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Old 01-24-2020, 04:17 AM
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Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Greenwich, NY
Posts: 43,955
Default 1/24: Oaklawn ~ Opening Day (5th-9th)

OAKLAWN ~ OPENING DAY


POST-SCRATCHES


5th: CLM, 4+, 6f (P5, P3, DD)

Best Value: #9 Giant Pulpit 12-1 8th
Next Best: #5 Red Clay Magic 6-1 6th
Exotics Use: #2 Lewys Vaporizer 3-1 WON ($6.00)
Super Add: #3 Giddymeister 7-2 9th


6th: MSW, 3yo, 8.5f (P4, P3, DD)

Yeesh.. Slowish-looking MDN group going 2 turns while presenting a murky pace scenario. 7-2 second choice Ahsad (Shadwell/Peitz) exits 3 key races on turf, fast and slop earning field's best figures while being soundly beaten. Chet Thomas/Bret Calhoun City Zip colt Ready to Roll (6-1) may benefit from the move to 2 turns and should be out front from the break with Stewie Elliott who boasts a gaudy 10 for 26 (38%; $3.52) mark with the barn. Selleck, a half to Caleb's Posse, adds hood and stretches out for Joe Petalino. D. Wayne has a chance to win on opening day for the Zayat receivers with Lido Legacy. Instigated goes out for M & M & 38% 1st/claim Norm McKnight. Descent is a half to SW Pretty n Cool for Winchell/Horton & Asmussen..

Best Value: #3 Ready to Roll 6-1 WON ($9.20)
Next Best: #2 Ahsad 7-2 3rd
Exotics Use: #7 Lido Legacy 3-1 4th
Super Add: #4 Instigated 8-1 2nd


7th: OC/N$Y, 4+, 6f (P3, DD)

Deep and wildly competitive group made extra intriguing by the presence of new Oaklawn residents Sadler (Horse Greedy) and Hollendorfer (Awesome Anywhere), as well as Asmussen/Brewster KEE/NOV buy ($47k) Nero, a $950k Coolmore/Stonestreet yearling last seen running 3rd in the Triple Bend for Baffert..

Best Value: #1 Silver Ride 10-1 WON ($35.60)
Next Best: #7 Awesome Anywhere 9-2 6th
Exotics Use: #2 Nero 3-1 2nd
Super Add: #11 Gordy Florida 8-1 3rd


8th: Smarty Jones, 3yo, 1m (DD)

With 4 of these 9 stretching out off of sprints, pace has to be honest at the least, giving stalker-closer types their chance. Note that 'first finish line' (16th pole) is in play, so there isn't a great deal of stretch to navigate. Though winless, Cox-Godolphin mid-pack type Shared Sense ran into some of KY's nicest 2yo's last year including Liam's Map & Silver Prospector and was further flattered by Blackberry's Wine's 94 Beyer ALW win Saturday at Fairgrounds. Working at OP, adds Geroux to equation and 12-1 to start the bidding..

Best Value: #3 Shared Sense 12-1 5th
Next Best: #2 Silver Prospector 5-2 4th
Exotics Use: #7 Shoplifted 3-1 3rd
Super Add: #8 Lynn's Map 6-1 6th


9th: OC/N1X, 3yo-F, 6f

Most Likely: #4 Black Kat Taps 5-2 5th
Best Value: #9 Moorac 15-1 10th
Next Best: #12 Kiss the Girl 8-5 6th
Exotics Use: #6 Cherokee Chatter 10-1 8th


P5 Grid:

5: 5-9 (A), 2-3 (B), 1-7 (C)
6: 2-3 (A), - (B), 4-7 (C)
7: 1-2-7 (A), - (B), 8-11 (C)
8: 2-3 (A), 7 (B), 6-8-9 (C)
9: 4-9 (A), - (B), 6-12 (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x2x3x3x2 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A's: 2x2x3x2x2 =48 x .50 = $24


P4 Grid:

6: 2-3 (A), 4-7 (B), 6 (C)
7: 1-2-7 (A), - (B), 8-11 (C)
8: 2-3 (A), 7-8 (B), 4-6-9 (C)
9: 4-9-12 (A), - (B), 6 (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x3x4x3 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A's: 2x3x2x3 =36 x .50 = $18


Good luck!
Steve
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Last edited by Kasept : 01-24-2020 at 05:02 PM.
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