Quote:
Originally Posted by Benny
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from Crist's article: "
Since 1980, six of the eight horses in his exact position – returning to the races after winning the Derby and Preakness and losing the Belmont – have lost their comeback race, most of them at short odds. "
This apparently arbitrary 1980 cutoff made me immediately think that the next one back would have been bad for the thesis. Sure enough, in 1979 Spectacular Bid came back to win the Haskell. Granted, he didn't add much to the ROI of the "return" bet.
I couldn't find out how Cananero II, the one before Spectacular Bid, had fared in his return.
--Dunbar