8/11: Saratoga (Day 17; Birdstone; $37k C/O); Del Mar (5th-8th; G2 Sorrento)

[Kasept]

SARATOGA


POST-SCRATCHES


5th: MSW, 2yo-F, 5.5f-OFF THE TURF (P6, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #13 J R Star 4-1 2nd
Next Best: #1 Tizasong 7-2 3rd
Best Value: #5 Kentucky Road 8-1 4th
Exotics Use: #3 Big Thrill 3-1 WON ($9.50)


6th: CLM/N2L, 3+, 8.5f-IT (G/S, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #4 Sir Macho 5-1 5th
Next Best: #9 Kensington Court 8-1 4th
Best Value: #3 Smokey Brown 20-1 6th
Exotics Use: #6 Blue Shark 10-1 3rd


7th: OC/N2X, F&M-3+, 5.5f-T (P4, P3, DD)

Best Value: #6 Fenwick Hall 10-1 10th
Next Best: #4 Vicki's Dancer 4-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #7 Rumble Doll 5-1 WON ($12.20)
Super Add: #8 Sister Sophia 7-2 2nd


8th: 5th Birdstone, 3+, 14f (P3, DD)

With everyone acknowledging that Village Warrior will be on an easy lead, don't expect that 8-1..

Most Likely: #8 Village Warrior 8-1 6th
Best Value: #7 Tacticus 10-1 WON ($6.60)
Next Best: #1 Gridley Here 6-1 4th
Exotics Use: #2 Micromanage 5-2 7th


9th: OC/N2X, F&M-3+, 9.5f-T (DD)

Best Value: #1 Chocolatier 5-1 2nd
Next Best: #6 Regardez 5-2 WON ($7.40)
Exotics Use: #5 Radiator 3-1 3rd
Super Add: #2 Graceful Grit 5-1 6th


10th: MCLM/$40k, F&M-3+, 1m-IT

Most Likely: #6 Antrim Colleen 3-1 4th
Best Value: #5 Your Turn 20-1 5th
Next Best: #9 Egyptian Magic 6-1 WON ($12.80)
Exotics Use: #8 Caroline's Spirit 10-1 7th

$0.50 Pick-4 (7/7/6/9) Paid $584.00



DEL MAR


POST-SCRATCHES


5th: MSW, 2yo, 1m-T (P4, P3, DD)

Looks like a better than average group of turf babies with edge going to those that have had an outing..

Most Likely: #1 Hollywood Don 6-1 WON ($9.80)
Next Best: #2 Rideo 5-2 6th
Best Value: #6 Tiz a Billy 15-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #3 Dressed in Hermes 7-2 3rd


6th: OC/N2X, 3+, 6f (P3, DD)

Five of 8 here return from breaks of various duration. In-form Bold Fantasy exits NoCal Fair and Moger reaches for Bejarano..

Best Value: #1 Bold Fantasy 5-1 3rd
Next Best: #7 Yiannis 5-2 WON ($3.60)
Exotics Use: #3 Forever Juanito 10-1 5th
Super Add: #5 Athens 8-1 2nd


7th: 47th Sorrento (G2), 2yo-F, 6.5f (DD)

Sooner Time & Stays in Vegas have already SCR'd and they seemed like possible upsetters of impressive Pretty N Cool..

Most Likely: #7 Pretty N Cool 8-5 WON ($2.80)
Next Best: #6 Uptown Twirl 5-2 5th
Exotics Use: #3 Undisputed 8-1 6th


8th: MSW, 2yo, 1m-T (Super Hi-5)

Most Likely: #7 Handful of Stripes 2-1 3rd
Best Value: #2 Arcature 6-1 WON ($12.20)
Next Best: #5 Incredible Luck 7-2 7th
Exotics Use: #1 Recalibrating 6-1 2nd


P4 Grid:

5: 1-2 (A), 3-6 (B), 4-10 (C)
6: 1-7 (A), 3-5-8 (B), 4-6 (C)
7: 7 (A), - (B), 3-6 (C)
8: 2-7 (A), 1-5-6-11 (B), 4 (C)

$0.50 Pick-4 (1/7/4,7,8/2) Paid $105.20


Good luck!
Steve