10/18: Keeneland (5th-10th; Cross Country P5)

[Kasept]

KEENELAND ~ CROSS COUNTRY P5


POST-SCRATCHES


5th: ALW/C, 3+, 5.5f-T (P6, $3 Turf P3, P3, DD)

Best Value: #7 DETERMINED KINGDOM 8-1: With little speed signed on, gets to stalk and go.. 5th
Next Best: #2 Script 4-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #1 Wendelssohn 9-2 3rd
Super Add: #3 Mo Stash 6-1 7th


$3 TURF P3 Grid:

5: 7 (A), - (B), - (C)
8: 1-3-4-11 (A), - (B), - (C)
10: 4-5-6-8 (A), - (B), - (C)

All A's: 1x4x4 = 16 x $3 = $48


6th: Perryville (G3), 3yo, 7f (P5, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #5 Captain Cook 6-5 2nd
Best Value: #2 Taylor's Version 6-1 5th
Next Best: #3 Barnes 5-2 WON ($5.22)


FAR HILL 4th (3:04p): Foxbrook Champion-R, 4+, 2.5m-National Fences (X-C P5, P3, DD)

Cross Country P5 (15%, Retail Only) starts here..

Most Likely: #2 Cyber Ninja 3-1: Ascendant Arrogate 6yo from Clancy's streaking Riverdee team.. 2nd
Best Value: #4 Smart Uncle 8-1 -
Next Best: #9 Coutach 4-1 WON ($5.40)
Exotics Use: #5 Hidden Path 10-1 -


CROSS COUNTRY P5 Grid:

FH 4: 2-4 (A), 5-9 (B), - (C)
BAQ 7: 5 (A), - (B), 3 (C)
FH 5: 2-5-7 (A), - (B), - (C)
KEE 7: 7-8 (A), - (B), - (C)
KEE 8: 3-4-11 (A), 1-7-9 (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x1x3x2x6 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A's: 2x1x3x2x3 = 36 x .50 = $18
Backup (ACAAA): 2x1x3x2x3 = 36 x .50 = $18 (3 in Leg B-BAQ 7th)

$0.50 Pick 5 (7,9/5/7/8/1,10) Paid $558.95


AQUEDUCT 7th: Sands Point (G2), 3yo-F, 9f-T (P5, G/S, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #5 Ready for Candy 2-1 WON ($4.38)
Best Value: #3 Winfinity 15-1 8th
Next Best: #6 Pretty Picture 7-2 3rd
Exotics Use: #4 Griselda 6-1 6th


FAR HILLS 5th: Grand National (G1), 4+, 2-5/8m-National Fences (DD)

Most Likely: #2 Snap Decision 8-5: Feels like the last showcase for the 11yo defending Champion.. 4th
Best Value: #5 Ballysax Hank 8-1: Formful Cromwell invader won rich Market Rasen chase as fave.. 2nd
Next Best: #7 Zanahiyr 4-1: Elliott's Aga Khan-bred 8yo is 31/7-7-3 in jumping career.. WON ($6.60)
Exotics Use: #1 Swore 10-1: Arthur Hancock/Patrick Lewis project proving out as chaser.. -


KEENELAND 7th: MSW, 2yo-F, 6f (P4, P3, DD)

Best Value: #7 Music Burst 15-1: O/O win early Overbrook mare, full sister a '21 SAR debut winner ~ under Johnny! 6th
Next Best: #8 Solemn Vow 3-1 WON ($10.74)
Exotics Use: #4 Glow of a Rose 4-1 3rd
Super Add: #12 Majestic Moon 12-1 9th


KEENELAND 8th: ALW/N3X, 3+, 8.5f-T (P3, DD)

Super competitive on paper, but there appears to be just moderate speed involved..

Best Value: #11 Nineeleventurbo 6-1 4th
Next Best: #3 This Is Uscar 9-2 5th
Exotics Use: #4 Eye On Ry 15-1 8th
Super Add: #1 Theismann 8-1 WON ($7.24)


9th: Raven Run (G2), 3yo-F, 7f (DD)

A lot going on here as Dogwood trifecta (Ragtime, Strong State, Delightful Claire) meets up against regional invaders from California (Om N Joy, Usha) and Maryland (Maida), while Quietside and Simply Joking (now with McCarthy) make returns. Note the 5 foes have posted faster figs coming in than favored Ragtime. Tough group to decipher..

Best Value: #10 Simply Joking 8-1 9th
Next Best: #8 Usha 9-2 7th
Exotics Use: #9 Ragtime 3-1 3rd
Super Add: #1 Delightful Claire 10-1 5th


10th: MSW, 2yo, 1m-T (Hi-5)

Most Likely: #8 Shane's the Brains 9-2: Reddam home bred a full to MSW's Team Merchants & Slow Down Andy.. 10th
Best Value: #5 Angelic Katie 10-1: Gelner 2nd timer exits strong KY Downs MDN heat.. 11th
Next Best: #6 Fire 15-1: Colebrook firster a half to multiple turf route SW Palazzi (Pioneerof the Nile).. 9th
Exotics use: #9 Unlikely Queen 20-1 8th


P5 Grid:

6: 2-3-5 (A), - (B), - (C)
7: 7 (A), 8 (B), - (C)
8: 3-4-11 (A), 1-7-9 (B), - (C)
9: 8-10 (A), - (B), 1-9 (C)
10: 5-8 (A), - (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x2x6x2x2 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A's: 3x1x3x2x2 = 36 x .50 = $18
Backup (AAACA): 3x1x3x2x2 = 36 x .50 = $18 (9-10 in 9th)


P4 Grid:

7: 7-8 (A), - (B), - (C)
8: 3-4-11 (A), 1-7-9 (B), - (C)
9: 8-9-10 (A), - (B), 1-7-11 (C)
10: 5-8 (A), - (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 2x6x3x2 = 72 x .50 = $36
All A's: 2x3x3x2 = 36 x .50 = $18
Backup (AACA): 2x3x3x2 = 36 x .50 = $18 (1-7-9 in 9th)


Let's get lucky!
Steve