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  #1  
Old 04-25-2007, 07:08 AM
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Hickory Hill Hoff Hickory Hill Hoff is offline
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Default Your best "top pick" Derby selection from the past

How many correct Derby picks did you have in the past? Since I've been playing (22 yrs.) I've only had three correct "on top" -
Spend A Buck '85 / Fusiachi Pegasus '00 / Barbaro '06
this race is the toughest to select in my opinion.
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  #2  
Old 04-25-2007, 07:21 AM
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Strike the Gold '91
Silver Charm '97
Real Quiet '98
Smarty Jones '04
Barbaro '06
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  #3  
Old 04-25-2007, 07:28 AM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Hickory Hill Hoff
How many correct Derby picks did you have in the past? Since I've been playing (22 yrs.) I've only had three correct "on top" -
Spend A Buck '85 / Fusiachi Pegasus '00 / Barbaro '06
this race is the toughest to select in my opinion.
I've been playing the Derby for 14 yrs. I have been completely shut out with my top pick winning the Derby. The closest my top pick got winning the Derby was when Afleet Alex ran 3rd. I also agree this race is impossible to handicap.
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  #4  
Old 04-25-2007, 07:29 AM
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I've only been actively betting the Derby for about four years now -- and the only one I got right was Smarty Jones.
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  #5  
Old 04-25-2007, 07:49 AM
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Funny Cide in 2003 was my best "top pick".
The 3 years since then have been pretty bad. How bad you ask? Well let's just say that in '04.....I liked Friends Lake.
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  #6  
Old 04-25-2007, 07:51 AM
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I have had some decent success.

Smarty Jones
Fu Peg
Thunder Gulch
Unbridled
Strike The Gold

So 5 out of 20 isnt too bad I guess.
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  #7  
Old 04-25-2007, 08:01 AM
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Thunder Gulch Thunder Gulch is offline
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1991 Hansel 10th- came back strong
1992 Lil E Tee 1st
1993 Sea Hero 1st - absolutely loved him
1994 Strodes Creek 2nd- believe he would have won on dry track
1995 Thunder Gulch 1st- loved him
1996 Grindstone 1s- liked the entry with Editor's Note
1997 Silver Charm 1st- very confident in this one
1998 Cape Town 5th- didn't think I'd ever lose after a recent run
1999 Cat Thief 3rd- ran big against the bias
2000 The Deputy 14th also liked More Than Ready 4th
2001 Point Given 5th - never liked one more, had him over Monarchos, Inky
2002 Perfect Drift 3rd- If I knew then what I know now
2003 Empire Maker 2nd
2004 The Cliff's Edge5th - can't believe I didn't bet Smarty
2005 Afleet Alex 3rd
2006 Sweetnorthernsaint 7th - flipped a coin over Barbaro
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  #8  
Old 04-25-2007, 08:37 AM
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1995: Thunder Gulch/Tejano Run/Timber Country

2003 Funny Cide/Empire Maker/Peace Rules

2005: High Fly/Bellamy Road/Afleet Alex/Closing Argument as the 1-2-A-B with Giacomo as the Longshot Alert..
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Last edited by Kasept : 04-25-2007 at 08:28 PM.
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  #9  
Old 04-25-2007, 08:40 AM
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I have been picking for 17 Derbys and only have three correct.
* Lil E. Tee
* Go For Gin
* Real Quiet

I have had a tough run the last nine years.
I seem to have done better when I used to pick based off of names instead of trying to use my handicapping skills (or lack thereof).
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  #10  
Old 04-25-2007, 09:04 AM
2 Dollar Bill 2 Dollar Bill is offline
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My best from odds was Betting Monarchos in Feburary (before the Fla Derby) @ 30-1 odds......Matter of fact was the ONLY Debry Pool bet I ever made. Last years Exacta was a nice score with Barbarbo & Bluegrass cat!
Love to see them derby exacta pools when they cross the 20 million line...
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  #11  
Old 04-25-2007, 09:16 AM
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ARyan ARyan is offline
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Funny Cide
Barbaro

So don't pay any attention to my pick this year or next, but in 2009 look out!
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  #12  
Old 04-25-2007, 09:28 AM
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philcski philcski is offline
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Have had some very good success in the Derby.

2006: Barbaro 1st
2005: Afleet Alex 3rd
2004: Smarty Jones 1st
2003: Peace Rules 3rd
2002: Perfect Drift 3rd
2001: Congaree 3rd
2000: I don't remember who I tabbed on top, but it wasn't good
1999: Steven Got Even off the board
1998: Victory Gallop 2nd
1997: Silver Charm 1st
1996: Don't remember but it wasn't good
1995: Thunder Gulch 1st
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  #13  
Old 04-25-2007, 09:35 AM
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Had Giacomo for the win, really only because the kid sitting beside us that afternoon was named Jack and I looked Giac. PPs over again and saw he had posted a pretty good Beyer at one pt. Put him in there w/ Bandini and Bellamy Rd for the exacta which didnt pan out. I guess Ive been lucky the last 3 years at the derby, handicapping the rest of the year has been mediocre
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  #14  
Old 04-25-2007, 09:44 AM
stonegossard stonegossard is offline
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Easy Grades.





What can I say.....my derby opinion has been awful.




also picked Greater Good.
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  #15  
Old 04-25-2007, 10:15 AM
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Can't remember the past but was absolutely convinced on Barbaro...had him bet to win and with Bluegrass Cat in a big exacta. He simply stood out for me based on his turn times and closing numbers in the preps.
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  #16  
Old 04-25-2007, 10:18 AM
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Buffymommy Buffymommy is offline
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Thunder Gulch. Got a new car with my winnings! It was a great day!

Hubby's was War Emblem.
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  #17  
Old 04-25-2007, 10:31 AM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Cardus
Close calls: Victory Gallop.

I loved him too!
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  #18  
Old 04-25-2007, 10:33 AM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Kasept
1995: Thunder Gulch/Tejano Run/Timber Country

2002 Funny Cide/Empire Maker/Peace Rules

2005: High Fly/Bellamy Road/Afleet Alex/Closing Argument as the 1-2-A-B with Giacomo as the Longshot Alert..
you would have lost $$ betting those 3 in 2002....
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  #19  
Old 04-25-2007, 10:42 AM
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1995 Thunder Gulch
1996 Semoran
1997 Silver Charm 1st- very confident in this one
1998 Indian Charlie
1999 General Challenge
2000 Fu Peg
2001 Point Given
2002 Johannesburg...lol remeber saarland was the freakin favorite cause of breeding..lol
2003 Empire Maker
2004 lion heart
2005 Afleet Alex
2006 Barbaro
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  #20  
Old 04-25-2007, 10:51 AM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by paisjpq
you would have lost $$ betting those 3 in 2002....
Haha nevermind, I get it...
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