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  #1  
Old 07-31-2009, 03:55 AM
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Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
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Location: Greenwich, NY
Posts: 43,956
Default 7/31: Saratoga (Day 3/Lake George/$35k C/O)

Second day of Spa session was again spent in 'survival' mode with clear cut opportunities difficult to identify and capitalize on... A few performers I was counting on were disappointing, but did stay in the hunt on the day with $46.20 'Best Value' MY LUCKY PENNEY coming through. Hope you did OK. Twilight card Friday upon us anchored by a great Lake George and impossible-looking P6 carryover...


SARATOGA RACE COURSE


POST-SCRATCHES


1st: CLM/N3L, F&M-3+, 5.5f-OFF THE TURF (P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #13 Quonata 4-1 8th
Best Value: #6 Seasons Wise 20-1 6th
Next Best: #4 For Free 7-2 3rd
Super Add: #10 Hot and Bothered 3-1 WON


2nd: NYB-MSW, 2yo-F, 5f (P4, P3, DD, Super)

Best Value: #8 Rogue's Jewel 5-1 5th
Most Likely: #6 Musicsetsmefree 3-1 7th
Next Best: #3 Fair Lady Olivia 6-1 4th
Super Add: #1 Sugar Trade 5-1 WON


3rd: MDN CLM, 3+, 8.5f-OFF THE TURF (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #5 Morethan Fourhours 4-1 6th
Best Value: #2b All West 12-1 2nd
Next Best: #4x Birdrun 4-1 WON


4th: MSW, 2yo-F, 5.5f (P6, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #3 Key Quality 4-1 10th
Best Value: #12 Rumpus Room 12-1 8th
Next Best: #4 Kid Kate 8-1 WON
Exotics Use: #11 Taconic Victory 12-1 2nd


5th: MDN CLM, 3+, 6f (G/S, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #4 No Detour 3-1 3rd
Best Value: #7 True Crusader 8-1 2nd
Next Best: #8 Dancing Digits 9-2 WON
Exotics Use: #9 Telemachus 7-2


<$75 P4 Play:

2: 6-8
3: 2-4-5
4: 1-3-4-10-11-12
5: 4-7

2x3x6x2 = $72


6th: ALW/N1X, F&M-3+, 6f (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #8 Redreamit 3-1 7th
Best Value: #6 See the Forest 20-1 10th
Next Best: #11 Mine All Mine 10-1 5th
Exotics Use: #1 (POE) Dulcet Tone 5-1 3rd


7th: High Rock Spring-NYB, 3+, 9f (P3, DD, Super)

Best Value: #4 Joe Corrigan 8-1 6th
Most Likely: #6 Future Prospect 2-1 2nd
Next Best: #8 Stud Muffin 3-1 4th
Super Add: #7 R Clear Victory 5-1 WON


8th: 14th Lake George (Gr. II), 3yo-F, 8.5f-IT (DD, Super)

Tough, tough set with well-matched group of soph fillies..

CAME OFF THE TURF AFTER FINAL SELECTIONS..


9th: CLM/N3L, 3+, 5.5f-OFF THE TURF (Super)

Most Likely: #14 Golden Age 3-1 5th
Next Best: #15 I. M Boomer 7-2 6th
Also Use: #10 Icetate 7-2 3rd


<$75 P4 Play:

FEATURE COMING OFF NEGATED PLAY..

6: 6-8-11
7: 4-6-7-8
8:
9: 14-15


Good luck!
Steve
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Last edited by Kasept : 08-01-2009 at 03:40 AM.
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  #2  
Old 07-31-2009, 06:06 AM
beemerhauler beemerhauler is offline
Les Bois
 
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Steve, the date should read 7/31 instead of 7/30. Thanks for your show, enthusiasm, and handicapping. Also, thanks for getting this info out so early. Your FB friend, Arthur.
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  #3  
Old 07-31-2009, 06:35 AM
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Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
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Quote:
Originally Posted by beemerhauler
Steve, the date should read 7/31 instead of 7/30. Thanks for your show, enthusiasm, and handicapping. Also, thanks for getting this info out so early. Your FB friend, Arthur.
Arthur.

Thx so much. Been fun start to the meet/broadcasts.


Note that it has been pouring rain and turf will be off for all except perhaps the Lake George and even that is threatened. Standing water everywhere. Scratches will be extensive. Kind of a mess here...
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All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command. ~ George Orwell, 1984.
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  #4  
Old 07-31-2009, 06:37 AM
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jms62 jms62 is offline
Saratoga
 
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Posts: 19,801
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Quote:
Originally Posted by beemerhauler
Steve, the date should read 7/31 instead of 7/30. Thanks for your show, enthusiasm, and handicapping. Also, thanks for getting this info out so early. Your FB friend, Arthur.
I'm sure Steve would have figured that out on his own.. Bud Light salutes you Mr. Internet Message Board Copy Editor.

http://www.youtube.com/results?searc...rch_type=&aq=f
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  #5  
Old 07-31-2009, 07:12 AM
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Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
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Default SAR: off turf all but Lake George..

http://www.nyra.com/trackconditions.html

ALL off turf except the Lake George...

Main SEALED/SLOPPY...
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All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command. ~ George Orwell, 1984.
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  #6  
Old 07-31-2009, 09:01 AM
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Ronnie Ronnie is offline
Lincoln Fields
 
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Location: Albany, NY
Posts: 438
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Think they'll throw in the towel today? I've never seen this much rain.
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  #7  
Old 07-31-2009, 09:03 AM
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MaTH716 MaTH716 is offline
Flemington
 
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Location: Jersey
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Ronnie
Think they'll throw in the towel today? I've never seen this much rain.
its absolutely teeming out. I cant believe that the Lake George will stay on. But then again I thought that there was no chance on them being on the turf yesterday after the deluge on Wednesday night.
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  #8  
Old 07-31-2009, 09:14 AM
MISTERGEE MISTERGEE is offline
Churchill Downs
 
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Location: MIAMI
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Ronnie
Think they'll throw in the towel today? I've never seen this much rain.
i am scared because that is saying alot for saratoga
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  #9  
Old 07-31-2009, 10:45 AM
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Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
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http://www.equibase.com/premium/changes/SAR-changes.asp

Early scratches... Word from track super monitoring weather modules is that the rain will continue. Hopes for the opening for a good portion of the afternoon are fading.
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All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command. ~ George Orwell, 1984.
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  #10  
Old 07-31-2009, 11:44 AM
mclem0822 mclem0822 is offline
Del Mar
 
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Location: Jacksonville, Florida
Posts: 5,093
Default Steve or anyone....

What time does Talk Horses show begin, with the 2:30 post? Thanks
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  #11  
Old 07-31-2009, 11:55 AM
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Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
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Location: Greenwich, NY
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Quote:
Originally Posted by mclem0822
What time does Talk Horses show begin, with the 2:30 post? Thanks
1:15 based on schedule working back from 2:30 opener.
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All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command. ~ George Orwell, 1984.
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  #12  
Old 07-31-2009, 12:02 PM
mclem0822 mclem0822 is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Kasept
1:15 based on schedule working back from 2:30 opener.
Thanks, best of luck today.
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  #13  
Old 07-31-2009, 03:52 PM
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tigerfan tigerfan is offline
Tropical Park
 
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Thanks for the $230.50 tri in the 5th, Steve!
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  #14  
Old 07-31-2009, 05:27 PM
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jms62 jms62 is offline
Saratoga
 
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How can you not get it done Dominquez... Another P4 up in Smoke.
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