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Old 05-08-2016, 07:10 AM
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Dunbar Dunbar is offline
The Curragh
 
Join Date: May 2006
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Dunbar View Post
I agree. [about Outwork being an overlay]

Others that look generous compared to my own line (in parenthesis) are

Destin 20-1 (13-1)
Whitmore 33-1 (20-1)
Shagaf 72-1 (45-1)
Majesto 62-1 (40-1)
Danzing Candy 30-1 (18-1)

I obviously don't think Shagaf and Majesto have much of a chance, but a better than 60-1 chance, IMO.

I hate Destin's long layoff and lack of experience. Without the long layoff I'd have him at 7-1. Still, 20-1 seems generous.
Impressive performance by the group I though were overlays:
Aside from Destin's respectable 6th, they finished 14th, 15th, 18th, 19th, 20th. I could have had the tuchas trifecta.
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Curlin and Hard Spun finish 1,2 in the 2007 BC Classic, demonstrating how competing in all three Triple Crown races ruins a horse for the rest of the year...see avatar
photo from REUTERS/Lucas Jackson
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