8/22: Saratoga (Day 32; Travers Eve)

[Kasept]

SARATOGA


PRE-SCRATCHES


3rd: Seeking the Ante-NY, 2yo-F, 6f (P5, P3, DD)

Iron Orchard deserving fave but doesn't lay over field. Angel Gift looks like the one that is tractable in field of speed..

Best Value: #2 Angel Gift 5-1
Next Best: #3 Iron Orchard 4-5
Exotics Use: #6 Grazie 4-1
Super Add: #5 Shakti 7-2


4th: CLM, 3+, 1m (P4, P3, DD)

Best Bet and Quick Hammer are the speeds and if either one gets loose, they'll wire. Tricky read..

Most Likely: #7 Quick Hammer 2-1
Best Value: #5 Brew Pub 5-1
Next Best: #4 Bold Endeavor 3-1
Exotics Use: #1 Peak 7-2


5th: CLM/N2L, 3+, 6f (P6, P3, DD)

Best Value: #9 Zakat 10-1: MDN-breaker in 2nd start can score again with forward move..
Next Best: #2 (POE) Tarpaualin 4-5
Exotics Use: #5 Wecallemfuncoupons 8-1
Super Add: #4 Dialbolico 6-1


6th: MSW, 2yo-F, 8.5f-Inner (P5, G/S, P3, DD)

Deep looking group of turf missies demanding assessment of firsters (Chad.. Todd.. Brad.. Chad.. and Amelia) v. 2nd time starters (Mott, McPeek, Amoss Pletcher)..

Best Value: #8 Curly Q Girl 6-1
Next Best: #2 Counterintuitive 7-2
Exotics Use: #3 Actis 8-1
Super Add: #6 Amicable Farce 3-1


7th: CLM< 3+, 9f (P4, P3, DD)

Another good puzzle..

Most Likely: #3 Margin of Air 3-1
Next Best: #5 Manta Ray 4-1
Best Value: #6 Styner 6-1
Exotics Use: #4 Systemic Change 4-1


P5 Grid:

3: 2-3 (A), - (B), 5-6 (C)
4: 5-7 (A), 1-4 (B), - (C)
5: 2-9 (A), 5 (B), - (C)
6: 2-3-8 (A), - (B), - (C)
7: 3-5 (A), - (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 2x4x3x3x2 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A's: 2x2x2x3x2 = 48 x .50 = $24
Backup (CAAAA): 2x2x2x3x2 = 48 x .50 = $24 (5-6 in 3rd)


P4 Grid:

4: 5-7 (A), 1-4 (B), - (C)
5: 2-9 (A), 5 (B), - (C)
6: 2-3-8 (A), - (B), - (C)
7: 3-5 (A), - (B), 4-6 (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x3x3x2 = 72 x .50 = $36
All A's: 2x2x3x2 = 24 x .50 = $12
Backup (AAAC): 2x2x3x2 = 48 x .50 = $24 (4-6 in 7th)


8th: OC/Cond., 3+, 9f (P3, DD)

Best Value: #7 Money Supply 8-1: Enough pace here for consistent Sharp charge's return to dirt..
Next Best: #8 Full Screen 4-1
Exotics Use: #3 Cagliostro 5-2
Super Add: #6 Mama's Gold 6-1


9th: Yaddo-NY, F&M-3+, 8.5f-Inner (DD)

Most Likely: #1 Moonage Daydream 4-1: Mare regularly fires and has proven versatile..
Next Best: #4 Spinning Colors 7-2: Returns to own kind after being bested by Ozara..
Best Value: #10 Silver Skillet 6-1
Exotics Use: #9 Sterling Silver 5-1


10th: CLM/N2L, 3+, 5.5f-T

Best Value: #5 Reynolds Channel 8-1
Next Best: #4 Alexis Zorba 7-2
Exotics Use: #8 Nano Man 8-1
Super Add: #2 Cousin Ed 8-1


P5 Grid:

6: 2-3-8 (A), - (B), - (C)
7: 3-5 (A), 4-6 (B), - (C)
8: 3-7-8 (A), - (B), - (C)
9: 1 (A), 4 (B), 9-10 (C)
10: 4-5 (A), - (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x4x3x2x2 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A's: 3x2x3x1x2 = 36 x .50 = $18
Backup (AAACA): 3x2x3x1x2 = 36 x .50 = $18 (9-10 in 9th)


P4 Grid:

7: 3-5 (A), 4-6 (B), - (C)
8: 3-7-8 (A), - (B), - (C)
9: 1-4 (A), - (B), 9-10 (C)
10: 4-5 (A), - (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x3x2x2 = 48 x .50 = $24
All A's: 2x3x2x2 = 24 x .50 = $12
Backup (AACA): 2x3x2x2 = 24 x .50 = $12 (9-10 in 9th)


Let's get lucky!
Steve