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Old 03-21-2014, 07:30 AM
Kasept's Avatar
Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Greenwich, NY
Posts: 43,852
Default 3/21: Santa Anita ($552k DBL C/O)

$552k double carryover Friday at Santa Anita as only one favorite (7th-Rangi) came through in the challenging sextet. I was able to identify the 3 biggest prices in the P6 as Best Value players Thursday ($20.40 Our Flitter Ball; $16.40 An Unusual Group; $20.60 Spirit Rules), but didn't have them weighted as needed to generate multi-race success. Plus, unlike Brad Free, I didn't like Rangi! Friday sequence doesn't feel immediately easier either, but let's give it a go..


SANTA ANITA PARK


POST-SCRATCHES


3rd: MSW, F&M-4+, 6.5f-T (P6, P3)

Repeat of most recent should get Autumn View over the hump, but make no mistake about her being win shy..

Most Likely: #3 Autumn View 6-5 (A) 2nd
Next Best: #2 Oughttobenaughty 9-2 (B) 4th
Exotics Use: #4 Provenance 3-1 (C) WON ($8.40)


4th: S-ALW, F&M-4+, 6.5f (P3, DD)

Yikes.. Super tricky starter allowance at in-between trip with whole group about 3 lengths apart. Note Baltas won a pair yesterday and #7 Full's Dress Code worked at par with Thursday feature creature Rangi..

Best Value: #2 E Equalsmcsquared 5-1 (A) 6th
Next Best: #3 Hearitforthegirls 9-2 (A) 4th
Exotics Use: #6 L T Reckless 7-2 (B) WON ($11.40)
Super Add: #7 Full's Dress Code 6-1 (B) 5th


5th: Cal-ALW/N1X, 6.5f-T (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #3 Betty's Bambino 5-2 (A) WON ($4.00)
Next Best: #7 Luz Atticus 4-1 (B) 2nd
Best Value: #6 Collation 15-1 (C) 6th


6th: CLM, 4+, 5.5f (P3)

Bottom level claimers but some steady, formful players..

Most Likely: #7 Road Ready 5-2 (A) WON ($6.00)
Best Value: #3 Di Conti 9-2 (B) 6th
Next Best: #1 Xuang Feng 2-1 (B) 2nd
Exotics Use: #4 Truelee Scrappin 4-1 (C) 4th


7th: OC, 4+, 12f-T (DD)

2.5 turn lawn test has quality cast including comebacker Lime Rickey away 9+ months since '13 Whittingham. Mambo Man (3-1) looks like a shrewd claim for Canani..

Best Value: #7 Mambo Man 3-1 (A) WON ($7.20)
Next Best: #2 Boyett 2-1 (B) 3rd
Exotics Use: #1 Lime Rickey 5-2 (B) 8th
Super Add: #5 Death Star 12-1 (C) 7th


8th: MCLM/$20k, 4+, 6.5f (Super Hi-5)

Most Likely: #1 Charbroiled 6-5 (A) WON ($3.60)
Best Value: #3 Murmansk 8-1 (B) 7th
Next Best: #6 Jimrony 7-2 (B) 3rd
Exotics Use: #2 Ice Cream Truck 4-1 (C) 2nd
Super/Hi-5: #8 Slight Edge 8-1 (C) 5th


<$140 P6 Play:

All A Entries

1 $2.00 pick P6: 3 with 2,3 with 3 with 7 with 7 with 1 - $4.00

A's with One B

2 $2.00 pick P6: 2 with 2,3 with 3 with 7 with 7 with 1 - $4.00
3 $2.00 pick P6: 3 with 6,7 with 3 with 7 with 7 with 1 - $4.00 $2 Pick 6 (4/6/1,3/7/7/1) Paid $41.40 (5OF6)
4 $2.00 pick P6: 3 with 2,3 with 7 with 7 with 7 with 1 - $4.00
5 $2.00 pick P6: 3 with 2,3 with 3 with 1 with 7 with 1 - $4.00
6 $2.00 pick P6: 3 with 2,3 with 3 with 7 with 2 with 1 - $4.00
7 $2.00 pick P6: 3 with 2,3 with 3 with 7 with 7 with 3,6 - $8.00

A's with Two B's

8 $2.00 pick P6: 2 with 6,7 with 3 with 7 with 7 with 1 - $4.00 $2 Pick 6 (4/6/1,3/7/7/1) Paid $41.40 (5OF6)
9 $2.00 pick P6: 2 with 2,3 with 7 with 7 with 7 with 1 - $4.00
10 $2.00 pick P6: 2 with 2,3 with 3 with 1 with 7 with 1 - $4.00
11 $2.00 pick P6: 2 with 2,3 with 3 with 7 with 2 with 1 - $4.00
12 $2.00 pick P6: 2 with 2,3 with 3 with 7 with 7 with 3,6 - $8.00
13 $2.00 pick P6: 3 with 6,7 with 7 with 7 with 7 with 1 - $4.00
14 $2.00 pick P6: 3 with 6,7 with 3 with 1 with 7 with 1 - $4.00
15 $2.00 pick P6: 3 with 6,7 with 3 with 7 with 2 with 1 - $4.00
16 $2.00 pick P6: 3 with 6,7 with 3 with 7 with 7 with 3,6 - $8.00
17 $2.00 pick P6: 3 with 2,3 with 7 with 1 with 7 with 1 - $4.00
18 $2.00 pick P6: 3 with 2,3 with 7 with 7 with 2 with 1 - $4.00
19 $2.00 pick P6: 3 with 2,3 with 7 with 7 with 7 with 3,6 - $8.00
20 $2.00 pick P6: 3 with 2,3 with 3 with 1 with 2 with 1 - $4.00
21 $2.00 pick P6: 3 with 2,3 with 3 with 1 with 7 with 3,6 - $8.00
22 $2.00 pick P6: 3 with 2,3 with 3 with 7 with 2 with 3,6 - $8.00

A's with One C

23 $2.00 pick P6: 4 with 2,3 with 3 with 7 with 7 with 1 - $4.00 $2 Pick 6 (4/6/1,3/7/7/1) Paid $41.40 (5OF6)
24 $2.00 pick P6: 3 with 2,3 with 4,6 with 7 with 7 with 1 - $8.00
25 $2.00 pick P6: 3 with 2,3 with 3 with 3 with 7 with 1 - $4.00
26 $2.00 pick P6: 3 with 2,3 with 3 with 7 with 1 with 1 - $4.00

Total: $132.00 $41.40 x 3 = $124.20


<$40 P4 Play:

All A Entries

1 $1.50 pick P4: 3 with 7 with 2,7 with 1 - $3.00 $1.50 Pick 4 (1,3/7/7/1) Paid $113.10

A's with One B

2 $1.00 pick P4: 6 with 7 with 2,7 with 1 - $2.00
3 $1.00 pick P4: 3 with 1,3 with 2,7 with 1 - $4.00
4 $1.00 pick P4: 3 with 7 with 1,5 with 1 - $2.00
5 $1.00 pick P4: 3 with 7 with 2,7 with 3,6 - $4.00

A's with Two B's

6 $0.50 pick P4: 6 with 1,3 with 2,7 with - $2.00
7 $0.50 pick P4: 6 with 7 with 1,5 with 1 - $1.00
8 $0.50 pick P4: 6 with 7 with 2,7 with 3,6 - $2.00
9 $0.50 pick P4: 3 with 1,3 with 1,5 with 1 - $2.00
10 $0.50 pick P4: 3 with 1,3 with 2,7 with 3,6 - $4.00
11 $0.50 pick P4: 3 with 7 with 1,5 with 3,6 - $2.00

A's with One C
12 $0.50 pick P4: 4,7 with 7 with 2,7 with 1 - $2.00
13 $0.50 pick P4: 3 with 2,4,5 with 2,7 with 1 - $3.00
14 $0.50 pick P4: 3 with 7 with 3,4 with 1 - $1.00
15 $0.50 pick P4: 3 with 7 with 2,7 with 2,8 - $2.00

Total: $36.00


Good luck!
Steve
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A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
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The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command. ~ George Orwell, 1984.

Last edited by Kasept : 03-22-2014 at 06:41 AM.
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