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Old 08-17-2014, 02:25 AM
Kitan Kitan is offline
Gulfstream Park
 
Join Date: Jul 2014
Location: Other side of the globe
Posts: 1,208
Default Saratoga Sunday Aug. 17

Don’t have time for a full write-up today, so I’m going Steve & Gus ™ style.

Race 1:
#9 Queen’s Parade: Good 2nd behind Cat’s Claw two back. Didn’t seem to be as effective on wet but still a good performance last time.
#3 Sally Brown: Sib to two hurdle winners for same outfit. Maybe she belongs there too, but distance not a concern.
#8 Storm Now: Brought as a shipping mate for runner in G1, but competitive herself on return to turf.
#2 Antrim Colleen: Feel like she had her chances to win two and three back. Another that may prefer firm, but she seems a money burner.

Race 2:
#2 Go Olivia Go: Got accustomed to SAR last time and can go better here. Rajiv is world-class in this field.
#5 Rettalfa: In good form off a win and can repeat.
#4 Love to Score: Has run best without the shades and this is easier.
#7 Lady Vivien: Cali shipper finds a weak East Coast field.

Race 3:
#9 Tammy the Torpedo: Chad on fire with these types lately. All over the 6-1 ML. P5 single.
#1 Sweet Maya: These conditions will suit more than last and Dilger is starting to get it going.
#7 Cool Comfort: Can hang on for a share.
#4 Carta de Oro: May need one.

Race 4:
#4 House Rules: Seems like Jerkens can win a race he doesn’t even have a horse in at the moment. Talk about class relief. Not sure what the deal with the turf work is. Could be a single but I’ll cover just in case.
#5 Another Incident: Much the best last time, but Bravo was very lucky that day. You never know with the way he’s been riding…
#3 Madaket Millie: May hook into a duel with #7
#6 Julie Napp: Wasn’t ridden very aggressively in the stretch last time and can see a performance like the maiden breaker again today. Dangerous at odds if that occurs.

Race 5:
#7 Back Flip: Quick works. Super Saver. Pletcher’s only got one in here. Primed for debut.
#3 Top Decile: Stall can win with them young and he’s got this one flying in the AM recently.
#8 Nagzilla: Speightstown FTS with some rapid moves. Kenneally and Leparoux not having great meets.
#5 So It’s True: Expecting a much better run here.

Race 6:
#9 Billy the Bull: Needed the last off the brief layoff. Will run much better here and may be forgotten on the toteboard.

Race 7:
#4 Lemon Song: Wasn’t disgraced in his try for this tag three back. Two quick moves and I expect an improvement with the return to Franco. Sciacca to strike here and make for a fantastic weekend.
#9 Poor Etiquette: Mile will suit better and Violette dangerous third off a layoff.
#3 Ready’s Legend: Hasn’t shown anything for Pletcher, but this is the easiest spot so far.
#8 Chow Fun: Respect the two wins, but these aren’t NY-breds.

Race 8:
Really an ALL race, but that made it too pricey.

Race 9:
#4 Easter Gift: Ignore the MTH tough trip. 4yo form kills these.
#2 Dawly: Short and didn’t handle the MTH surface. Rudy’s got him ready for this.
#1 Alpha: Inconsistent. Missed work. Overrated.

Race 10:
#3 Amira’s Prince: Wasn’t right at BEL. Freshened and ready for the upset.
#5 Imagining: Bounced off the big G1 score. Given time off. Don’t discount Shug.
#2 Perfect Timber: Hasn’t run well shipping before, but is still a neck away from being a G1 winner and Castellano is riding like a madman these days.
#4 may regress off a huge win with a missed work. #7 has never beaten this class, on recent form would prefer Abel riding.

Race 11:
#7 King of Bay: Finally gets on the turf. Trombetta can break his duck here.
#3 Breakeven Analysis: Chad will have him fired up off the long layoff.
#2 Jimmy Fillpot: Improved with the blinkers, and can continue the rise here.
#8 Mambo At the Gym: Ran better than it seems last time. Scorched around the dogs on the 4th.
#10 Day Six: Turnback will suit this third time starter.


$0.60 Pick Five
Race 1: 3, 8, 9
Race 2: 2, 4, 5, 7
Race 3: 9
Race 4: 3, 4, 5, 6
Race 5: 3, 5, 7
$86.40

$0.60 Early Pick Four
Race 2: 2, 4, 5, 7
Race 3: 1, 9
Race 4: 3, 4, 5, 6
Race 5: 3, 5, 7, 8
$76.80

$0.60 Late Pick Four
Race 8: 1, 2, 4, 5, 6, 8
Race 9: 2, 4
Race 10: 2, 3, 5
Race 11: 2, 3, 7, 8, 10
$108.00

Good luck!
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