4/16: AQU ($19k C/O); KEE (Late P4)

[Kasept]

Aqueduct quad try was dashed early, but Keeneland P4 slipped away achingly when Lynch returnee Bay to Bay could not real in Motion's Check the Label in the G3 Appalachian. Josie Carroll's 'first time synth' Valli With a Vow, whom I used as 4th choice Super Add, lit the board for close to $24 in the MSW sequence opener. I used the finishers behind her as the top three tabs, but failed personally to take advantage of the $411 tri ($1) and $366 super (.10). Hope someone got a piece!

At the Big A, other than a nice little hit with Little Wise Guy in the 8th, it was a case of one horse after another running second. Mind Boggling couldn't get to Old Kit Bag in the 6th, and no one could get to wire job Writinonthewall in the 7th or end to end High Lion in the 9th. In that nightcap, Ramon Dominguez on High Lion (Jacobson) again demonstrated why he's a good as there is closing the door on Victor Santiago who was moving fastest of all up the rail on Sciacca's Tutti Va Bene (13-1). Santiago had extracted his mount from a troubled start and saved ground to get in position to steal the race, but chose the wrong guy to try and get by inside. Look for Tutti Va Bene, who was primed enough for her seasonal return to grass to run a career best 71 Beyer Thursday, next time out with Prado.

$19k carryover at Aqueduct and another P4 at Keeneland today!


AQUEDUCT


POST-SCRATCHES


3rd: NYB-CLM/N2L, F&M-3+, 1m (P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #5 Every Little Thing 3-5 WON
Best Value: #6 Sand and Song 12-1 3rd
Next Best: #1 Tomorrow's Roses 5-1 4th


4th: NYB-MSW, F&M-3+, 1m-T (P6, P3, DD)

Best Value: #5 Refinery Fire 6-1 3rd
Most Likely: #9 Glory in Motion 2-1 WON
Next Best: #7 Es Mia 5-2 5th
Exotics Use: #4 Nurse Dolce 5-1 6th


5th: NYB-CLM/N3L, 3+, 7f (G/S, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #1 C'Est Qui Ton Pere 1-1 WON
Best Value: #2 Her Latest Flame 6-1 2nd
Next Best: #5 Nolite Timere 5-1 4th
Exotics Use: #3 Bryan Kicks 12-1 5th


6th: MSW, 3yo, 7f (P4, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #7 Avenging Spirit 5-2 2nd
Best Value: #3 Too Big to Fail 6-1 5th
Next Best: #1 Zio Tony 3-1 WON
Super Add: #4 World Record 8-1 7th


7th: CLM/N2L, 3+, 8.5f-T (P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #5 Distant Strike 9-5 2nd
Next Best: #3 Lt. John 3-1 WON
Exotics Use: #10 Interference 15-1 7th
Super Add: #2 Roma Di Notte 15-1 8th

.10 SUPER PLAY: 3-5 with 3-5 with 2-4-6-8-10 with 2-4-6-8-10 (2x1x5x4 = 4- x .10 = $4.00)


8th: ALW/N1X, F&M-3+, 1m (DD)

Best Value: #1 Exiled Princess 10-1 2nd
Next Best: #2 Dancing Daisy 7-2 WON


9th: NYB-MSW, 3+, 1m-T (Super)

Most Likely: #8 N P Cat 4-1 7th
Next Best: #7 Tapitdar 3-1 3rd
Best Value: #1 Leatherhead 9-2 WON
Super Add: #5 Storiesinthedark 12-1 5th


<$75 P6 Play:

4: 5-9
5: 1
6: 7
7: 3-5
8: 1-2
9: 1-5-7-8

2x1x1x2x2x4 = 32 x $2 = $64

$2 P6 (9-1-7-3-2-1) 5 Correct Paid $21.40


<$75 P4 Play:

6: 3-7
7: 3-5
8: 1-2-4
9: 1-3-5-7-8

2x2x3x5 = $60



KEENELAND


POST-SCRATCHES


7th: MSW, 3yo, 7f (P4, P3, DD, Super)

Note Pletcher debuter #6 Tetelestai (9-2) out of MSW mare Starry Dreamer who has produced litany of stakes runners including Ecclesiastic, War Front, Teammate and Riviera Cocktail..

Most Likely: #2 Leading Candidate 7-2 2nd
Best Value: #8 McCandy Man 15-1 7th
Next Best: #3 New Pais 5-2 WON
Super Add: #6 Telestai 9-2 5th


8th: ALW/C, F&M-4+, 8.5f-T (P3, DD, Super)

Best Value: #2 You Go West Girl 4-1 3rd
Most Likely: #5 Rainbow View 7-5 WON
Next Best: #6 My Baby Baby 4-1 2nd


9th: Doubledogdare (G3), F&M-4+, 8.5f (DD, Super)

Most Likely: #3 Striking Dancer 2-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #2 Funny Moon 3-1 2nd


10th: CLM, 4+, 8.5f (Super, Super High 5)

Most Likely: #12 Forchtenberg 9-2 8th
Next Best: #10 Smarmy 7-2 4th
Best Value: #5 Amanofhisword 30-1 9th
Exotics Use: #11 Cabazon 12-1 3rd
High 5 Play: #2 Cruzatte 5-1 2nd


<$75 P4 Play:

7: 2-3-6-8
8: 2-5-6
9: 3-6
10: 2-5-10-11-12

4x3x2x5 = 120 x .50 = $60


Good luck!
Steve