Thursday
Race 1:
Very tough race. #1 Roseburg is clearly a good colt but this is tougher and he is giving a lot of weight. #10 Insaany is one that I liked but not happy to see jocks land elsewhere. #11 Donny Rover has a chance but does not have a great strike rate. Many more with chances.
I'm going to take a shot with #14 Collaboration. Kept in good company and was reasonably bet down but failed to fire in the Edinburgh Cup. Gets in with a senior jockey at a low weight, and if he can bounce back he can spring a surprise at 12/1.
Race 2:
#1 Ivawood looks a good thing but is absolutely no value at odds-on. Will play him with the following two colts.
#4 Fox Trotter comes from a decent family and was very impressive on debut. Jimmy Fortune gets aboard at double digit odds.
#6 Louie De Palma is two for two and can progress again at around 20/1.
Note that #3 finished 11 lengths clear of #5 in their debuts, and then compare that to the odds board.
Race 3:
Great renewal of the Goodwood Cup. I'll probably just be watching, and although Moore has really talked up Estimate's chances, Angel Gabrial has an upset chance if he continues his superb form.
Race 4:
#3 Missunited is the key here but is far from a lock.
This is the easiest field #5 Talent has faced in some while, and she rates a big chance.
#6 Waila will like the firm going and can run a good one again.
#9 Honor Bound is one I originally liked as I think she will run back to her best with the hood completely out of the picture, but the 14f scares me a tad.
#10 Stella Bellissima is clearly one for the future, but this may come too soon.
Race 5:
Can't be extremely confident on anything here, and this is where the value usually kicks in.
#7 Perfect Orange is the one I'm taking a flyer on here. Has a brother who has kept good company this season as a 3yo so there is some potential class there. Should be a big price.
#4 Kodiva is very well regarded, and although he's by Kodiac, I think based on his dam's side 7f may be a bit too sharp.
Race 6:
Wide-open event sees #9 Royal Seal the 5-1 favourite. Two for two on a firm 7f, and doesn't run back in six days as she did last time. Moore and Stoute always dangerous.
#2 Jallota is currently the biggest outsider, but his form last year under Channon is very good, and in his only turf start in Dubai with de Kock he ran second. Never easy to win first up from Dubai, but he is being well overlooked here.
#13 Secret Hint can improve off the maiden score and will be a threat under the lightweight.
I'll put aside Race 7 as it is an apprentice handicap.
|