Quote:
Originally Posted by oracle80
You have to single somewhere, and I agree that anyone who bet her at 6-5 made a horrendous bet.
I had her pegged as a co fave with the 8 in my own mind.
I originally had 1,3,8 in the race but when they scratched the 3 I decided to single the race and go for more horses in the other leg.
I would not say that taking her at 6-5 in a win bet was real bright. Completely agree with that.
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If you agree that it was an evenly matched race, which you did in this thread, and also singled this horse at 6:5 then you made a horrendous play...it's really as simple as that.
You say " you have to single somewhere " as though one throws a dart at a six spot dart board and singles in whatever race the dart lands in. That is absurdly untrue...of course. If one singles anywhere it is in the race he feels his ( or her ) money is best spent on one horse in order to spread somewhere else. You had just used five horses in the previous race. You could have used three there and two in the race you singled and only increased the ticket by $144. The pick-6 is about making choices where to spend your money and if after a race that you singled you say " it was an evenly matched field " then you are either redboarding to justify some bad opinion or played the Pick-6 poorly. It is really pretty much an " either-or " situation.
What this really gets to is that these tickets you are playing are very poorly constructed and are far from maximizing your chances of winning for the money invested. You would do very well, and I'm not being condescending, to read Steve Crist's new book about betting strategies, specifically Pick-6s, as you need to learn about seperating horses in individual races into different categories and playing multiple tickets. In all honesty, it is possible you would have hit yesterday's play using that method.