Quote:
Originally Posted by Pointg5
I took a look last night and Thor's Echo was coming off of a 6 point top, his mean is about a 2 and he ran a negative 4 in his last race, it's not like he's a developing 2yo or 3yo, it was a 6 point top coming 3/4 of the way through his 4yo year. Not every horse bounces, but that had some sort of regression written all over it or even back to his mean which would have made him a non factor in the Sprint. He ran a negative 5 in the Sprint and from the comments looks like he rode the rail and then swung out 3 wide and won, so I believe his number was aided by an golden rail. For those that believe there was no rail bias, I don't know what to say to you and I am not going to argues with you, because it looks like a hopeless cause. I guess we'll see what happens in the next couple of races....
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As I said before he was running those figures early in the year in what was essentially the end of a long 3yo campaign. He obviously needed the time to rest and develop and has apparently done just that. Why did other horses that rode the rail run poorly but he was aided by it? Is Brother Derek that atrociously bad that he couldn't crack the top four with the magical rail trip? What about the horse that was in front of Thor's Echo that they had to swing wide to pass because Nakatani had so much horse under him? Why wasn't that horse benefiting from the same golden rail? Just doesn't make much sense to me. When Thor's Echo wins the De Francis on Saturday will that quiet people?