11/8: Aqueduct ($22k P6 C/O)

[Kasept]

AQUEDUCT


PRE-SCRATCHES


NOTE: Am in Florida for Casey's funeral starting at 10a and will not be able to adjust for SCR/CHG's..


3rd: Dwyer, 3yo, 1m (P3, DD)

Best Value: #4 Stars and Stripes 3-1
Next Best: #2 Disco Time 6-5
Exotics Use: #1 Tip Top Thomas 2-1


4th: Pumpkin Pie, F&M-3+, 7f (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #6 Scalable 5-1
Best Value: #3 Taliesin 15-1
Next Best: #8 Weigh the Risks 9-5
Exotics Use: #1 Nic's Style 2-1


5th: MSW, 2yo, 6f-Outer (P6, P3, DD)

$22k P6 C/O starts here on a very tricky MSW lawn dash..

Most Likely: #10 Sweet Rhythm 4-1
Best Value: #4 Three Sixty 8-1
Next Best: #8 Belarosa 6-1
Exotics Use: #11 A Moment a Love 7-2


6th: ALW/N1X, 3+, 9f (P5, G/S, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #5 Commuted 4-1
Best Value: #2 Re Markably 8-1
Next Best: #1 Dreamlike 5-2
Exotics Use: #6 Chileno 7-2


7th: Hill Prince (G3), 3yo, 9f-T (P4, P3, DD)

Stars and Strides is a vulnerable favorite..

Best Value: #1 Noble Confessor 5-1
Next Best: #8 Mayor of Midnight 9-2
Exotics Use: #9 Tiz Dashing 6-1
Super Add: #5 Soleil Volant 10-1


P4 Grid:

4: 3-6 (A), - (B), - (C)
5: 4-10 (A), - (B), - (C)
6: 1-2-5 (A), - (B), - (C)
7: 1-8-9 (A), 3-5-6 (B), 2-4-7 (C)

Simple (A+B): 2x2x4x6 = 96 x .50 = $48
All A's: 2x2x3x3 = 36 x .50 = $18
Backup (AAAC): 2x2x3x3 = 36 x .50 = $18 (2-4-7 in 7th)


8th: NY-MSW, 2yo, 8.5f-Outer (P4, P3, DD)

Brutal, difficult to define group..

Most Likely: #4 Snickery 6-1
Best Value: #6 Speedstre 12-1
Next Best: #10 Make a Prediction 9-2
Exotics Use: #13-AE Jack's World 4-1


9th: Mother Goose (G2), 3yo-F, 9f (DD)

Most Likely: #1 Being Myself 6-1
Best Value: #5 Filly Freedom 15-1
Next Best: #9 Drexel Hill 7-2
Exotics Use: #6 Fully Subscribed 4-1


10th: Long Island (G3), F&M-3+, 11f-T

Best Value: #1 No Show Sammy Jo 8-1
Next Best: #2 Grayosh 5-1
Exotics Use: #3 Beach Bomb 3-1
Super Add: #8 Amber Cascade 6-1


P6 Grid:

5: 4-10 (A), - (B), - (C)
6: 2-5 (A), 1 (B), - (C)
7: 1-8-9 (A), - (B), 3-5-6 (C)
8: 4-6 (A), - (B), - (C)
9: 1 (A), 5 (B), - (C)
10: 1-2 (A), - (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 2x3x3x2x2x2 = $144
All A's: 2x2x3x2x1x2 = $48
Backup (AACAAA): 2x2x3x2x1x2 = $48 (3-5-6 in 7th)


P5 Grid:

6: 1-2-5 (A), - (B), - (C)
7: 1-8-9 (A), - (B), 3-5-6 (C)
8: 4-6 (A), - (B), - (C)
9: 1 (A), 5 (B), - (C)
10: 1-2 (A), 3-8 (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x3x2x2x4 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A's: 3x3x2x1x2 = 36 x .50 = $18
Backup (AACAAA): 3x3x2x1x2 = 36 x .50 = $18 (3-5-6 in 7th)


P4 Grid:

7: 1-5-8-9 (A), 3-6 (B), - (C)
8: 4-6 (A), - (B), - (C)
9: 1-5 (A), - (B), 6-9 (C)
10: 1-2 (A), 3-8 (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 6x2x2x4 = 96 x .50 = $48
All A's: 4x2x2x2 = 32 x .50 = $16
Backup (AACAAA): 4x2x2x2 = 32 x .50 = $16 (6-9 in 9th)


Let's get lucky!
Steve