5/20: Belmont (4th-9th)

[Kasept]

BELMONT PARK


POST-SCRATCHES


4th: MDN CLM, F&M-3+, 9f-T (P6, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #5 Trippi's Holiday 2-1: Wins with any advance; Has hanger look.. 5th
Best Value: #1a (POE) Caffre Cat 12-1: Note solid soggy turf debut.. 6th
Next Best: #7 Flip the Coin 6-1: Even debut; Karma pluses; Value and Ramon.. 4th
Exotics Use: #8 Twointheroom 4-1 2nd


5th: NYB-ALW/N1X, 3+, 7f-T (G/S, P3, DD, Super)

Best Value: #9 Brecciate 10-1: Red gelding seems to invite trouble lines.. 4th
Most Likely: #10 LATE SCR-RUN OFF
Next Best: #6 Woodrunner 7-2: Slight ML favorite no better than several here.. 3rd
Super Add: #8 Paul's Ace 8-1: Ritvo bay beat open for diploma; Lone speed? 10th

.10 SUPER SPOT PLAY: 8-9 with 6-8-9 with 6-7-8-9 with 5-6-7-8-9 (Post SCR): 2x2x3x4 = 48 x .10 = $4.80


6th: NYB-MSW, 3+, 9f (P4, P3, DD)

SCR #8 Fortyninegeorgest.

Best Value: #2 Gamblin Fever 12-1: Dangerous ground-saver under Jose.. WON
Most Likely: #3 W. C. Jones 7-2: Improved last out changing tactics.. 3rd
Next Best: #10 Burnished Copper 3-1: Career maiden posted poorly.. 4th
Exotics Use: #7 Cough Drop 5-1: $100k E. Mack purchase working OK for return.. 8th


7th: ALW/N1X, 3+, 1m-T (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #7 Pinckney Hill 3-1: Proved sharp in debut score WON
Best Value: #9 Le Grand Cru 5-1: Fast on main and should like lawn stretchout.. 3rd
Next Best: #1a (POE) Echo in Eternity 4-1: Better half of solid Pletcher pair..


8th: OC/N2X, F&M-3+, 1m (DD)

5-pack of sneakily well-matched missies..

Most Likely: #3 Flying Dixie 2-1: Looks best back one-turning on organic main.. WON
Next Best: #1 One Step Ahead 5-2: Won this level last; Back with tag.. 2nd
Best Value: #5 Halo Hollie 7-2: 2nd off long break; Beat stakes fillies when right.. 5th


9th: CLM/N2L, 3+, 7f-T (Super)

3-1 Frankel fave (#9 Marl) is no faster than many signed on; Looking elsewhere..

Most Likely: #3 Chinese Whisper 4-1: Takes precipitous drop under Gomez.. 2nd
Best Value: #10 Manhattan Star 6-1: Wire threat cutting off a panel.. 4th
Next Best: #8 Ballymoy 6-1: Bay took time graduating; Drowned v. ALW foes.. 9th
Super Add: #2 Snuckinandsnuckout 5-1: Obscurely bred gelding best turf sprinting.. 6th


<$75 P4 Play:

Going to try catch big numbers anywhere else and take stand in very difficult feature..

6: 2-3-5-7-10
7: 1-7-9
8: 3
9: 2-3-8-9-10

5x3x1x5 = $75

$1 Pick 4 (2/5,6,7,10/3/9) Paid $455.50


Good luck!
Steve