On first look:
#11 Who Shot Thebarman: Rapidly rose through the grades in NZ and has been the Boss (pun...) since switching to Victoria. G1 and G2 winner across the Tasman so the recent grade rise isn't a worry.
#4 Sea Moon: Royal Ascot winner over Dunaden and Red Cadeaux...his two best runs Down Under were at this distance and while he was one-paced in last he was first up for 7 months. Will be ridiculously huge odds.
#19 Brambles: Used the winter to get back into race shape. G1 winner at 12f prior to the two years off so the class has been there.
#9 Junoob is IMO better than The Offer (odds agree) and check out the jockey. Dangerous if he can find his form outside of Sydney.
Seismos is a G1 winner and should sit a great trip. May not be this quality but can run a place....Lucia Valentina will be coming with her one run but will it be enough?...Rising Romance is rounding back into form and gets better with more distance...Araldo ran a good one without ever really threatening to win but can spice up the exotics again.
Admire Rakti will need the run...Green Moon is way out of form...I'm not sure Bande has really beaten much...The Offer beat some weak fields back in April...Hawkspur won the G1 Queensland Derby at 12f but he got a perfect run that day and didn't beat much...Moriarty won last out but is inconsistent...Dear Demi was third last year but tough to have based on her last...distance is a concern for Stipulate...Lidari has a good record at 12f but that was against inferior (in fact, one of those runs shows on the form line of Gris Caro)...Big Memory won a G2 last time but doesn't have this type of class...Unchain My Heart and Renew don't have the quality...
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