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#1
05-16-2007, 03:20 AM
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5/16: Belmont ($44k Carry)
Murderously tough set of races at Elmont today with a $44k carryover the lure.. Possible off-going/OTT adds to the intrigue.. and difficulty. Selections pre-scratch now, but a review after 11:30...
BELMONT PARK 4th: NYB-ALW/N1X, F&M-3+, 6f-T (P6, P3) 1. #1 Contessa entry 6-1 6th/8th 2. #2 Rice entry 7-2 4th/9th A. #3 Kat's Golden Ways 5-2 3rd B. #5 Love Cove 6-1 WON 5th: CLM/N3L, 3+, 6f (Grand Slam, P3, Super) 1. #7 Specchio 6-1 5th 2. #5 Heretic 5-1 4th A. #6 Truman's Gold 5-2 WON B. #8 Ocean Forest 3-1 2nd LONGSHOT/SUPER ADD: #3 Commodore Way 15-1 7th 6th: CLM, F&M-4+, 7f-T (P4, DD, Super) 1. #3 Inca is Calling 7-2 3rd 2. #11 Montecito 8-1 WON A. #9 Joyeux Ruler 12-1 7th B. #1 Mutakaway 4-1 5th LONGSHOT/SUPER ADD: #5 Verona Dale 15-1 10th 7th: ALW/N1X, 3+, 6f-T (P3) 1. #7 Delta Storm 5-2 WON 2. #1 Darley entry 3-1 2nd 3. #2 Dutrow entry 6-1 3rd 8th: The Ogygian, 3yo, 6.5f (DD) 1. #4 Silver Source 5-2 3rd 2. #6 Sports Town 5-1 WON 3. #2 Place Your Bet 8-1 4th 9th: CLM, 4+, 6f (Super) 1. #5 Archie Boy 5-1 3rd 2. #3 Letters 4-1 4th A. #2 Fighting Roy Kelly 9-2 WON B. #8 Quahada 5-1 5th C. #7 Ghost Mountain 5-2 9th <$150 P6 Play: 4: 1-2-3 5: 5-6-7-8 6: 3-9 7: 7 8: 4 9: 2-3-5 3x4x2x1x1x3 = 72 x $2 = $144 Good luck! Steve
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command. ~ George Orwell, 1984. Last edited by Kasept : 05-16-2007 at 07:35 PM. 
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#2
05-16-2007, 07:37 AM
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Card looks ultra tough. Quite a few NY-Circuit all-stars in the mix today. Plus I see Steppenwolfer slated to run on the turf. Sports Town back sprinting. Nice Wednesday stuff.
Good luck today Steve and the rest if the DTers.
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#4
05-16-2007, 08:46 AM
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A couple thoughts/questions.....
4th ) Not that I am a fan of Robbie Bailes, or his record in NY over the last couple years, but how exactly is Precious Too not at least in the top four? Certainly you didn't take her last seriously and isn't her other turf race, a sprint, very dangerous here? 5th ) I'm not running to the window to play Ocean Forest but how does he not get a top four mention either? 7th ) Obviously Delta Storm is a standout on paper but what about the turnback for Pegase Jem who made the lead against significantly tougher with a premature move last time? Isn't this sprint, against a horrible field save the favorite, just what this extremely short burst horse needs? Check out the first race of his career. 8th ) How bad is Wollaston Bay that even you disrespected your boy Sciacca by readily dismissing him? I agree, however, he has little chance.
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#5
05-16-2007, 09:27 AM
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Quote:
4th: Precious Too was in the tabs and gave way to Love Cove. Kat's Golden Ways is suspect to me, but seems like she has to be used.. Precious Too goes from Open to State Bred, a powerful drop, but appears no faster than many here and is likely to lose ground.. 5th: Originally had Ocean Forest in and will likely regret leaving out. Seems better suited to this condition than ALW company.. Squeezed him in favor of including the KO'B price play.. 7th: I can't get past the two on top here, but Pegase Jem was an inclusion as well underneath.. Don't know if the cutback does the trick for him or not.. Lack of early zip the concern. Only gave a 1-2-3 offering, so no reason not to include him. 8th: And as for Wollaston and Super G, your cruelty knows no bounds.. (But be aware of the vastly improved effort when gaining diploma off the pop-and-stop try 3rd career...) VERY challenging set of races which could be made REALLY quirky with off going..
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command. ~ George Orwell, 1984.
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#6
05-16-2007, 09:30 AM
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Unless someone runs around the Belmont courses with a fire hose there won't be off going until perhaps the VERY late stages of the card.
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#7
05-16-2007, 09:33 AM
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Quote:
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command. ~ George Orwell, 1984.
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#8
05-16-2007, 09:40 AM
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Unlike you I share only good news and happy tidings.
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#9
05-16-2007, 10:33 AM
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Quote:
 BELMONT SCR/CHANGES: http://www.equibase.com/premium/changes/BEL-changes.asp
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command. ~ George Orwell, 1984.
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#10
05-16-2007, 10:52 AM
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That was my introduction to a handicapping methodology that included rather "ruthless and calculating" assessements of a horses ability by some guy who turns out to be BTW. Hell, it worked. So my resultant wagering upon horses on a regular basis is a great deal Mr. Happy's fault.
__________________
"Have the clean racing people run any ads explaining that giving a horse a Starbucks and a chocolate poppyseed muffin for breakfast would likely result in a ten year suspension for the trainer?" - Dr. Andrew Roberts
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#11
05-16-2007, 10:58 AM
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Riot
Thank you....honestly. You made my day.
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#12
05-16-2007, 11:09 AM
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The Siro's Seminar Braintrust.. Crist; Pack; Serling..
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command. ~ George Orwell, 1984.
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#13
05-16-2007, 12:05 PM
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P4 Steve
any words of wisdom on the p4 today?
Thanks gilbert
__________________
Eddie Mush was a degenerate gambler. He was also the biggest loser in the whole world. They called him Mush because everything he touched turned to mush. He would go to the racetrack and the teller would give him his tickets already ripped up."
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#14
05-16-2007, 12:31 PM
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Siro's A drink way too early in the morning Red Pens The three guys in the above picture. That's the good life. And it's been great to listen online the last few years, great move to get those on the net.
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#15
05-16-2007, 12:54 PM
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Quote:
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command. ~ George Orwell, 1984.
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#16
05-16-2007, 12:55 PM
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Where was that pic taken? AARP National Convention?
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#18
05-16-2007, 01:20 PM
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Turf course is baked by the way ... Sub-1:34 mile in the third.
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#20
05-16-2007, 01:51 PM
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Will do
Quote:
Will do thanks ...Gilbert
__________________
Eddie Mush was a degenerate gambler. He was also the biggest loser in the whole world. They called him Mush because everything he touched turned to mush. He would go to the racetrack and the teller would give him his tickets already ripped up."
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