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Old 02-21-2020, 06:52 AM
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Dunbar Dunbar is offline
The Curragh
 
Join Date: May 2006
Posts: 2,962
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Thanks for the additional figs, Otis. The fact that the 2015-2017 MSW-to-Gr2 stats aren't consistent with the 2018-2020 stats makes it even more likely that those latter good results were an aberration.

The other stuff is interesting, but hard to make use of. With just 2-3 races per year fitting the positive EV angles, it's too hard to test going forward.

I can tell you're having fun with the app. Keep looking! You might find a hidden gem.
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Curlin and Hard Spun finish 1,2 in the 2007 BC Classic, demonstrating how competing in all three Triple Crown races ruins a horse for the rest of the year...see avatar
photo from REUTERS/Lucas Jackson
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