If you're playing against Songbird, you're figuring for at least two of the following three things:
She is softened up by Go Maggie Go early
She is softened up by a Family Tree middle move
She is vulnerable in the tenth furlong with some decent closers moving late
Admittedly, I don't think Songbird is nearly as good as most people do. The best horse she's beaten to date is Carina Mia, who is a sprinter/miler. She will likely not get to dictate terms here and that can increase her vulnerability. She is clearly a very good horse, but that shouldn't preclude anyone from playing against her in the multis, where you will get tremendous value.
I will try to get alive in a multi race play to Family Tree, Going for Broke and Weep No More. There's a good chance I'll lose, but it's worth the gamble.
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