6/25: BEL ($61k); HOL ($172k) Carries

[Kasept]

Reviewing Saturday, had mediocre day with some isolated success like Optimistic Steve, but found the going was largely frustrating in the P6 tries at Belmont, Hollywood and '60-6'. The 60-6 is going to be a very tough wager if we have to negotiate 10-12 horse fields in all 6 of the races at all 4 of the tracks with 3-4 of the events coming on the lawn. A $65,000 carryover starts Saturday's pool.

Today offers 2 exceedingly tricky but playable P6 opportunities AGAIN at Belmont and Hollywood... Let's dig in!


BELMONT PARK

POST SCRATCHES!

4th: NYB-MSW, 2yo-F, 5.5f (P6, P3)

SCR: #5 Alexandra's Halo...

Heavy fave #10 Red Seven (8-5) gave up 4L+ lead late in debut and must negotiate wide post for this dash. Tough to concede to as 'single' with several well-bred and seemingly well-intended baby girls posted from inside and even Badgett's Artax bay (#9 Beboblues Art, 12-1) not impossible after bad break bow. Inclined to spread here to survive..

Most Likely: #10 Red Seven 8-5 7th
Best Value: #3 Dancing Daisy 12-1 8th
Next Best: #9 Beboblues Art 12-1 6th
Super/Exotics: #4 Sneakin Up 12-1 2nd


5th: NYB-MSW, 3+, 6f-IT (G/S, P3, Super)

Will go against Rice (#1-POE), who is no better than several here..

Most Likely: #9 Pano's Love 7-2 2nd
Best Value: #8 Pure Tantrum 6-1 9th
Next Best: #3 Senor Musician 4-1 WON
Super/Exotics: #7 Challenger's Song 12-1 3rd

$1 Trifecta (3-9-7) $128.75
$1 Exacta (3-9) Paid $16.90

.10 SUPER: Key 9 first/second with 1-2-3-6-7-8 (1x6x5x4 = 120 x 2 = 240 x .10 = $24.00) $0.10 Super (3-9-7-2) $46.70


6th: OC/N3X, 4+, 1m (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #3 SCR
Next Best: #1 SCR (POE) Frankel entry 3-1
Multis Consider: #4 No Reply 5-2


7th: CLM/N2L, 3+, 6f-IT (P3, Super)

Most Likely: #3 Steamroller 5-2
Best Value: #6 Catch Up Chris 6-1 2nd
Next Best: #9 Austin Laviva Baby 3-1 WON
Super/Exotics: #2 Unbridled Refrain 7-2 4th

$2 Exacta (9-6) Paid $28.50


8th: OC/N2X, 3+, 8.5f-T (DD)

Most Likely: #1 SCR (POE) KMc entry 3-1
Next Best: #2e Frankel entry 2-1 2nd
Best Value: #6 SCR
Super/Exotics: #3 Prince Rahy 4-1 WON


9th: CLM/N2L, F&M-3+, 6f (Super)

Most Likely: #9 Birds Away 5-2 7th
Next Best: #8 SCR
Best Value: #1 Count This Senora 12-1 WON
Super/Exotics: #5 Only a Vision 5-1 3rd


<$300 P6 Play:

4: 3-9-10
5: 8-9
6: 1-2-4-6
7: 3-6-9
8: 2-3
9: 9

3x2x4x3x2x1 = 144 x $2 = $288


<$50 P4 Play:

6: 1-2-4-6
7: 2-3-6-9
8: 1-2-3
9: 9

4x4x3x1 = $48



HOLLYWOOD PARK

POST SCRATCHES!

3rd: ALW/N$Y, F&M-3+, 8.5f (P6, P3, DD)

Best Value: #6 Look Deep 4-1 5th
Most Likely: #3 Down 5-2 4th
Next Best: #5 Vanguarda 3-1 3rd


4th: MDN CLM, 2yo, 5f (P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #12 SCR
Best Value: #2 Red Jasper 5-1 6th
Next Best: #11 Delaware Doe 5-1 10th
Super/Exotics: #1 C.C.'s Secret 7-2 5th


5th: CLM, 4+, 1m-T (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #6 Ocean Grand 5-2 7th
Best Value: #7 El Don 4-1 4th
Next Best: #1 One On the House 7-2 WON


6th: CLM/N2L, 3+, 6.5f (P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #1 WILD McDREAMIE 7-2 7th
Next Best: #5 The Unclean Spirit 3-1 3rd
Best Value: #6 Wellnessfast 4-1 8th


7th: OC/N1X, 3yo, 1m-T (DD, Super)

Most Likely: #8 Afleet Ruler 7-5 2nd
Best Value: #2 Crimson Star 20-1 WON
Next Best: #3 Guts 6-1 4th
Super/Exotics: #4 Raingear 10-1 5th


8th: MSW, 2yo-F, 5f (Super High 5)

Most Likely: #7 Candilejas 7-2 2nd
Best Value: #9 SCR
Next Best: #1 Lippy Rules 3-1 3rd
Super Add: #2 Winningdancer 20-1 9th
High 5 Play: #10 Brewha Baby 4-1 4th


<$250 P6 Play:

3: 3-5-6
4: 1-2-11
5: 1-6-7
6: 1-5
7: 8
8: 1-7

3x3x3x2x1x2 = 108 x $2 = $216


<$75 P4 Play:

5: 1-6-7
6: 1-5
7: 2-3-8
8: 1-2-7-10

3x2x3x4 = $72


Good luck!
Steve