah Park
 
Join Date: Jun 2006
Location: Albany, NY
Posts: 6,086
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by -BT-
Frank Stronach and the boys at MEC are always in the giving mood......11.4% takeout or not the degenerates who want to play the slots and the horses will just head 60 miles north to Delaware Park or 60 miles west Charles Town

i wonder what kind of takeout there's gonna be at the Timonium meet?

-bt-
Unless that takeout applies to on track betting only I imagine the customer base they will be trying to appeal to is the off track betting one. I doubt people are showing up in droves to Ellis Park but a lot more people are betting their Pick 4's off track.
Reply With Quote
  #7  
Old 07-18-2007, 03:29 PM
SlewsMyHero's Avatar
SlewsMyHero SlewsMyHero is offline
Bowie
 
Join Date: Mar 2007
Location: Keystone
Posts: 204
Default

I rarely play the Maryland circuit, but I will certainly be participating during their 10 day meeting. The New York and So. Cal circuits will always handle big money, but for lower level circuits like Maryland, how else are they supposed to attract bettors. It's pretty obvious they are not going to get slots any time soon, so a lower takeout is really their only option. Lowering the takeout to such low levels across the board should get the attention of all serious players. They could see their handle triple if they can get the word out.
Reply With Quote
  #8  
Old 07-18-2007, 03:56 PM
Dunbar's Avatar
Dunbar Dunbar is offline
The Curragh
 
Join Date: May 2006
Posts: 2,962
Default

The link to the full drf.com article is now working:

http://www.drf.com/news/article/86758.html

Here are some details from the article:

"Laurel is actually cutting the takeout rate to 10 percent, but because of legislatively mandated contributions to a fund for the Maryland Million, a series of stakes for horses sired by stallions that stand in the state, the exact takeout rates for Laurel's three categories of pools will be 11 percent for win, place, and show wagers; 12 percent for exactas and daily doubles; and 10.75 percent for trifectas, superfectas, pick three, pick four, and pick six bets."

Gee, I can try to beat the 25% takeout on the tri at Saratoga, the 20% takeout on the tri at Del Mar, or the 10.75% takeout on the tri at Laurel.

Let's see how smart horseplayers really are. I know takeout isn't the only relevant variable, but other factors have to be huge to offset the difference between a 25% takeout and a 10.75% takeout.

Here's an important quote from the article:

""We're so far down the pecking order at that time [with Del Mar and Saratoga running] that I want to do something to bump us up," Raffetto said. "Everyone in the industry always says this is the right thing to do, everyone always walks the walks, and now we're going to try it.""

This is another experiment (like the Ellis Park Pick-4) that could help shape the future of betting. Raffetto goes on to say they will need a 10% increase in on-track handle and a 30% increase in out-of-state handle to break even. I hope they get it.

--Dunbar
__________________
Curlin and Hard Spun finish 1,2 in the 2007 BC Classic, demonstrating how competing in all three Triple Crown races ruins a horse for the rest of the year...see avatar
photo from REUTERS/Lucas Jackson
Reply With Quote
  #9  
Old 07-18-2007, 04:21 PM
philcski's Avatar
philcski philcski is offline
Goodwood
 
Join Date: Jun 2006
Location: Mission Viejo, CA
Posts: 8,872
Default

The horseplayers MUST embrace Laurel during this period. This is a trial run for things to come. It's a ballsy move by Magna and MD racing, and I love it. You better believe I'll take a look at their cards at this takeout rate!!!
__________________
please use generalizations and non-truths when arguing your side, thank you
Reply With Quote
  #10  
Old 07-18-2007, 04:30 PM
SentToStud's Avatar
SentToStud SentToStud is offline
Arlington Park
 
Join Date: May 2006
Posts: 4,065
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by Dunbar
The link to the full drf.com article is now working:

http://www.drf.com/news/article/86758.html

Here are some details from the article:

"Laurel is actually cutting the takeout rate to 10 percent, but because of legislatively mandated contributions to a fund for the Maryland Million, a series of stakes for horses sired by stallions that stand in the state, the exact takeout rates for Laurel's three categories of pools will be 11 percent for win, place, and show wagers; 12 percent for exactas and daily doubles; and 10.75 percent for trifectas, superfectas, pick three, pick four, and pick six bets."

Gee, I can try to beat the 25% takeout on the tri at Saratoga, the 20% takeout on the tri at Del Mar, or the 10.75% takeout on the tri at Laurel.

Let's see how smart horseplayers really are. I know takeout isn't the only relevant variable, but other factors have to be huge to offset the difference between a 25% takeout and a 10.75% takeout.

Here's an important quote from the article:

""We're so far down the pecking order at that time [with Del Mar and Saratoga running] that I want to do something to bump us up," Raffetto said. "Everyone in the industry always says this is the right thing to do, everyone always walks the walks, and now we're going to try it.""

This is another experiment (like the Ellis Park Pick-4) that could help shape the future of betting. Raffetto goes on to say they will need a 10% increase in on-track handle and a 30% increase in out-of-state handle to break even. I hope they get it.

--Dunbar
I've traded some emails with Ron Geary at Ellis. Their p-4 pool Saturday was $64,000, or 4x what it was the same day last year. I'll be shocked if it doesn't go over $100,000 this weekend. They are also seeing increases in the non p-4 pools which is the payback for them. Good for them. Laurel too.
Reply With Quote
  #11  
Old 07-18-2007, 04:47 PM
mes5107's Avatar
mes5107 mes5107 is offline
Golden Gate
 
Join Date: Mar 2007
Location: Jewett City, CT
Posts: 394
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by philcski
The horseplayers MUST embrace Laurel during this period. This is a trial run for things to come. It's a ballsy move by Magna and MD racing, and I love it. You better believe I'll take a look at their cards at this takeout rate!!!
Agreed. I will make every effort to play at least 5 of these cards. If this experiment works, who knows what's in store for takeouts across the country. I think everybody should make an effort to play at least one day seriously during this meet.
Reply With Quote
  #12  
Old 07-18-2007, 06:37 PM
slotdirt's Avatar
slotdirt slotdirt is offline
Atlantic City Race Course
 
Join Date: May 2006
Posts: 4,894
Default

Shockingly, I haven't bet a dime since the Belmont, but you can be dang sure I'll be checking out some Laurel cards during this period.
__________________
The world's foremost expert on virtually everything on the Redskins 2010 season: "Im going to go out on a limb here. I say they make the playoffs."
Reply With Quote
  #13  
Old 07-18-2007, 07:22 PM
justindew's Avatar
justindew justindew is offline
Fairgrounds
 
Join Date: Apr 2007
Posts: 1,640
Default New Math: 10%= 100%

Laurel's announcement that they will offer wagering with approximately a 10% takeout means there is a 100% chance that I will come out of temporary retirement to play the Laurel meet.

As Robfla can testify, I already came out of temporary retirement once for the Summit of Speed card. But that was ONLY because I live so close to Calder. Other than that, I have been true to my word....

...except for that really big carryover at Hollywood.

So, other than the carryover, the Summit of Speed, and the Laurel meet, I will have been true to my word.

Oh, I also played horses for about 20 minutes between poker tournaments at Gulfstream Park on Sunday. But that doesn't really count.
Reply With Quote
  #14  
Old 07-18-2007, 07:52 PM
herkhorse's Avatar
herkhorse herkhorse is offline
Flemington
 
Join Date: Apr 2007
Location: Gonesville
Posts: 11,422
Default

you are only fooling yourself
Reply With Quote
  #15  
Old 07-18-2007, 07:59 PM
fpsoxfan's Avatar
fpsoxfan fpsoxfan is offline
Oaklawn
 
Join Date: Mar 2007
Location: Fort Plain
Posts: 2,485
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by justindew
Laurel's announcement that they will offer wagering with approximately a 10% takeout means there is a 100% chance that I will come out of temporary retirement to play the Laurel meet.

As Robfla can testify, I already came out of temporary retirement once for the Summit of Speed card. But that was ONLY because I live so close to Calder. Other than that, I have been true to my word....

...except for that really big carryover at Hollywood.

So, other than the carryover, the Summit of Speed, and the Laurel meet, I will have been true to my word.

Oh, I also played horses for about 20 minutes between poker tournaments at Gulfstream Park on Sunday. But that doesn't really count.
You call it retirement Justin. I call it sabbatical. I've been on "sabbatical since the day after the Belmont Stakes, except for one Saturday where I stumbled across an easy-bet location for about a half hour and I also chased a Pick-6 carryover at Belmont a few weeks ago. The sabbatical is over on Wednesday, July 25th at 1:00 P.M. when Tom Durkin says with the Spa crowd.."And they're off at Saratoga!!"
Reply With Quote
  #16  
Old 07-18-2007, 08:02 PM
paisjpq's Avatar
paisjpq paisjpq is offline
top predator.
 
Join Date: May 2006
Posts: 5,020
Default

you will have to pardon those of us that don't give a crap...
__________________
Seek respect, not attention.
Reply With Quote
  #17  
Old 07-18-2007, 08:19 PM
Hickory Hill Hoff's Avatar
Hickory Hill Hoff Hickory Hill Hoff is offline
Newmarket
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: the "Sand Flats"
Posts: 6,903
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by fpsoxfan
You call it retirement Justin. I call it sabbatical. I've been on "sabbatical since the day after the Belmont Stakes, except for one Saturday where I stumbled across an easy-bet location for about a half hour and I also chased a Pick-6 carryover at Belmont a few weeks ago. The sabbatical is over on Wednesday, July 25th at 1:00 P.M. when Tom Durkin says with the Spa crowd.."And they're off at Saratoga!!"
I was good til Father's Day...then the "wheels" fell off!
we're limping into the Spa with the phone-a-bet account, but things could turn around fast! or not
__________________
"Change can be good, but constant change shows no direction"

http://www.hickoryhillhoff.blogspot.com/
Reply With Quote
  #18  
Old 07-18-2007, 10:54 PM
ateamstupid's Avatar
ateamstupid ateamstupid is offline
Super Mod.. and Super Fly
 
Join Date: Jun 2006
Location: Brooklyn, NY
Posts: 13,036
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by paisjpq
you will have to pardon those of us that don't give a crap...
Agreed. *Merge*..

Last edited by ateamstupid : 07-18-2007 at 11:08 PM.
Reply With Quote
  #19  
Old 07-19-2007, 12:36 AM
The Indomitable DrugS's Avatar
The Indomitable DrugS The Indomitable DrugS is offline
Flemington
 
Join Date: Dec 2006
Posts: 11,007
Default

I will no doubt fit betting Laurel into my schedule.

Hopefully I can find time to get some sleep in over the next couple months.
Reply With Quote
  #20  
Old 07-19-2007, 05:37 AM
cmorioles's Avatar
cmorioles cmorioles is offline
Santa Anita
 
Join Date: Mar 2007
Location: Moore, OK
Posts: 3,169
Default

I will absolutely be playing this track heavy. If bettors don't support this, they are crazy. Not only that, I would imagine Laurel will really try to get a lot of use out of the beautiful turf course they renovated a few years back.
Reply With Quote
Reply



Posting Rules
You may not post new threads
You may not post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts

vB code is On
Smilies are On
[IMG] code is On
HTML code is Off
Forum Jump


All times are GMT -5. The time now is 06:53 AM.


Powered by vBulletin® Version 3.6.8
Copyright ©2000 - 2025, Jelsoft Enterprises Ltd.