Quote:
Originally Posted by jms62
Has this sport come to a point that we are wasting our time handicapping the horses and should just look for Value on Jockey's?
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All too often, figure horses are getting overbet to produce a true lack of value which only gets exaggerated when the jockey reacts poorly.
Let me share an example : take a look at Grand Rapport (8-5 morning line) in the seventh race at Saratoga. Absolutely no speed, breaking from that rail, and the doubles into this horse seem to peg him at 2-5 or 3-5. Now, the horse has the figures to win this race both on the Beyer's and speed numbers.
But ...
Looking at his running style, this horse is screaming to get bottled up inside looking for space in the stretch - and there are several in here that look to have the exact same running style.
To me, this is bad value.