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Originally Posted by freddymo
Who really knows how good this filly might be? NOBODY, not Chad not the owners not twitter etc? She has no 2-year-old foundation. I have no idea why people on the broadcast were talking her up for Alabama? She has looked special to me in 3 races, I don't knock horses that in their 3rd start and second g1 win on a major circuit ONLY ran a 92 but that is just me.
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One issue might have been the lack of a dedicated front-runner in the race. Might be more ideal to get Guarana to settle early with a target to stalk if she is going to progress as a router. The female family descends from the sprinter Gold Beauty, but as a broodmare her offspring have displayed impressive stamina (Point of Entry, Sky Beauty, Pine Island, Pleasant Home, etc.).
Not sure what is going on in the 3yo filly division. Not one horse from the Mother Goose on June 29 made it to this race? Point of Honor, off a modest Grade 2 race in May can't make another start for over 60 days?
I guess Cookie Dough--a fairly effective frontrunner at a route of ground--got sick of minor awards so her connections decided to watch her get burned up in sprints in her last pair instead.
I can't remember who won the Santa Anita Oaks (maybe it was cancelled) but there has to be one or two fillies in CA with some quality. They haven't run anything out there since the Summertime Oaks (which might also have been cancelled). They can't possibly be waiting for the Torrey Pines?