10/25: Keeneland (4th-10th; X-C P5)

[Kasept]

KEENELAND ~ CROSS COUNTRY P5


POST-SCRATCHES


4th: MCLM/$150k, 2yo-F, 6f (P3, DD)

Best Value: #2 Sonic Sea 6-1 11th
Next Best: #5 Gracie's Delight 4-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #11 Bella Street 8-1 4th
Super Add: #9 Let's Shance It 15-1 5th


5th: ALW/N1X, 3+, 1m-T (P6, $3 Turf P3, P3, DD)

Best Value: #1 Copp 6-1 5th
Next Best: #9 Mount Horeb 5-2 2nd
Exotics Use: #4 Pineland 15-1 WON ($17.86)
Super Add: #12 Bite and Strike 6-1 4th


$3 Turf P3:

5: 1-4-9 (A), - (B), - (C)
8: 5-8-9-11 (A), - (B), - (C)
10: 1-3 (A), - (B), - (C)

All A's: 3x4x2 = 24 x $3 = $72


6th: Bowman Mill, 2yo, 6f (P5, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #5 Spun D M C 9-5 2nd
Next Best: #1 Heartily 5-2 4th
Exotics Use: #6 Gallivant 7-2 WON ($6.72)


AQUEDUCT 8th (3:53pm): Iroquois-NY, F&M-3+, 6.5f (P4, P3, DD)

Maker going great guns at The Big A, but question lingers whether or not My Mane Squeeze has fully recovered from career best effort in the Bruce Johnstone. Was eased in the Ballerina, but on the plus side, has worked 6 times since the Spa collapse. Sterling Silver the in-form alternative and note that Stonewall Star makes her debut as a mare for DePaz and owns a 9/5-0-1 mark at AQU..

Best Value: #6 Stonewall Star 8-1 2nd
Next Best: #8 Sterling Silver 5-2 WON ($6.00)
Exotics Use: #3 My Mane Squeeze 8-5 3rd
Super Add: #1 Cupid's Heart 10-1 7th


Cross Country P5 Grid:

AQU 8: 3-6-8 (A), - (B), - (C)
KEE 7: 4-6 (A), - (B), 1-3 (C)
AQU 9: 4-6 (A), - (B), - (C)
KEE 8: 5-8-11 (A), 6-9-10-12 (B), - (C)
KEE 9: 5-10 (A), - (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x2x2x7x2 = 168 x .50 = $84
All A's: 3x2x2x3x2 = 72 x .50 = $36
Backup (ACAAA): 3x2x2x3x2 = 72 x .50 = $36 (1-3 in Leg B/KEE 7th )


KEENELAND 7th: OC/N2X3yo-F, 9f (P4, P3, DD)

Best Value: #4 Disco Rules 8-1 7th
Next Best: #6 Paris Lily 2-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #3 Sweet Seraphine 10-1 5th
Super Add: #1 Quickick 3-1 4th


AQUEDUCT 9th: Ticonderoga-NY, 3+, 8.5f-Outer (P3, DD)

Katie Davis owns 2 of Bobby M's Girl's 3 wins and can score again at bonus tote if she doesn't lose too much ground..

Best Value: #6 Bobby M's Girl 15-1 8th
Next Best: #4 Awesome Czech 5-2 WON ($4.98)
Exotics Use: #1 Spinning Colors 3-1 7th
Super Add: #5 Moonage Daydream 7-2 3rd


KEENELAND 8th: Bryan Station (G3), 3yo, 1m-T (P3, DD)

Utterly impossible group to separate..

Best Value: #8 Tenacious Leader 12-1 2nd
Next Best: #11 Plensa 5-1 11th
Exotics Use: #5 Final Gambit 5-1 8th
Super Add: #9 Giocoso 9-2 3rd


KEENELAND 9th: Fayette (G3), 3+, 9f (DD)

Best Value: #5 Moonlight 8-1 5th
Next Best: #10 Gosger 9-2 3rd
Exotics Use: #2 Honor Marie 20-1 6th
Super Add: #11 Hit Show 6-1 WON ($9.14)


10th: MSW, 2yo, 9f-T (Hi-5)

Closing Day, so a must pay Hi-5..

Best Value: #3 Practical Joker 10-1 5th
Next Best: #1 Chambersville 7-2 WON ($7.88)
Exotics Use: #8 Leverage 5-1 11th
Super Add: #4 Wargamer 6-1 7th


P5 Grid:

6: 1-5 (A), 6 (B), - (C)
7: 4-6 (A), - (B), - (C)
8: 5-8-11 (A), 6-9-10 (B), - (C)
9: 5-10 (A), - (B), - (C)
10: 1-3 (A), - (B), 4-8 (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x2x6x2x2 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A's: 2x2x3x2x2 = 48 x .50 = $24
Backup (AAAAC): 2x2x3x2x2 = 48 x .50 = $24 (4-8 in 10th)


P4 Grid:

7: 4-6 (A), - (B), - (C)
8: 5-8-11 (A), 6-10 (B), - (C)
9: 5-10 (A), - (B), 2-11 (C)
10: 1-3 (A), 4-8 (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 2x5x2x4 = 80 x .50 = $40
All A's: 2x3x2x2 = 24 x .50 = $12
Backup (AACA): 2x3x2x2 = 24 x .50 = $12 (2-11 in 9th)


Let's get lucky!
Steve

[Kasept]

BAQ SCR/CHG'S

KEE SCR/CHG'S

[atolunch]

Thanks as always and best of luck today. Let's get lucky and build our bankrolls for the BC!!

Please check your verticals, in the 7th race Paris Lily is the #6, but you have the #7 listed in your P5 and P4.