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Old 08-05-2022, 05:15 AM
Kasept's Avatar
Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Greenwich, NY
Posts: 43,947
Default 8/5: Saratoga (Hall of Fame/Troy; 5th-10th)

SARATOGA


POST-SCRATCHES


5th: ALW/N1X, F&M-3+, 12f-Inner (P6, $3 Triple Play/5-8-9, P3, DD)

Best Value: #3 Ballymore Star 12-1 3rd
Next Best: #1 Shad Nation 5-2 4th
Exotics Use: #5 Rheaume 4-1 2nd
Super Add: #8 My Sweet Story 8-1 6th


$3 Triple Play Grid:

5: 1-3-5 (A), - (B), - (C)
8: 6-7 (A), 1-3-5-9 (B), - (C)
9: 5 (A), - (B), 3 (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x6x1 = 18 x $3 = $54
All A's: 3x2x1 = 6 x $3 = $18
Backups: 1-3-5 w/ 6-7 w/ 3 = 3x2x1 = 6 x $3 = $18


6th: MSW, 2yo-F, 5.5f-T (P5, G/S, P3, DD)

Best Value: #4 AZTEC NIGHTS 6-1 WON ($9.40)
Next Best: #2 Love Tank 7-2 7th
Exotics Use: #1 Run for Cover 6-1 6th
Super Add: #10 She'll Never Know 8-1 8th


7th: CLM, 3+, 1m (P4, P3, DD)

Best Value: #5 Ragtime Blues 9-2 2nd
Next Best: #4 Direct Order 3-1 WON ($7.10)
Exotics Use: #2 Dark Storm 5-1 4th
Super Add: #7 Handy 8-1 8th


8th: Hall of Fame (G2), 3yo, 1m-Inner (P3, DD)

Always interesting group for this and there is not one auto-toss of the 9 including Chucky Lawrence's 20-1 Wow What a Summer whose Penn Mile win stands up against these. And what do you do with Wit (4-1) whose grass efforts in the morning hint at turf ability? Double Clutch got within 2 lengths of Annapolis in the Manila and that one is your 5-2 choice in tomorrow's Saratoga Derby. Rusty Arnold regularly offers overlay potential in these parts. Super race and none of the 3,024 superfecta combinations are impossible..

Best Value: #7 Double Clutch 5-1 5th
Next Best: #6 Ready to Perform 9-2 WON ($9.80)
Exotics Use: #3 Wit 4-1 2nd
Super Add: #5 Stolen Base 8-1 7th


9th: Troy (G3), 4+, 5.5f-T (DD)

Golden pal the horse to beat obviously, but Arzak is not far off the favorite and has benefit of pace set up. Spycraft is an overlay at 15-1 and Thin White Duke can nab 3rd or 4th late..

Most Likely: #5 Golden Pal 1-2 WON ($2.60)
Next Best: #3 Arzak 9-2 4th
Best Value: #1 Spycraft 15-1 6th
Exotics Use: #7 Thin White Duke 30-1 3rd


10th: NY-MCLM/$25k, F&M-3+, 7f

Most Likely: #6 Wicked Lady 5-2 WON ($8.20)
Next Best: #4 Big Bean Christine 7-2 7th
Best Value: #1 Miss Malala 30-1 8th
Exotics Use: #3 Regal Rebel 6-1 9th


P5 Grid:

6: 2-4 (A), - (B), - (C)
7: 2-4-5 (A), - (B), - (C)
8: 6-7 (A), 3-5 (B), - (C)
9: 5 (A), 3 (B), - (C)
10: 6 (A), 4 (B), 1-3-7 (C)

Simple (A+B): 2x3x4x2x2 = 96 x .50 = $48
All A's: 2x3x2x1x1 = 12 x .50 = $6
Backup: $18 (1-3-7 in 10th)

$0.50 Pick 5 (4/4/6/5/6) Paid $272.50 (A-A-A-A-A)


P4 Grid:

7: 2-4-5 (A), - (B), - (C)
8: 6-7 (A), 3-5 (B), - (C)
9: 3-5 (A), - (B), - (C)
10: 6 (A), 1-4 (B), 3-7 (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x4x2x3 = 72 x .50 = $36
All A's: 3x2x2x1 = 12 x .50 = $6
Backup: $12 (3-7 in 10th)

$0.50 Pick 4 (4/6/5/6) Paid $64.37 (A-A-A-A)


Good luck!
Steve
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Last edited by Kasept : 08-05-2022 at 06:01 PM.
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